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Business
Plenary: Tuesday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Using System Dynamics on a Large Scale, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen
Using system dynamics with other modelling methods: client benefits and reactions, by Susan Howick Abstract
Implementing strategic insights to transform operations performance in large organizations, by Felicjan Rydzak, Paul Monus Abstract Paper
Main-stream System Dynamics, by Kim Warren Abstract
Parallel: General Business, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
A System Dynamics Based Strategic Planning Model for a Rural Indian Milk Dairy, by Vasanth Kamath, Seena Biju Abstract
Application of System Dynamics to Project Prioritisation, by Nombuso Sibeko, Corne Du Plooy, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay Abstract Paper
Maximizing Owner’s wealth under uncertainty and volatility: A system dynamics approach using evidence from Norwegian Oil Sector, by Aima Khan, Pål Davidsen, Muhammad Azeem Qureshi Abstract Paper
Parallel: Product Diffusion and Firm Growth, chaired by Burcu Tan, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
An Integrated Decision Support System Regarding Interdependencies Between Time-to-Market and Market Diffusion under Competition, by Felix Giedziella, Grit Walther Abstract
The Smart Home Services Diffusion Process: A System Dynamics Model, by Giovanni Zenezini, Maliheh Ghajargar, Eleonora Fiore, Alberto De Marco Abstract Paper Supporting
Bolder, Better, Brighter: Toward an integrated view of the differential growth rates and sizes of firms, by Scott Rockart Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Start Up Firms, chaired by Stefan Groesser, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
Strategic Decision Support for Startup Company Using System Dynamics: an online startup company’s case, by Yutaka Takahashi, Nobuhide Tanaka Abstract Paper Supporting
Business Simulation Environment: A Case Study for Business Schools and Startup Accelerators, by Siniša Sovilj, Martin Kunc, Zoran Aralica Abstract Paper Supporting
Endogenous Capability Building And Start-Up Advantage In Creating New Markets, by Hazhir Rahmandad, MohammadMahdi Hashemian Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Utilities and Energy, chaired by Samir Traboulsi, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
A System Dynamics approach to public transportation strikes and travelers’ behavior in the city of Rome, by Stefano Armenia, Camillo Carlini, Georgios Tsaples, Claudia Volpetti Abstract Paper Link from authors
Myths and realities of the utility death spiral, by Monica Castaneda, Maritza Jimenez, Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Carlos Franco Cardona, Isaac Dyner Abstract
Developing a Smart Electricity Market: Systemic interventions in the Swiss Smart Electricity Distribution Grid, by Stefan Groesser Abstract Link from authors
Parallel: Organizational, chaired by Eliot Rich, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
Risks and opportunities of a training policy implementation a system dynamics perspective, by Felippe Cronemberger, Babak Bahaddin, Edward Pavur, Rod MacDonald Abstract
A System Dynamics Analysis of a Business Incubator: The New England Ocean Cluster House, by John Voyer, Martin Schelasin, Haleigh O’Donnell Abstract Paper
Lessons from software testing for developing behavioral tests of dynamic models, by James Houghton Abstract Paper
Parallel: Technology, chaired by Wil Thissen, Volunteer(s): Laura Garcia Lopez
Technology to Construct Models without Direct Assistance from Modeling Experts, by Michael Bean Abstract
Poster: Competition, Marketing, and Brands
Improving Managerial Decision-Making: Molecules about Decision Biases and First Application, by Stefan Groesser, Norman Wunderle Abstract Link from authors
The Dynamics of Product Commonality: implications of the circular causality between product and firm structures, by Joona Tuovinen Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics Methodology to Customer Loyalty (Case Study: Internet Service Provider Company), by Alireza Bafandeh Zendeh, Samad Ali, Farzad Adelzadeh, Masoud Askarnia Abstract Paper
Poster: Technology and Innovation, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz
Technology competition in fast paced environments: Path dependence and competition in Formula 1 1970-2013, by George Papachristos, Scott Cunningham Abstract Supporting
The Impact of Technical Debt and Organizational Maturity on Software Maintenance Productivity, by Stefan Groesser, Stefan Beisswenger Abstract Link from authors
A Metrics Analysis Framework for IT Service Management, by Abhinay Puvvala, Veerendra Rai, Rutuja Patil Abstract Paper
Technology scenario planning with system multi methodology: In the Petrochemical Research and Technology Company, by Maryam Ebrahimi Abstract Paper
Poster: Business Investment and Projects, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz
Modeling the Digital Camera Use, by Ilir Rodiqi Abstract Paper Supporting
