Sessions by Thread
The Delft, Netherlands Conference

These materials are networking tools for members of the Society, those who attended the conference and the System Dynamics community more broadly.

The Conference provides a venue for presenting work and receiving comments that can strengthen the work and help to prepare it for wider distribution.

These web proceedings provide a complete record of presentations at the Conference. They are not intended to be a substitute for publishing in peer-reviewed journals, and some papers may be truncated or include only an abstract. The Society’s web proceedings do not have an ISBN. The Bound, Printed Full Set or CD-ROM of the Proceeding include an ISBN and those numbers are available from our independent publisher.

Readers are encouraged to contact authors or search scientific and business publications to determine if more authoratative and up-to-date versions of works included here exist.


Plenary: Tuesday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Using System Dynamics on a Large Scale, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen

Using system dynamics with other modelling methods: client benefits and reactions, by Susan Howick  Abstract

Implementing strategic insights to transform operations performance in large organizations, by Felicjan Rydzak, Paul Monus  Abstract  Paper

Main-stream System Dynamics, by Kim Warren  Abstract

Parallel: General Business, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

A System Dynamics Based Strategic Planning Model for a Rural Indian Milk Dairy, by Vasanth Kamath, Seena Biju  Abstract

Application of System Dynamics to Project Prioritisation, by Nombuso Sibeko, Corne Du Plooy, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay  Abstract  Paper

Maximizing Owner’s wealth under uncertainty and volatility: A system dynamics approach using evidence from Norwegian Oil Sector, by Aima Khan, Pål Davidsen, Muhammad Azeem Qureshi  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Product Diffusion and Firm Growth, chaired by Burcu Tan, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

An Integrated Decision Support System Regarding Interdependencies Between Time-to-Market and Market Diffusion under Competition, by Felix Giedziella, Grit Walther  Abstract

The Smart Home Services Diffusion Process: A System Dynamics Model, by Giovanni Zenezini, Maliheh Ghajargar, Eleonora Fiore, Alberto De Marco  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Bolder, Better, Brighter: Toward an integrated view of the differential growth rates and sizes of firms, by Scott Rockart  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Start Up Firms, chaired by Stefan Groesser, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

Strategic Decision Support for Startup Company Using System Dynamics: an online startup company’s case, by Yutaka Takahashi, Nobuhide Tanaka  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Business Simulation Environment: A Case Study for Business Schools and Startup Accelerators, by Siniša Sovilj, Martin Kunc, Zoran Aralica  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Endogenous Capability Building And Start-Up Advantage In Creating New Markets, by Hazhir Rahmandad, MohammadMahdi Hashemian  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Utilities and Energy, chaired by Samir Traboulsi, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

A System Dynamics approach to public transportation strikes and travelers’ behavior in the city of Rome, by Stefano Armenia, Camillo Carlini, Georgios Tsaples, Claudia Volpetti  Abstract  Paper  Link from authors

Myths and realities of the utility death spiral, by Monica Castaneda, Maritza Jimenez, Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Carlos Franco Cardona, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Developing a Smart Electricity Market: Systemic interventions in the Swiss Smart Electricity Distribution Grid, by Stefan Groesser  Abstract  Link from authors

Parallel: Organizational, chaired by Eliot Rich, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

Risks and opportunities of a training policy implementation a system dynamics perspective, by Felippe Cronemberger, Babak Bahaddin, Edward Pavur, Rod MacDonald  Abstract

A System Dynamics Analysis of a Business Incubator: The New England Ocean Cluster House, by John Voyer, Martin Schelasin, Haleigh O’Donnell  Abstract  Paper

Lessons from software testing for developing behavioral tests of dynamic models, by James Houghton  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Technology, chaired by Wil Thissen, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez

Technology to Construct Models without Direct Assistance from Modeling Experts, by Michael Bean  Abstract

Poster: Competition, Marketing, and Brands

Improving Managerial Decision-Making: Molecules about Decision Biases and First Application, by Stefan Groesser, Norman Wunderle  Abstract  Link from authors

The Dynamics of Product Commonality: implications of the circular causality between product and firm structures, by Joona Tuovinen  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

System Dynamics Methodology to Customer Loyalty (Case Study: Internet Service Provider Company), by Alireza Bafandeh Zendeh, Samad Ali, Farzad Adelzadeh, Masoud Askarnia  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Technology and Innovation, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz

Technology competition in fast paced environments: Path dependence and competition in Formula 1 1970-2013, by George Papachristos, Scott Cunningham  Abstract  Supporting

The Impact of Technical Debt and Organizational Maturity on Software Maintenance Productivity, by Stefan Groesser, Stefan Beisswenger  Abstract  Link from authors

A Metrics Analysis Framework for IT Service Management, by Abhinay Puvvala, Veerendra Rai, Rutuja Patil  Abstract  Paper

Technology scenario planning with system multi methodology: In the Petrochemical Research and Technology Company, by Maryam Ebrahimi  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Business Investment and Projects, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz

Modeling the Digital Camera Use, by Ilir Rodiqi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Designing the green new product development model: system dynamics approach (Case study: small and medium food industries), by Davood Andalib Ardakani, Vahideh Eslamieh  Abstract  Paper

Modeling New Product Diffusion under Uncertainty, by Jayendran Venkateswaran, Siddhartha Paul  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Organizational Demographic Management: A System Dynamics Model, by Mahdi Bastan, Sareh Akbarpour, Saeid Delshad Sisi  Abstract  Paper

Policy Making in a Renewable Energy Manufacturing SME Using System Dynamics, by Maryam Ebrahimi  Abstract  Paper


Exploring and Managing the Dynamic Behavior of Technical Systems during their Life Cycle, by Arjen Ros, Michel Kuijer  Abstract  Paper  Link from authors

Multi method modeling and simulation with AnyLogic 7, by Vladimir Koltchanov  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Masterclass: Agile modeling for fast, effective solutions, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer, Christopher Spencer  Abstract


Parallel: Microeconomics, chaired by David Collste, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

Effect of Localization on the Car Market Under Intense Sanctions; a System Dynamics Approach, by Babak Barazandeh, Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Kaveh Bastani  Abstract  Paper

Supply and Demand Dynamics of the Oil Market: A System Dynamics Approach, by Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Babak Barazandeh, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Masoud Fekri, Kaveh Bastani  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Regional Economics, chaired by Shayne Gary, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

Sustainable Development of Indonesian’s Agricultural Sector, by Eng Seng Chia, Dongyu Li, Xutong Ma, Jixi Wang, Yiting Wang, Jiaxu Zhu  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The Role of Exports in Regional Economies A System Dynamics model of the Western Australian economy, by William Grace  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A System Dynamics Approach to Regional Income Disparities, by Takayuki Yamashita  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Macroeconomics, chaired by Thomas Wittig, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

Exploring Harrod Domar and Solow Models of Economic Growth, by Shreenivas Kunte, Om Damani  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The Heads and Tails of Money Creation and its System Design Failures -- Toward the Alternative System Design, by Kaoru Yamaguchi, Yokei Yamaguchi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Endogenous Money, by David Wheat  Abstract  Link from authors

Poster: Economics, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz

Dynamic of Fixed Capital – Different Points of View, by Igor Krejci, Jan Rydval, Tereza Horakova  Abstract  Paper

Endogenous Industrial Cycles in a Reshaped “Neoclassical” Model, by Alexander Ryzhenkov  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Goods and Services Tax Dynamics, by Patricia Cafe, Luciano Fonseca, Ricardo Chaim  Abstract  Paper

Interactions between Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation in the Land Use Sector: a Dynamic Approach, by Martin Lopez  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Banking and Finance

Dynamics of banking soundness based on CAMELS rating system, by Mahdi Bastan, Mohammad Bagheri Mazrae, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand  Abstract  Paper

Business Dynamics of Iranian Commercial Banks, by Mahdi Bastan, Sareh Akbarpour, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand  Abstract  Paper


Parallel: Environmental Management 2: Facilitating Model-based Learning about Human-Environment Interactions, chaired by Jacob Jacobson, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran

Insight Maker(S) To Support The Management Of Protected Areas And Related Ecosystem Services: Examples For Recreational Value, by Rocco Scolozzi, Uta Schirpke  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

The Hubbert game: a simple board game to teach the dynamics of resource depletion, by Ugo Bardi  Abstract  Paper

Resilient by design: a modelling approach to support scenario and policy analysis in the Olifants River Basin, South Africa, by Jai Clifford-Holmes, Sharon Pollard, Fabio Diaz Pabon, Theodore York, Willem Jonker, Harry Biggs, Kundai Chihambakwe, Jill Slinger  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Environmental Management I: Local Sustainability in a Global Context, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi

Wasted Paradise - Imagining the Maldives Without the Garbage Island of Thilafushi, by Florian Kapmeier, Paulo Goncalves  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Avoiding Worse-Before-Better Dynamics In Transitioning From Chemical To Organic Farming, by Chintan Vaishnav, Sarah Nolet  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

On Palm Oil and Deforestation in Borneo: A Step-Wise Model-Based Policy Analysis, by Yola Effendi, Bramka Arga Jafino, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Meeting Climate Targets, chaired by Gillian Harrison, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran

In Sum, Nations Will Likely Fulfill Their Pledges to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A Stock-and-Flow-Based View, by Bent Erik Bakken, Onur Ozgun  Abstract  Paper

Model-based Exploration of the Feasibility of China’s Climate Change Ambitions, by Menglin Xia, Jici Fan, Bramka Arga Jafino, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper

Car Technology Market Evolution and Emissions Impacts - An Example of Energy Policy Scenarios under Uncertainty, by Jonathan Gomez, Patrick Jochem, Wolf Fichtner  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Developing Applications in Environmental Systems

Sustainable Development Analysis of Agriculture Using System Dynamics Approach, by Mahdi Bastan, Saeid Delshad Sisi, Zahra Nikoonezhad, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Political Power-Play at its best – the case study of biomethane in Germany, by Thomas Horschig, Daniela Thran  Abstract  Paper

Modeling Dynamics of the Carbon Market: A System Dynamics Approach on the CO2 Emissions and its Connections to the Oil Market, by Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Babak Barazandeh, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Masoud Fekri, Kaveh Bastani  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Social-Ecological System Dynamics, Ecosystem and Resource Dynamics

The Pond Primeval: Phosphorous and Oxygen in Walden Pond, by John Nevison  Abstract  Paper

Developing a simple dynamic simulation model of phosphorus in Lake Ontario, by Hamid Abdolabadi, Mojtaba Ardestani, Amin Sarang, John Little  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Kessler Syndrome: System Dynamics Approach, by Tomas Hubik, Jakub Drmola  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Organic farming as policy to address vulnerabilities of the prevailing European food system based on conventional agriculture?, by Natalia Brzezina, Andreas Gerber, Erik Mathijs  Abstract  Paper

Simulation and analysis to support decision making in the treatment and handling of radioactive waste, by Siôn Cave, John Peters, Alison Gray  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Natural Disasters and Poverty: Understanding the Systemic Complexity, by Gloria Perez Salazar, Araceli Ortega Diaz, Gerardo Gutierrez Lopez  Abstract  Paper


Climate Change Hackathon, by Steven Adler  Abstract  Paper  Supporting


Parallel: Population Health, chaired by David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Modelling and simulation the Zika Outbreak under Deep Uncertainty: A Multi-Method Multi-Resolution Approach, by Philipp Schwarz, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper

Inventory Management in Response to an Unfolding Epidemic, by Siddhartha Paul, Jayendran Venkateswaran  Abstract  Paper

Cutting the Loops of Depression: a System Dynamics Representation of the Feedback Mechanisms Involved in Depression Development, by Daniel Herrera, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Health Systems, chaired by Yutaka Takahashi, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Exploring Uninsured Options under Budget Constraint, by Nella Porter  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

Evaluating the Preventive Treatments for Aging Populations in terms of Financial Sustainability of Health Systems, by Nisa Onsel, Yaman Barlas, Gönenç Yucel  Abstract

A retrospective of System Dynamics based workforce modelling at the Centre for Workforce Intelligence, by Siôn Cave, Andrew Woodward, Graham Willis  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Epidemiology, chaired by Gary Hirsch, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Projecting the number of elderly with Cognitive Impairment in China by 2060 using a multi-state dynamic population model, by John Ansah, Chi-Tsun Chiu, Victoria Koh, Coy Lye Chei, David Matchar  Abstract

Modeling the Long Term Dynamics of Obesity as a Societal Epidemic, by Gizem Aktas, Nefel Tellioglu, Yaman Barlas, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A System Dynamics approach for assessing health effect impact as a result of launching a new nicotine product in a market, by Oscar Camacho, Andrew Hill  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Health Care Delivery, chaired by Peter Lacey, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Application of system dynamics modeling to inform implementation of adolescent SBIRT implementation in primary care settings, by David Lounsbury, Shannon Gwin Mitchell, Zhi Li, Robert Schwartz, Jan Gryczynski, Arethusa Kirk, Marla Oros, Colleen Hosler, Kristi Dusek, Barry Brown  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The Economic Burden of Hip Fractures among Elderly Patients in Ireland: A Combined Perspective of System Dynamics and ML, by Mahmoud Elbattah, Owen Molloy  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A System Dynamics Model of Opioid Use for Chronic Non-Malignant Pain Incorporating Complementary and Alternative Care, by Marion McGregor, Alexandra Nielsen, Chadwick Chung, Mark Fillery, Wayne Wakeland, Silvano Mior  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Health Risk Management, chaired by Carmine Bianchi, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

Saving Lives and Time: Tackling Transportation Induced Air Pollution in Jakarta, by Bramka Arga Jafino, Pedram Soltani, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

On Model-Based Decision-Support for Humanitarian Response and Development Aid: Making a Difference with Modelling & Simulation, by Erik Pruyt, Bartel Van de Walle  Abstract  Supporting