Designing the green new product development model: system dynamics approach (Case study: small and medium food industries), by Davood Andalib Ardakani, Vahideh Eslamieh Abstract Paper
Modeling New Product Diffusion under Uncertainty, by Jayendran Venkateswaran, Siddhartha Paul Abstract Paper Supporting
Organizational Demographic Management: A System Dynamics Model, by Mahdi Bastan, Sareh Akbarpour, Saeid Delshad Sisi Abstract Paper
Policy Making in a Renewable Energy Manufacturing SME Using System Dynamics, by Maryam Ebrahimi Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Exploring and Managing the Dynamic Behavior of Technical Systems during their Life Cycle, by Arjen Ros, Michel Kuijer Abstract Paper Link from authors
Multi method modeling and simulation with AnyLogic 7, by Vladimir Koltchanov Abstract Paper Supporting
Masterclass: Agile modeling for fast, effective solutions, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer, Christopher Spencer Abstract
Economics
Parallel: Microeconomics, chaired by David Collste, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
Effect of Localization on the Car Market Under Intense Sanctions; a System Dynamics Approach, by Babak Barazandeh, Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Kaveh Bastani Abstract Paper
Supply and Demand Dynamics of the Oil Market: A System Dynamics Approach, by Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Babak Barazandeh, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Masoud Fekri, Kaveh Bastani Abstract Paper
Parallel: Regional Economics, chaired by Shayne Gary, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
Sustainable Development of Indonesian’s Agricultural Sector, by Eng Seng Chia, Dongyu Li, Xutong Ma, Jixi Wang, Yiting Wang, Jiaxu Zhu Abstract Paper Supporting
The Role of Exports in Regional Economies A System Dynamics model of the Western Australian economy, by William Grace Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Approach to Regional Income Disparities, by Takayuki Yamashita Abstract Paper
Parallel: Macroeconomics, chaired by Thomas Wittig, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
Exploring Harrod Domar and Solow Models of Economic Growth, by Shreenivas Kunte, Om Damani Abstract Paper Supporting
The Heads and Tails of Money Creation and its System Design Failures -- Toward the Alternative System Design, by Kaoru Yamaguchi, Yokei Yamaguchi Abstract Paper Supporting
Endogenous Money, by David Wheat Abstract Link from authors
Poster: Economics, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz
Dynamic of Fixed Capital – Different Points of View, by Igor Krejci, Jan Rydval, Tereza Horakova Abstract Paper
Endogenous Industrial Cycles in a Reshaped “Neoclassical” Model, by Alexander Ryzhenkov Abstract Paper Supporting
Goods and Services Tax Dynamics, by Patricia Cafe, Luciano Fonseca, Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper
Interactions between Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation in the Land Use Sector: a Dynamic Approach, by Martin Lopez Abstract Paper
Poster: Banking and Finance
Dynamics of banking soundness based on CAMELS rating system, by Mahdi Bastan, Mohammad Bagheri Mazrae, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand Abstract Paper
Business Dynamics of Iranian Commercial Banks, by Mahdi Bastan, Sareh Akbarpour, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand Abstract Paper
Environment
Parallel: Environmental Management 2: Facilitating Model-based Learning about Human-Environment Interactions, chaired by Jacob Jacobson, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran
Insight Maker(S) To Support The Management Of Protected Areas And Related Ecosystem Services: Examples For Recreational Value, by Rocco Scolozzi, Uta Schirpke Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
The Hubbert game: a simple board game to teach the dynamics of resource depletion, by Ugo Bardi Abstract Paper
Resilient by design: a modelling approach to support scenario and policy analysis in the Olifants River Basin, South Africa, by Jai Clifford-Holmes, Sharon Pollard, Fabio Diaz Pabon, Theodore York, Willem Jonker, Harry Biggs, Kundai Chihambakwe, Jill Slinger Abstract Paper
Parallel: Environmental Management I: Local Sustainability in a Global Context, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi
Wasted Paradise - Imagining the Maldives Without the Garbage Island of Thilafushi, by Florian Kapmeier, Paulo Goncalves Abstract Paper Supporting
Avoiding Worse-Before-Better Dynamics In Transitioning From Chemical To Organic Farming, by Chintan Vaishnav, Sarah Nolet Abstract Paper Supporting
On Palm Oil and Deforestation in Borneo: A Step-Wise Model-Based Policy Analysis, by Yola Effendi, Bramka Arga Jafino, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Meeting Climate Targets, chaired by Gillian Harrison, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran
In Sum, Nations Will Likely Fulfill Their Pledges to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions: A Stock-and-Flow-Based View, by Bent Erik Bakken, Onur Ozgun Abstract Paper
Model-based Exploration of the Feasibility of China’s Climate Change Ambitions, by Menglin Xia, Jici Fan, Bramka Arga Jafino, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Car Technology Market Evolution and Emissions Impacts - An Example of Energy Policy Scenarios under Uncertainty, by Jonathan Gomez, Patrick Jochem, Wolf Fichtner Abstract Paper
Poster: Developing Applications in Environmental Systems
Sustainable Development Analysis of Agriculture Using System Dynamics Approach, by Mahdi Bastan, Saeid Delshad Sisi, Zahra Nikoonezhad, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand Abstract Paper Supporting
Political Power-Play at its best – the case study of biomethane in Germany, by Thomas Horschig, Daniela Thran Abstract Paper
Modeling Dynamics of the Carbon Market: A System Dynamics Approach on the CO2 Emissions and its Connections to the Oil Market, by Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Babak Barazandeh, Amirbahador Moosavi Hosseini, Masoud Fekri, Kaveh Bastani Abstract Paper
Poster: Social-Ecological System Dynamics, Ecosystem and Resource Dynamics
The Pond Primeval: Phosphorous and Oxygen in Walden Pond, by John Nevison Abstract Paper
Developing a simple dynamic simulation model of phosphorus in Lake Ontario, by Hamid Abdolabadi, Mojtaba Ardestani, Amin Sarang, John Little Abstract Paper Supporting
Kessler Syndrome: System Dynamics Approach, by Tomas Hubik, Jakub Drmola Abstract Paper Supporting
Organic farming as policy to address vulnerabilities of the prevailing European food system based on conventional agriculture?, by Natalia Brzezina, Andreas Gerber, Erik Mathijs Abstract Paper
Simulation and analysis to support decision making in the treatment and handling of radioactive waste, by Siôn Cave, John Peters, Alison Gray Abstract Paper Supporting
Natural Disasters and Poverty: Understanding the Systemic Complexity, by Gloria Perez Salazar, Araceli Ortega Diaz, Gerardo Gutierrez Lopez Abstract Paper
Special:
Climate Change Hackathon, by Steven Adler Abstract Paper Supporting
Health
Parallel: Population Health, chaired by David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Modelling and simulation the Zika Outbreak under Deep Uncertainty: A Multi-Method Multi-Resolution Approach, by Philipp Schwarz, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Inventory Management in Response to an Unfolding Epidemic, by Siddhartha Paul, Jayendran Venkateswaran Abstract Paper
Cutting the Loops of Depression: a System Dynamics Representation of the Feedback Mechanisms Involved in Depression Development, by Daniel Herrera, Inge Bleijenbergh Abstract Paper
Parallel: Health Systems, chaired by Yutaka Takahashi, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Exploring Uninsured Options under Budget Constraint, by Nella Porter Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
Evaluating the Preventive Treatments for Aging Populations in terms of Financial Sustainability of Health Systems, by Nisa Onsel, Yaman Barlas, Gönenç Yucel Abstract
A retrospective of System Dynamics based workforce modelling at the Centre for Workforce Intelligence, by Siôn Cave, Andrew Woodward, Graham Willis Abstract Paper
Parallel: Epidemiology, chaired by Gary Hirsch, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Projecting the number of elderly with Cognitive Impairment in China by 2060 using a multi-state dynamic population model, by John Ansah, Chi-Tsun Chiu, Victoria Koh, Coy Lye Chei, David Matchar Abstract
Modeling the Long Term Dynamics of Obesity as a Societal Epidemic, by Gizem Aktas, Nefel Tellioglu, Yaman Barlas, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics approach for assessing health effect impact as a result of launching a new nicotine product in a market, by Oscar Camacho, Andrew Hill Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Health Care Delivery, chaired by Peter Lacey, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Application of system dynamics modeling to inform implementation of adolescent SBIRT implementation in primary care settings, by David Lounsbury, Shannon Gwin Mitchell, Zhi Li, Robert Schwartz, Jan Gryczynski, Arethusa Kirk, Marla Oros, Colleen Hosler, Kristi Dusek, Barry Brown Abstract Paper Supporting
The Economic Burden of Hip Fractures among Elderly Patients in Ireland: A Combined Perspective of System Dynamics and ML, by Mahmoud Elbattah, Owen Molloy Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Model of Opioid Use for Chronic Non-Malignant Pain Incorporating Complementary and Alternative Care, by Marion McGregor, Alexandra Nielsen, Chadwick Chung, Mark Fillery, Wayne Wakeland, Silvano Mior Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Health Risk Management, chaired by Carmine Bianchi, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
Saving Lives and Time: Tackling Transportation Induced Air Pollution in Jakarta, by Bramka Arga Jafino, Pedram Soltani, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
On Model-Based Decision-Support for Humanitarian Response and Development Aid: Making a Difference with Modelling & Simulation, by Erik Pruyt, Bartel Van de Walle Abstract Supporting
Poster: Health Systems