Poster: Health Systems

Utilizing the Beer Game to Rethink the Organization of Interdisciplinary Research, by Marion McGregor, Mark Fillery, Chadwick Chung  Abstract

System Dynamics Group Model Building: Solution to the Implementation Challenges in Hospital Patient-Safety Systems and Process, by Jeff Trailer, Laura Black, Don Greer, Jaymes Clements  Abstract

Prediction Model for Unplanned Self Extubation of Intensive Care Unit Patients Using System Dynamics Approach, by Yu-Gil Song, Eun-Kyoung Yun, Jun-Hee Park, Ji-Uhn Lee, Young-Min Noh, Hanna Lee  Abstract  Supporting

What Make Mothers to Touch the Finish Line of Breastfeeding?; Using System Thinking, by Ji-Uhn Lee, Jun-Hee Park, EunSuk Park, Hanna Lee, Yu-Gil Song, Young-Min Noh, Eun-Kyoung Yun  Abstract

Poster: Humanitarian Response

A System Dynamics Analysis of Humanitarian Logistics Coordination, by Otávio Costa, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki  Abstract  Supporting

Refugees' Psychological Wellbeing and their Integration: a System Dynamics Perspective, by Charlotte Sederel, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract

Human Behavior

Plenary: Tuesday morning PLENARY SESSION: Organizational Barriers to Using System Dynamics, chaired by David Wheat, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen

Irrelevance, irrationality and irresponsibility, the three curses of the organizational use of System Dynamics, by Alexander Zock  Abstract

From situated action to model abstraction—and back again, by Laura Black  Abstract  Paper

Power and influence: developing a political archetype at an Australasian systems workshop, by Robert Cavana, Vicky Forgie, Marjan van den Belt, Alvaro Romera, Keming Wang, John Cody, Chris Browne  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Human Behavior: The Challenge of Performance, chaired by Camilo Olaya, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi, Charlotte Sederel

A Conceptual Feedback Model of Performance Dynamics, by Alexandra van den Berg, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper

Zombies in Civil Service: Why the conceptual edifice of public administration creates a motivational trap in Brazil, by Hamilton Carvalho, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Eduardo Franco, José Mazzon  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 Modeling Judgment and Decision Making Process Using System Dynamics, by Santosh Prusty, Pratap Mohapatra  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Poster: Emotions, Learning and Decision Making

Inclusion on a systemic level and its influence on teachers’ expectations, by Stefanie Hillen  Abstract  Paper

System Dynamics in the Traditional Humanities Survey: Engendering Perceptions of Relevance in a Field Under Threat Through Use, by Dana Ilmari Polojarvi  Abstract  Paper

The Fear Management Model: Building an Integrative Fear Appeal Theory through System Dynamics, by Charles Han  Abstract  Paper

Modeling Laborer's Group Learning Processes in Construction, by Bogyoeng Lee, Hyun-Soo Lee, Moonseo Park  Abstract  Paper

Information and Knowledge

Parallel: Information and Knowledge, chaired by Joaquim Santos, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin

Knowledge management model for a flight test environment, by Roberto Follador, Luis Trabasso  Abstract  Paper

A Systemic Approach to Conceptualising a Model of Construction Innovation System in Russia, by Emiliya Suprun, Oz Sahin, Rodney Stewart, Kriengsak Panuwatwanich  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

An Analysis of Technical Debt Management Through Resources Allocation Policies in Software Maintenance Process, by Eduardo Franco, Joaquim Santos, Kechi Hirama, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Hamilton Carvalho  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Learning and Teaching

Parallel: Research on Learning System Dynamics, chaired by Diana Fisher, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Instruction matters: Teaching high school students system dynamics, by Eline de Jong, Hubert Korzilius  Abstract

Bathtub Dynamics Revisited: Disclosing Traces of Déformation Professionelle in Higher Education, by Florian Kapmeier, Roland Maximilian Happach, Meike Tilebein  Abstract

Lessons Learned From a Failed Experiment: A Very Brief Introduction of System Dynamics Modeling in Two Algebra II Classes, by Diana Fisher  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Group Modeling and Debriefing, chaired by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

System Dynamics Group Modeling: An Educational Perspective, by Alberto De Marco, Carlo Rafele, Giovanni Zenezini  Abstract  Paper

Improving Decision Making and Learning in Dynamic Tasks Through Structured Debriefing-based Interactive Learning Environments, by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah  Abstract  Paper

Using Group Model Building to teach student teams systems thinking for more sustainable Engineers Without Borders USA projects, by Jeffrey Walters, Benjamin Greiner, Emily O'Morrow, Bernard Amadei  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Games, Learning, and Teaching