Utilizing the Beer Game to Rethink the Organization of Interdisciplinary Research, by Marion McGregor, Mark Fillery, Chadwick Chung Abstract
System Dynamics Group Model Building: Solution to the Implementation Challenges in Hospital Patient-Safety Systems and Process, by Jeff Trailer, Laura Black, Don Greer, Jaymes Clements Abstract
Prediction Model for Unplanned Self Extubation of Intensive Care Unit Patients Using System Dynamics Approach, by Yu-Gil Song, Eun-Kyoung Yun, Jun-Hee Park, Ji-Uhn Lee, Young-Min Noh, Hanna Lee Abstract Supporting
What Make Mothers to Touch the Finish Line of Breastfeeding?; Using System Thinking, by Ji-Uhn Lee, Jun-Hee Park, EunSuk Park, Hanna Lee, Yu-Gil Song, Young-Min Noh, Eun-Kyoung Yun Abstract
Poster: Humanitarian Response
A System Dynamics Analysis of Humanitarian Logistics Coordination, by Otávio Costa, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki Abstract Supporting
Refugees' Psychological Wellbeing and their Integration: a System Dynamics Perspective, by Charlotte Sederel, Inge Bleijenbergh Abstract
Human Behavior
Plenary: Tuesday morning PLENARY SESSION: Organizational Barriers to Using System Dynamics, chaired by David Wheat, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen
Irrelevance, irrationality and irresponsibility, the three curses of the organizational use of System Dynamics, by Alexander Zock Abstract
From situated action to model abstraction—and back again, by Laura Black Abstract Paper
Power and influence: developing a political archetype at an Australasian systems workshop, by Robert Cavana, Vicky Forgie, Marjan van den Belt, Alvaro Romera, Keming Wang, John Cody, Chris Browne Abstract Paper
Parallel: Human Behavior: The Challenge of Performance, chaired by Camilo Olaya, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi, Charlotte Sederel
A Conceptual Feedback Model of Performance Dynamics, by Alexandra van den Berg, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
Zombies in Civil Service: Why the conceptual edifice of public administration creates a motivational trap in Brazil, by Hamilton Carvalho, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Eduardo Franco, José Mazzon Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling Judgment and Decision Making Process Using System Dynamics, by Santosh Prusty, Pratap Mohapatra Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Emotions, Learning and Decision Making
Inclusion on a systemic level and its influence on teachers’ expectations, by Stefanie Hillen Abstract Paper
System Dynamics in the Traditional Humanities Survey: Engendering Perceptions of Relevance in a Field Under Threat Through Use, by Dana Ilmari Polojarvi Abstract Paper
The Fear Management Model: Building an Integrative Fear Appeal Theory through System Dynamics, by Charles Han Abstract Paper
Modeling Laborer's Group Learning Processes in Construction, by Bogyoeng Lee, Hyun-Soo Lee, Moonseo Park Abstract Paper
Information and Knowledge
Parallel: Information and Knowledge, chaired by Joaquim Santos, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin
Knowledge management model for a flight test environment, by Roberto Follador, Luis Trabasso Abstract Paper
A Systemic Approach to Conceptualising a Model of Construction Innovation System in Russia, by Emiliya Suprun, Oz Sahin, Rodney Stewart, Kriengsak Panuwatwanich Abstract Paper Supporting
An Analysis of Technical Debt Management Through Resources Allocation Policies in Software Maintenance Process, by Eduardo Franco, Joaquim Santos, Kechi Hirama, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Hamilton Carvalho Abstract Paper Supporting
Learning and Teaching
Parallel: Research on Learning System Dynamics, chaired by Diana Fisher, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Instruction matters: Teaching high school students system dynamics, by Eline de Jong, Hubert Korzilius Abstract
Bathtub Dynamics Revisited: Disclosing Traces of Déformation Professionelle in Higher Education, by Florian Kapmeier, Roland Maximilian Happach, Meike Tilebein Abstract
Lessons Learned From a Failed Experiment: A Very Brief Introduction of System Dynamics Modeling in Two Algebra II Classes, by Diana Fisher Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Group Modeling and Debriefing, chaired by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
System Dynamics Group Modeling: An Educational Perspective, by Alberto De Marco, Carlo Rafele, Giovanni Zenezini Abstract Paper
Improving Decision Making and Learning in Dynamic Tasks Through Structured Debriefing-based Interactive Learning Environments, by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah Abstract Paper
Using Group Model Building to teach student teams systems thinking for more sustainable Engineers Without Borders USA projects, by Jeffrey Walters, Benjamin Greiner, Emily O'Morrow, Bernard Amadei Abstract Paper
Poster: Games, Learning, and Teaching
The Shifting the Burden Archetype: A Workforce and Task Backlog Management Game, by Seniha Zeynep Guran, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
Meeting the Challenge of Global Climate Change: NASPAA’s 2nd Student Simulation Competition, by Emily Reineke, Rebecca Niles, Kristina Wile, Rod MacDonald, David Andersen, Deepal Doshi, Andrew Jones, Anand Desai Abstract Link from authors
Analysis of the Turkish Education System: A System Dynamics Approach on Dropouts and Deficiencies in Job Market, by Duygu Kaynak, Rhythima Shinde Abstract Paper Supporting
Model Based Study of Higher Education of Engineers, by Ying Qian, Sha Zhu, Hans-Rolf Vetter, Bo Hu Abstract Paper
Bounded Rationality in System Dynamics: Expanding the Perspective, by Manuel Liz, Margarita Vazquez Abstract Paper
Exploring the Nature of Insight in System Dynamics, by Krystyna Stave, Nicole Zimmermann, Hyunjung Kim Abstract Paper Supporting
Workshop:
Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling for Math and Science Instruction: Online Professional Development Opportunity, by Diana Fisher Abstract Link from authors
Creating Interactive Simulations Online with Forio Epicenter, by Michael Bean Abstract Link from authors
Getting Started with Stella Designer, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg Abstract
Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, by Diana Fisher Abstract
Feedback Rich Model Construction, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract
Methodology
Plenary: Monday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Implementation and Politics, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Sjoerd Meeuwsen, Jonatan Godinez Madrigal
The Paris Climate Agreement: Do models matter? What must we now do?, by John Sterman Abstract
A mismatch between aspirations and reality: Why are we letting Black Swans pass us by?, by Erich Alexander Voigt, Florian Kapmeier Abstract
Parallel: SD Taxonomy, chaired by Weijia Ran, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
System Dynamics Libraries - An approach to develop modular-oriented simulation models, by Christian Karl Abstract Paper
Modularity in System Dynamics: representing closed-loop supply chain configurations, by Aly Elmasry, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Team and Methods, chaired by Martin Schaffernicht, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi
sdCloud: Cloud-based computation environment for System Dynamics models, by Ivan Perl, Robert Ward Abstract Paper
Effectiveness of collaborative modeling for promoting green climate change adaptation measures in the setting of Public-Private, by Camilo A. Benitez-Avila, Mónica Altamirano Abstract Supporting
Mental model comparison: current methodic challenges and advances, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser Abstract
Parallel: Generic and alternative structures, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
On Modeling Contested Markets with Endogenous Growth, by Edward Anderson, Burcu Tan Abstract Supporting
System Archetypes in the Conceptualization Phase of Water-Energy-Food Nexus Modeling, by Alireza Sohofi, Ani Melkonyan, Christian Karl, Klaus Krumme Abstract Paper
Effective Corrective Action: The initial/envelope model for manageing projects, by John Nevison, Karim Chichakly Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Modeling Method, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia
Conceptualization of Social Systems: Actors First, by Camilo Olaya, Juliana Gomez-Quintero Abstract Paper
Hierarchical Behavioral Decomposition of Complex Problems, by Karim Chichakly Abstract Paper
Integrating System Dynamics Models with Online Python-based Analytics, by William Glass-Husain Abstract Paper
Parallel: Multi Methods/Cross Methods, chaired by William Schoenberg, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia
A Hybrid Modeling Method: Combining System Dynamics Modeling with Agent Based Modeling, by Reza Hesan, Erik Pruyt Abstract
Using Q Methodology for Developing a SD Model. A Case Study of Modelling Perspectives on Road Procurement in Sweden, by Maksims Kornevs, Nicole Kringos, Sebastiaan Meijer Abstract
Network Simplification and Visualization through System Dynamics-based Network Centrality, by Lukas Frannek, Haruko Nagaoka Abstract Paper
Poster: Cross/Multi Methods
A recent overview of the integration of System Dynamics and Agent-based Modelling and Simulation, by Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero, Philipp Schwarz, Jill Slinger Abstract Paper
A Disaggregated Bass Diffusion Model using R, by Jim Duggan Abstract
Dynamic Data Visualization to Improve Managerial Decision-Making: The Dynamic Portfolio Matrix Tool (DPMT), by Pascal Zerzuben, Stefan Groesser Abstract Link from authors
The why, when and how of combining system dynamics with other methods: An evidence-based framework, by Mohammadreza Zolfagharian, Georges Romme, Bob Walrave Abstract Supporting
Combining Agent-Based Modelling and System Dynamics: Hybrid modelling in the scope of artificial intelligence, by Oliver Handel, André Borrmann Abstract
Practical tools for Group Model Building, by Max Kleemann Abstract Paper
Poster: System Dynamics and Systems Thinking
The Analysis of Characteristic Dynamics of Stock Management Structure with a First Order Supply Line Delay, by Sema Mehmet, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