The Shifting the Burden Archetype: A Workforce and Task Backlog Management Game, by Seniha Zeynep Guran, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper

Meeting the Challenge of Global Climate Change: NASPAA’s 2nd Student Simulation Competition, by Emily Reineke, Rebecca Niles, Kristina Wile, Rod MacDonald, David Andersen, Deepal Doshi, Andrew Jones, Anand Desai  Abstract  Link from authors

Analysis of the Turkish Education System: A System Dynamics Approach on Dropouts and Deficiencies in Job Market, by Duygu Kaynak, Rhythima Shinde  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Model Based Study of Higher Education of Engineers, by Ying Qian, Sha Zhu, Hans-Rolf Vetter, Bo Hu  Abstract  Paper

Bounded Rationality in System Dynamics: Expanding the Perspective, by Manuel Liz, Margarita Vazquez  Abstract  Paper

Exploring the Nature of Insight in System Dynamics, by Krystyna Stave, Nicole Zimmermann, Hyunjung Kim  Abstract  Paper  Supporting


Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling for Math and Science Instruction: Online Professional Development Opportunity, by Diana Fisher  Abstract  Link from authors

Creating Interactive Simulations Online with Forio Epicenter, by Michael Bean  Abstract  Link from authors

Getting Started with Stella Designer, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg  Abstract

Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, by Diana Fisher  Abstract

Feedback Rich Model Construction, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract


Plenary: Monday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Implementation and Politics, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Sjoerd Meeuwsen, Jonatan Godinez Madrigal

The Paris Climate Agreement: Do models matter? What must we now do?, by John Sterman  Abstract

A mismatch between aspirations and reality: Why are we letting Black Swans pass us by?, by Erich Alexander Voigt, Florian Kapmeier  Abstract

Parallel: SD Taxonomy, chaired by Weijia Ran, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

System Dynamics Libraries - An approach to develop modular-oriented simulation models, by Christian Karl  Abstract  Paper

Modularity in System Dynamics: representing closed-loop supply chain configurations, by Aly Elmasry, Andreas Groessler  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Team and Methods, chaired by Martin Schaffernicht, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi

sdCloud: Cloud-based computation environment for System Dynamics models, by Ivan Perl, Robert Ward  Abstract  Paper

Effectiveness of collaborative modeling for promoting green climate change adaptation measures in the setting of Public-Private, by Camilo A. Benitez-Avila, Mónica Altamirano  Abstract  Supporting

Mental model comparison: current methodic challenges and advances, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Parallel: Generic and alternative structures, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

On Modeling Contested Markets with Endogenous Growth, by Edward Anderson, Burcu Tan  Abstract  Supporting

System Archetypes in the Conceptualization Phase of Water-Energy-Food Nexus Modeling, by Alireza Sohofi, Ani Melkonyan, Christian Karl, Klaus Krumme  Abstract  Paper

Effective Corrective Action: The initial/envelope model for manageing projects, by John Nevison, Karim Chichakly  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Modeling Method, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia

Conceptualization of Social Systems: Actors First, by Camilo Olaya, Juliana Gomez-Quintero  Abstract  Paper

Hierarchical Behavioral Decomposition of Complex Problems, by Karim Chichakly  Abstract  Paper

Integrating System Dynamics Models with Online Python-based Analytics, by William Glass-Husain  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Multi Methods/Cross Methods, chaired by William Schoenberg, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia

A Hybrid Modeling Method: Combining System Dynamics Modeling with Agent Based Modeling, by Reza Hesan, Erik Pruyt  Abstract

Using Q Methodology for Developing a SD Model. A Case Study of Modelling Perspectives on Road Procurement in Sweden, by Maksims Kornevs, Nicole Kringos, Sebastiaan Meijer  Abstract

Network Simplification and Visualization through System Dynamics-based Network Centrality, by Lukas Frannek, Haruko Nagaoka  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Cross/Multi Methods

A recent overview of the integration of System Dynamics and Agent-based Modelling and Simulation, by Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero, Philipp Schwarz, Jill Slinger  Abstract  Paper

A Disaggregated Bass Diffusion Model using R, by Jim Duggan  Abstract

Dynamic Data Visualization to Improve Managerial Decision-Making: The Dynamic Portfolio Matrix Tool (DPMT), by Pascal Zerzuben, Stefan Groesser  Abstract  Link from authors

The why, when and how of combining system dynamics with other methods: An evidence-based framework, by Mohammadreza Zolfagharian, Georges Romme, Bob Walrave  Abstract  Supporting

Combining Agent-Based Modelling and System Dynamics: Hybrid modelling in the scope of artificial intelligence, by Oliver Handel, André Borrmann  Abstract