System Dynamics and Process Philosophy, by Manuel Liz Abstract Paper Supporting
The challenge of model complexity: improving the interpretation of large causal models through variety filters, by Lukas Schoenenberger, Alexander Schmid, John Ansah, Markus Schwaninger Abstract Supporting
New Scripts for Group Model Building – Online Questionnaires and Open Loops, by Oliver Handel, Max Kleemann Abstract Paper
Workshops:
System Dynamics Modeling with R, by Jim Duggan Abstract
Hybrid Modelling and Simulation in Anysim and Python, by Erik Pruyt, Philipp Schwarz, Reza Hesan, Bas Keijser Abstract
Managing Complexity with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg Abstracty
System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano Abstract Link from authors
Getting Started with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg Abstractc
Hands-on Entity Based System Dynamics with Ventity, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager Abstract Link from authors
Optimization & Calibration in Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager Abstract
Getting started with the Sysdea online modeling software, by Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer, Christina Spencer Abstract Link from authors
Going further with the Sysdea software, by Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer, Christina Spencer Abstract
Getting Started with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager Abstract Link from authors
Operations
Plenary: Wednesday afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Insights on Stock-Flow Thinking, chaired by Inge Bleijenbergh, Volunteer(s): Jonatan Godinez Madrigal, Sjoerd Meeuwsen
Intelligence and (Mis)Understanding of Accumulation as Explaining Factors of Stock Management Failures, by Jürgen Strohhecker, Michael Leyer Abstract
Why Patient Assignment and Teamwork in the Emergency Department is Challenging: A Simple Stock and Flow Insight, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears Abstract
Evidence-Based Policy Design for HIV/AIDS Response Programs in Côte, by Paulo Goncalves, Simplice Kamdem Abstract
Parallel: Sustainability in Operations in Urban Contexts, chaired by Michael Bastiani, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
Unpredictability of Demineralized Water Production due to the Random Nature of Key Simulator Variables, by Corne Du Plooy, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Approach for Assessing the Development of the CEP market in Urban Areas, by Carina Thaller Abstract Paper
Impact Assessment Model for Sustainable City Logistics Solutions, by Nadezda Iakovleva, Michael Bastiani, Jasper Tanis, Arnaud Burgess Abstract
Parallel: Managing Quality and Performance in Operations, chaired by Enzo Bivona, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi
Never the twain shall meet? Simulating Sales & Operations Planning ramp-up dynamics in IT-enabled service supply chains, by Henk Akkermans, Roeland van Oers, Christopher Voss, Quan Zhu Abstract Paper
The Impact of Sales-practice Startup Dynamics on Sales-force Productivity, by James Houghton, Michael Siegel, Mohammad Jalali, Allan Campbell, Dennis Fialho Abstract Paper Supporting
A system dynamics approach to model cost of quality in a supply chain, by Asama Alglawe, Andrea Schiffauerova, Onur Kuzgunkaya Abstract Paper
Public Policy
Plenary: Monday morning PLENARY SESSION: Uncertainty, Risk and Recovery, chaired by Ali Mashayekhi, Volunteer(s): Sjoerd Meeuwsen, Jonatan Godinez Madrigal
On addressing grand challenges and complex issues: dealing with more than just dynamic complexity, by Erik Pruyt, Willem Auping, Philipp Schwarz, Jan Kwakkel, Tushith Islam Abstract
Business tsunami: in between black swans and little white lies, by Henk Akkermans Abstract
A Dynamic Feedback Theory of Community Recovery from Shock Events, by David Ford, Bruce Keith Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Sustainable Economy, chaired by Max Kleemann, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
Policy Resistance Case Study on Government’s Intervention in Conflict between Big-box stores and Traditional market in Korea, by Chang-Kwon Chung, Ryeong Ji Park, Sehee Oh Abstract Paper
Modeling Sustainability of Mass Tourism in Lisbon, by Ivan Radulovic, Toine Bartelet, Anahi Lopez Guerrero Abstract
Misconceptions regarding the self-attenuation of residential energy retrofitting policies? – Validation via disaggregation, by Max Kleemann Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Population and Workforce, chaired by Cornelia van Daalen, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
An Analysis of Population Policies in China, by Eng Seng Chia, Jia Yan, Li Chenxi, Li Yulu, Liao Manbo, Zhang Xiaoqi Abstract Paper Supporting
Dynamics of transition to universal tax-funded pension system, by Yeoryios Stamboulis Abstract Paper Supporting
The Impact of Career and Funding Policies on the Academic Workforce in The Netherlands: A System Dynamics based Promotion Chain, by Ruben van Kersbergen, Cornelia van Daalen, Catherine Chiong Meza, Edwin Horlings Abstract Paper