Practical tools for Group Model Building, by Max Kleemann  Abstract  Paper

Poster: System Dynamics and Systems Thinking

The Analysis of Characteristic Dynamics of Stock Management Structure with a First Order Supply Line Delay, by Sema Mehmet, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper

System Dynamics and Process Philosophy, by Manuel Liz  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The challenge of model complexity: improving the interpretation of large causal models through variety filters, by Lukas Schoenenberger, Alexander Schmid, John Ansah, Markus Schwaninger  Abstract  Supporting

New Scripts for Group Model Building – Online Questionnaires and Open Loops, by Oliver Handel, Max Kleemann  Abstract  Paper


System Dynamics Modeling with R, by Jim Duggan  Abstract

Hybrid Modelling and Simulation in Anysim and Python, by Erik Pruyt, Philipp Schwarz, Reza Hesan, Bas Keijser  Abstract

Managing Complexity with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg  Abstracty

System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano  Abstract  Link from authors

Getting Started with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg  Abstractc

Hands-on Entity Based System Dynamics with Ventity, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors

Optimization & Calibration in Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract

Getting started with the Sysdea online modeling software, by Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer, Christina Spencer  Abstract  Link from authors

Going further with the Sysdea software, by Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer, Christina Spencer  Abstract

Getting Started with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors


Plenary: Wednesday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Insights on Stock-Flow Thinking, chaired by Inge Bleijenbergh, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen

Intelligence and (Mis)Understanding of Accumulation as Explaining Factors of Stock Management Failures, by Jürgen Strohhecker, Michael Leyer  Abstract

Why Patient Assignment and Teamwork in the Emergency Department is Challenging: A Simple Stock and Flow Insight, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears  Abstract

Evidence-Based Policy Design for HIV/AIDS Response Programs in Côte, by Paulo Goncalves, Simplice Kamdem  Abstract

Parallel: Sustainability in Operations in Urban Contexts, chaired by Michael Bastiani, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

Unpredictability of Demineralized Water Production due to the Random Nature of Key Simulator Variables, by Corne Du Plooy, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay  Abstract  Paper

A System Dynamics Approach for Assessing the Development of the CEP market in Urban Areas, by Carina Thaller  Abstract  Paper

Impact Assessment Model for Sustainable City Logistics Solutions, by Nadezda Iakovleva, Michael Bastiani, Jasper Tanis, Arnaud Burgess  Abstract

Parallel: Managing Quality and Performance in Operations, chaired by Enzo Bivona, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi

Never the twain shall meet? Simulating Sales & Operations Planning ramp-up dynamics in IT-enabled service supply chains, by Henk Akkermans, Roeland van Oers, Christopher Voss, Quan Zhu  Abstract  Paper

The Impact of Sales-practice Startup Dynamics on Sales-force Productivity, by James Houghton, Michael Siegel, Mohammad Jalali, Allan Campbell, Dennis Fialho  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A system dynamics approach to model cost of quality in a supply chain, by Asama Alglawe, Andrea Schiffauerova, Onur Kuzgunkaya  Abstract  Paper

Public Policy

Plenary: Monday morning PLENARY SESSION: Uncertainty, Risk and Recovery, chaired by Ali Mashayekhi, Volunteer(s): Sjoerd Meeuwsen, Jonatan Godinez Madrigal

On addressing grand challenges and complex issues: dealing with more than just dynamic complexity, by Erik Pruyt, Willem Auping, Philipp Schwarz, Jan Kwakkel, Tushith Islam  Abstract

Business tsunami: in between black swans and little white lies, by Henk Akkermans  Abstract

A Dynamic Feedback Theory of Community Recovery from Shock Events, by David Ford, Bruce Keith  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Sustainable Economy, chaired by Max Kleemann, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

Policy Resistance Case Study on Government’s Intervention in Conflict between Big-box stores and Traditional market in Korea, by Chang-Kwon Chung, Ryeong Ji Park, Sehee Oh  Abstract  Paper

Modeling Sustainability of Mass Tourism in Lisbon, by Ivan Radulovic, Toine Bartelet, Anahi Lopez Guerrero  Abstract

Misconceptions regarding the self-attenuation of residential energy retrofitting policies? – Validation via disaggregation, by Max Kleemann  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Population and Workforce, chaired by Cornelia van Daalen, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

An Analysis of Population Policies in China, by Eng Seng Chia, Jia Yan, Li Chenxi, Li Yulu, Liao Manbo, Zhang Xiaoqi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Dynamics of transition to universal tax-funded pension system, by Yeoryios Stamboulis  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The Impact of Career and Funding Policies on the Academic Workforce in The Netherlands: A System Dynamics based Promotion Chain, by Ruben van Kersbergen, Cornelia van Daalen, Catherine Chiong Meza, Edwin Horlings  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Insights from Generic and Complex Model Structures, chaired by Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia

Understanding the Mechanisms behind Fragmentation in the Housing Construction and Retrofit, by Sibel Eker, Nicole Zimmermann  Abstract  Paper

Innovating and Inventing for Sustainable Cities: a Tale of Three Incongruities, by Craig Stephens, Matthias Mueller, Alan Graham, Andreas Harbig  Abstract  Paper  Link from authors

On the Spot and On the Map: Real-Time Interactive Model-Based Decision Support Under Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Tushith Islam  Abstract

Parallel: Crisis and Resilience, chaired by John Richardson, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein

What if you catch a black swan? Public policy design for climate change adaptation, by Hugo Herrera  Abstract  Paper

Strategies in an uncertain world: A Systems Dynamics analysis of different flood protection strategies, by Raphael Klein, Jill Slinger, Sjoerd Meeuwsen  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

How to cope with the European migrant crisis? Exploring the effects of the migrant influx in Bayern, Germany, by Lars Mosterd, Bart Hutten  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Sustainable Development, chaired by Nigel Unwin, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia

Policy Coherence and Integration to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals, by David Collste  Abstract  

From Recoverers to Recycling Organization, Socio-Economic and Environmental Considerations on Residential Waste Management, by Luz-Angélica Rodriguez, Enrique Escalante, Lorena Reyes Rubiano  Abstract  Supporting

Evaluation of FiT policy effects on sustainable development of renewable energies in Iran; A System Dynamics Approach, by Ali Mashayekhi, Milad Mousavian Hejazi, Hamed Ganjavi, Sina Sedaghat  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Poster: The Human Factor in Business

Modeling the Dynamic Aspects of Team Diversity – A Comparison of System Dynamics and Agent-based Modeling, by Anja Kreidler, Meike Tilebein  Abstract  Paper

Simulation Analysis of Brain Drain in Iran using System Dynamics Approach, by Ehsan Kasiralvalad, Mahdi Bastan, Hadi Abniki, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Crime and Corruption

To Legislate or not to Legislate? That is the Question: How Legislative Inflation Boosts Prison Overcrowding, by Andrea Navarrete, Camilo Olaya, Juliana Gomez-Quintero  Abstract  Paper

Going with the flow: corruption in tax agencies, by Hamilton Carvalho, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Eduardo Franco, José Mazzon  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A dynamic model on the effect of Police Pacifying Units in Rio de Janeiro, by Babak Bahaddin, Felippe Cronemberger  Abstract

A system dynamics model for managing corruption risks in dairy supply chains, by Xiaojing Liu, Tiru Arthanari  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Urban Issues

Meeting Urban Food Needs: Food Supply and Distribution Systems as Complex Systems, by Claudia Volpetti, Stefano Armenia, Dario Fiore, Vanessa Armendariz, Alberto Atzori  Abstract  Paper

The Dynamics of Information Sharing: A First Step to Fight Urban Blight, by Manuel De Tuya, Eliot Rich  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Transportation, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz

Drivers of long distance travel in Europe – a system dynamics approach, by Simon Shepherd, Paul Pfaffenbichler, Christiane Bielefeldt  Abstract

Structural policies to address induced travel demand by road construction, by Juan Angarita-Zapata  Abstract  Paper


Parallel: Energy & Efficiency Rebounds, chaired by Reza Fazeli, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran

Endogenous transformation of exogenous effects in a system dynamics model of heating, ventilation and rebound, by Nicole Zimmermann, Lai Fong Chiu, Yekatherina Bobrova, Zaid Chalabi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Using system dynamics for long term bottom-up electric load modeling in rural electrification, by Elias Hartvigsson, Erik Ahlgren, Jimmy Ehnberg, Sverker Molander  Abstract  Paper

Correlation Between Rebound Effect and Household Income, by Reza Fazeli, Brynhildur Davidsdottir  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Socio-technical Energy Transition, chaired by Erik Pruyt, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran

Sustainable energy transition and climate change vulnerabilities: a resilience perspective, by Hugo Herrera  Abstract  Paper

Policy Analysis of Renewable Electricity Development in India: From A Transition Modelling Perspective, by Enayat Moallemi, Lu Aye, Fjalar de Haan, John Webb  Abstract  Paper

Simulating the Impact of Climate Mitigation Policies on Social Unrest in Rentier States, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt, Sijbren de Jong, Jan Kwakkel  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Biomass Deployment, chaired by Therese Bennich, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic

Technological Lock in and Implications for an Energy Transition, by Larry Gottschamer  Abstract

An Economic, Environmental and Sustainability Assessment of a Large Scale Biofuel Industry in Suriname, by Devin Diran  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

An Assessment of the Coupled Hydrology and Management of Northern Thailand’s Water Resources in Extreme Climate Conditions, by Bradd Libby, Alexander Christiansen  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Poster: Market Dynamics of Resources

Long Term Role of Coal in the Generation Supply Mix, by Danie Booyens, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Corne Du Plooy  Abstract

A System dynamics approach to assess economic impacts of extreme winter storms in forestry, by Syed Monjur Murshed, Ute Werner  Abstract  Paper

The decline of fisheries in Japan described by a simple dynamic model, by Ilaria Perissi, Ugo Bardi, Alessandro Lavacchi, Toufic El Asmar  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Bio-economic model for paddy and rice industry: A case study from Malaysia, by Emmy Farha Alias, Fatimah Arshad  Abstract

100% Renewables in power generation, by Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Monica Castaneda, Maritza Jimenez, Carlos Franco Cardona, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Modeling material flows, cumulative material demand and market dynamics of industrial metals within a system dynamics framework, by Simon Gloeser  Abstract  Paper

Implication of urbanisation on electricity provision in African cities: A system dynamics approach, by Josephine Musango, Paul Currie, Alan Brent  Abstract


World Climate and C-ROADS Training, by Florian Kapmeier  Abstract  Link from authors


Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security 2, chaired by Sharon Els, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi, Charlotte Sederel

Dynamics of ISIS - An Emerging State Actor, by Timothy Clancy  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Containing ISIS: Analysis of Intervention Policies, by Timothy Clancy  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Identification and Registration of Refugees: Model-Based Planning at the Dutch Police, by Mieke Struik, Femke Sickler, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security 1, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi

Understanding the Dynamics of the Criminal Justice System, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Charles Macal  Abstract

The Economics of Cybersecurity: Boomerang Effects from Misaligned Incentives, by Jose Gonzalez, Konstantin Lenchik  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The application of modelling and simulation in support of operational decision making during land operations, by Guido Veldhuis, Thomas Logtens, Nicolaas de Reus, Georg Pallaske, Shane Carnohan  Abstract  Paper

Poster: Conflict, Defense, and Security

Art of War: Modeling Combat Simulators in System Dynamics, by Timothy Clancy  Abstract  Supporting

Stakeholder Engagement

Parallel: Amplifying and Leveling Power and Influence, chaired by Margaret Novak, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero

Does it work everywhere? Group Model Building as participative method in intercultural perspective, by Pleun van Arensbergen, Monic Lansu, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

SESAMME: An iPad application for participatory systems modelling, by Russell Richards, Carl Smith, Novie Setianto  Abstract  Paper

Key Success Factors in Implementing System Dynamics in Project Management: Coping with lack of understanding and trust, by David Rumeser, Margaret Emsley  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Asynchronous Stakeholder Engagement, chaired by Laura Black, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin

Resilience for whom? Problem structuring in the analysis of resilience for climate change adaptation, by Hugo Herrera  Abstract  Paper

When stakeholders cannot be involved in a modelling process: Integrating participatory modelling and consultative approaches, by Paola Espin, Franziska Meinherz, Robinson Stevens Salazar Rua  Abstract  Paper

Integrating GMB and Games in the Built Environment, by Shane Carnohan, Nicole Zimmermann, Etiënne Rouwette  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

Parallel: Assessment of Stakeholder Learning, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin

Disabled People from Welfare to Jobs: An Interactive Learning Environment Experimental Investigation, by Ahmed Abdelgawad, Jaziar Radianti, Mikael Snaprud, John Krogstie  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Driving The Future: A Management Flight Simulator of the Market for Alternative Fuel Vehicles, by David Keith, Sergey Naumov  Abstract

Do Interactive Management Flight Simulators Lead to Superior Learning Outcomes? An Experiment Using Amazon Mechanical Turk, by David Keith, Shishir Tiwari  Abstract


Experiential Learning Environments as a Means for Transformation, by Felicjan Rydzak, Piotr Magnuszewski, Paul Monus  Abstract  Paper


Parallel: Strategy Applications of System Dynamics, chaired by Corne Du Plooy, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia

Understanding the interplay between exploration and exploitation in the data-driven servitization of manufacturing firms, by Daniel Jandt, Katja Laurischkat  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Interdependent Governance Mechanisms and Performance Feedback in Strategic Alliances, by Edoardo Mollona, Kerstin Neumann, Jeffrey Reuer  Abstract  Supporting

Nothing so practical as a good theory, Five ways to use system dynamics for theoretical contributions, by Vincent de Gooyert  Abstract  Paper


System Dynamics Society
Sessions by Thread updated: September 19, 2016.