Parallel: Insights from Generic and Complex Model Structures, chaired by Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia
Understanding the Mechanisms behind Fragmentation in the Housing Construction and Retrofit, by Sibel Eker, Nicole Zimmermann Abstract Paper
Innovating and Inventing for Sustainable Cities: a Tale of Three Incongruities, by Craig Stephens, Matthias Mueller, Alan Graham, Andreas Harbig Abstract Paper Link from authors
On the Spot and On the Map: Real-Time Interactive Model-Based Decision Support Under Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Tushith Islam Abstract
Parallel: Crisis and Resilience, chaired by John Richardson, Volunteer(s): Raphael Klein
What if you catch a black swan? Public policy design for climate change adaptation, by Hugo Herrera Abstract Paper
Strategies in an uncertain world: A Systems Dynamics analysis of different flood protection strategies, by Raphael Klein, Jill Slinger, Sjoerd Meeuwsen Abstract Paper Supporting
How to cope with the European migrant crisis? Exploring the effects of the migrant influx in Bayern, Germany, by Lars Mosterd, Bart Hutten Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Sustainable Development, chaired by Nigel Unwin, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia
Policy Coherence and Integration to Achieve the Sustainable Development Goals, by David Collste Abstract
From Recoverers to Recycling Organization, Socio-Economic and Environmental Considerations on Residential Waste Management, by Luz-Angélica Rodriguez, Enrique Escalante, Lorena Reyes Rubiano Abstract Supporting
Evaluation of FiT policy effects on sustainable development of renewable energies in Iran; A System Dynamics Approach, by Ali Mashayekhi, Milad Mousavian Hejazi, Hamed Ganjavi, Sina Sedaghat Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: The Human Factor in Business
Modeling the Dynamic Aspects of Team Diversity – A Comparison of System Dynamics and Agent-based Modeling, by Anja Kreidler, Meike Tilebein Abstract Paper
Simulation Analysis of Brain Drain in Iran using System Dynamics Approach, by Ehsan Kasiralvalad, Mahdi Bastan, Hadi Abniki, Ali Mohammad Ahmadvand Abstract Paper
Poster: Crime and Corruption
To Legislate or not to Legislate? That is the Question: How Legislative Inflation Boosts Prison Overcrowding, by Andrea Navarrete, Camilo Olaya, Juliana Gomez-Quintero Abstract Paper
Going with the flow: corruption in tax agencies, by Hamilton Carvalho, Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins, Eduardo Franco, José Mazzon Abstract Paper Supporting
A dynamic model on the effect of Police Pacifying Units in Rio de Janeiro, by Babak Bahaddin, Felippe Cronemberger Abstract
A system dynamics model for managing corruption risks in dairy supply chains, by Xiaojing Liu, Tiru Arthanari Abstract Paper
Poster: Urban Issues
Meeting Urban Food Needs: Food Supply and Distribution Systems as Complex Systems, by Claudia Volpetti, Stefano Armenia, Dario Fiore, Vanessa Armendariz, Alberto Atzori Abstract Paper
The Dynamics of Information Sharing: A First Step to Fight Urban Blight, by Manuel De Tuya, Eliot Rich Abstract Paper
Poster: Transportation, Volunteer(s): Niels Van Rosmalen, Franziska Meinherz
Drivers of long distance travel in Europe – a system dynamics approach, by Simon Shepherd, Paul Pfaffenbichler, Christiane Bielefeldt Abstract
Structural policies to address induced travel demand by road construction, by Juan Angarita-Zapata Abstract Paper
Resources
Parallel: Energy & Efficiency Rebounds, chaired by Reza Fazeli, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran
Endogenous transformation of exogenous effects in a system dynamics model of heating, ventilation and rebound, by Nicole Zimmermann, Lai Fong Chiu, Yekatherina Bobrova, Zaid Chalabi Abstract Paper Supporting
Using system dynamics for long term bottom-up electric load modeling in rural electrification, by Elias Hartvigsson, Erik Ahlgren, Jimmy Ehnberg, Sverker Molander Abstract Paper
Correlation Between Rebound Effect and Household Income, by Reza Fazeli, Brynhildur Davidsdottir Abstract Paper
Parallel: Socio-technical Energy Transition, chaired by Erik Pruyt, Volunteer(s): Devin Diran
Sustainable energy transition and climate change vulnerabilities: a resilience perspective, by Hugo Herrera Abstract Paper
Policy Analysis of Renewable Electricity Development in India: From A Transition Modelling Perspective, by Enayat Moallemi, Lu Aye, Fjalar de Haan, John Webb Abstract Paper
Simulating the Impact of Climate Mitigation Policies on Social Unrest in Rentier States, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt, Sijbren de Jong, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Biomass Deployment, chaired by Therese Bennich, Volunteer(s): Ivan Radulovic
Technological Lock in and Implications for an Energy Transition, by Larry Gottschamer Abstract
An Economic, Environmental and Sustainability Assessment of a Large Scale Biofuel Industry in Suriname, by Devin Diran Abstract Paper Supporting
An Assessment of the Coupled Hydrology and Management of Northern Thailand’s Water Resources in Extreme Climate Conditions, by Bradd Libby, Alexander Christiansen Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Market Dynamics of Resources
Long Term Role of Coal in the Generation Supply Mix, by Danie Booyens, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Corne Du Plooy Abstract
A System dynamics approach to assess economic impacts of extreme winter storms in forestry, by Syed Monjur Murshed, Ute Werner Abstract Paper
The decline of fisheries in Japan described by a simple dynamic model, by Ilaria Perissi, Ugo Bardi, Alessandro Lavacchi, Toufic El Asmar Abstract Paper Supporting
Bio-economic model for paddy and rice industry: A case study from Malaysia, by Emmy Farha Alias, Fatimah Arshad Abstract
100% Renewables in power generation, by Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Monica Castaneda, Maritza Jimenez, Carlos Franco Cardona, Isaac Dyner Abstract
Modeling material flows, cumulative material demand and market dynamics of industrial metals within a system dynamics framework, by Simon Gloeser Abstract Paper
Implication of urbanisation on electricity provision in African cities: A system dynamics approach, by Josephine Musango, Paul Currie, Alan Brent Abstract
Workshop:
World Climate and C-ROADS Training, by Florian Kapmeier Abstract Link from authors
Security
Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security 2, chaired by Sharon Els, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi, Charlotte Sederel
Dynamics of ISIS - An Emerging State Actor, by Timothy Clancy Abstract Paper Supporting
Containing ISIS: Analysis of Intervention Policies, by Timothy Clancy Abstract Paper Supporting
Identification and Registration of Refugees: Model-Based Planning at the Dutch Police, by Mieke Struik, Femke Sickler, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security 1, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Yola Effendi
Understanding the Dynamics of the Criminal Justice System, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Charles Macal Abstract
The Economics of Cybersecurity: Boomerang Effects from Misaligned Incentives, by Jose Gonzalez, Konstantin Lenchik Abstract Paper Supporting
The application of modelling and simulation in support of operational decision making during land operations, by Guido Veldhuis, Thomas Logtens, Nicolaas de Reus, Georg Pallaske, Shane Carnohan Abstract Paper
Poster: Conflict, Defense, and Security
Art of War: Modeling Combat Simulators in System Dynamics, by Timothy Clancy Abstract Supporting
Stakeholder Engagement
Parallel: Amplifying and Leveling Power and Influence, chaired by Margaret Novak, Volunteer(s): Graciela del Carmen Nava Guerrero
Does it work everywhere? Group Model Building as participative method in intercultural perspective, by Pleun van Arensbergen, Monic Lansu, Inge Bleijenbergh Abstract Paper Supporting
SESAMME: An iPad application for participatory systems modelling, by Russell Richards, Carl Smith, Novie Setianto Abstract Paper
Key Success Factors in Implementing System Dynamics in Project Management: Coping with lack of understanding and trust, by David Rumeser, Margaret Emsley Abstract Paper
Parallel: Asynchronous Stakeholder Engagement, chaired by Laura Black, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin
Resilience for whom? Problem structuring in the analysis of resilience for climate change adaptation, by Hugo Herrera Abstract Paper
When stakeholders cannot be involved in a modelling process: Integrating participatory modelling and consultative approaches, by Paola Espin, Franziska Meinherz, Robinson Stevens Salazar Rua Abstract Paper
Integrating GMB and Games in the Built Environment, by Shane Carnohan, Nicole Zimmermann, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
Parallel: Assessment of Stakeholder Learning, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin
Disabled People from Welfare to Jobs: An Interactive Learning Environment Experimental Investigation, by Ahmed Abdelgawad, Jaziar Radianti, Mikael Snaprud, John Krogstie Abstract Paper Supporting
Driving The Future: A Management Flight Simulator of the Market for Alternative Fuel Vehicles, by David Keith, Sergey Naumov Abstract
Do Interactive Management Flight Simulators Lead to Superior Learning Outcomes? An Experiment Using Amazon Mechanical Turk, by David Keith, Shishir Tiwari Abstract
Workshop:
Experiential Learning Environments as a Means for Transformation, by Felicjan Rydzak, Piotr Magnuszewski, Paul Monus Abstract Paper
Strategy
Parallel: Strategy Applications of System Dynamics, chaired by Corne Du Plooy, Volunteer(s): Menglin Xia
Understanding the interplay between exploration and exploitation in the data-driven servitization of manufacturing firms, by Daniel Jandt, Katja Laurischkat Abstract Paper Supporting
Interdependent Governance Mechanisms and Performance Feedback in Strategic Alliances, by Edoardo Mollona, Kerstin Neumann, Jeffrey Reuer Abstract Supporting
Nothing so practical as a good theory, Five ways to use system dynamics for theoretical contributions, by Vincent de Gooyert Abstract Paper