These materials are networking tools for members of the Society, those who attended the conference and the System Dynamics community more broadly.
The Conference provides a venue for presenting work and receiving comments that can strengthen the work and help to prepare it for wider distribution.
These web proceedings provide a complete record of presentations at the Conference. They are not intended to be a substitute for publishing in peer-reviewed journals, and some papers may be truncated or include only an abstract.
Readers are encouraged to contact authors or search scientific and business publications to determine if more authoritative and up-to-date versions of works included here exist.
Business
Parallel: Competition and Market Performance, chaired by David Andersen
Through the Red Queen effect, by M. Dolores Soto-Torres, Ramon Fernandez-Lechon, Pedro Fernandez Soto Abstract Paper Supporting
Natural Gas Pathways and Alternative-Fuel Vehicle Diffusion in the US Automotive Fleet, by David Keith Abstract
Exploring the Role of Entrepreneurship and Business Models in Technology Diffusion, by Weijia Ran, Luis Luna-Reyes, Jing Zhang, Djoko Sayogo, Francois Duhamel, Sergio Picazo-Vela, David Andersen Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Strategy and Sustainability, chaired by Bent Erik Bakken
Strategic Resources and Reestablishing Presence in the German Olive Oil Markets: A DPM Case Study, by Matthew Bigman, Dea Fitri Amelia, Ariel Gani, Enzo Bivona Abstract Paper Supporting
A simulation model for corporate sustainability performances. Motivated search, survival ability and learning feedback, by Edoardo Mollona, Lorenzo Massa, Gabriele D'Angelo Abstract Paper
Linking Brand Equity and Customer Equity: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Ariel Gani, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Diffusion and Technology
Implications of MBA Durability for Providers of Masters in Business Administration Degrees, by Warren Farr Abstract Paper Supporting
Factors for winning Format Battles: a modelling approach, by George Papachristos, Geerten van de Kaa Abstract Paper
Technology, performance and team adaptation to regulation in Formula 1, by George Papachristos Abstract Paper
Poster: Strategy & Projects 2
Managing Complexity and Uncertainty in Offshore Outsourced New Product Development Projects, by Abhijit Mandal, Saikat Chaudhuri Abstract
Poster: Energy, Housing and Private/Public Sector
Modelling a Startup Energy Service Company (ESCO) Using System Dynamics, by Carlos Capelo Abstract Paper
Renting versus Buying: System Dynamics Approach to Housing, by Sinia Sovilj, Marina Tkalec Abstract Paper Supporting
The Dynamics of Public Trust in a Business Organisation: Perspective from a Focus Group of Business Consultants, by Beth Powell, Bhakti Onggo Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Strategy and Projects
Exploring Airports' Landside Congestion Impacts on the dynamic of Passengers Satisfaction, by Salvatore Failla, Enzo Bivona, Nazareno Ventola Abstract Paper
The distribution of project performance: initial investigations of its nature and what we can learn from it, by Tristan Butterfield, Michael Yearworth Abstract Paper
Business Strategy Deltares' Delft3D, by Veronika Iurchenko Abstract Paper
Application of System Dynamics to assess competitive rivalry in the airline industry - A Case Study, by Pascal von Beuningen Abstract Paper Supporting
SOA Governance Dynamics in a multiparadigm approach, by Claynor Mazzarolo, Ricardo Chaim, Andre Toffanello, Ricardo Puttini Abstract Paper
Building Shared Vision As a Project Management Strategy: Quantitative model for a Qualitative Problem Context, by Eduard Romanenko Abstract Supporting
Economics
Parallel: Macroeconomics, chaired by Oleg Pavlov
Using inclusive wealth for dynamic analyses of sustainable development: Theory, reflection and application, by Ross Collins Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics Model of Technology and Economic Growth: A Preliminary Study, by Muhammad Tasrif Abstract Paper Supporting
Old Wine in a New Bottle: Towards a Common Language for Post-Keynesian Macroeconomics Model, by Ginanjar Utama Abstract Paper
Parallel: Monetary Economics, chaired by Elke Husemann
Macroeconomic Dynamics of Greece in the Midst of the Eurozone Crisis Application of SD Modeling and Insights for Policy, by Jesse Lastunen Abstract
From Debt Money to Public Money System -- Modeling A Transition Process Simplified, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Model of Ukraine's Monetary Sector, by Oleksandr Faryna Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Microeconomics, chaired by Asmeret Bier Naugle
Demand Endogenization of Intermediate Products in Supply Chains through a System-Dynamics-based Modularization Concept, by Oliver Handel Abstract Paper
Policy Making for a Mixed Strategy Game between Taxpayers and Tax Authorities, by Abhijit Mandal, Janos Csak Abstract
Calibrating System Dynamics Models of Technology Diffusion with Structural Breaks: The case of Android Handsets, by Abhinay Puvvala, Amitava Dutta, Rahul Roy Abstract Paper
Poster: Economics
Macroeconomic view of sustainability of dry forest in Androy region. A system dynamics approach, by Pascaux Smala Fanokoa Abstract Paper Supporting
Negative Deindustrialization: Japanese Experiences, by Takayuki Yamashita Abstract Paper Supporting
An hybrid System Dynamics Agent Based model to simulate Complex Adaptive Systems: a new model for sustainability analysis, by Irene Monasterolo, Flavio Tonelli, Aled Jones, Davide Natalini Abstract
Feedback Mechanisms in the Financial System: A Modern View, by Mikhail Oet, Oleg Pavlov Abstract Paper
Win-lose, Lose-lose and Win-win Stabilization Policies for a Growth Cycle, by Alexander Ryzhenkov Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Investigation of Employment and Production in the Fars Province Agricultural Sector, by M. Hashem Moosavi Haghighi Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Money and Macroeconomic Dynamics, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract
Environment
Parallel: Building Resilience into Environmental Planning, chaired by Gi Soo Kim
Increasing Resilience of Supply Networks to Climate Change Induced Disruptions, by Bradd Libby, Alexander Christiansen Abstract Paper Supporting
Understanding the policy implementation deficit of the Swedish Environmental Quality Objectives system, by Hördur Haraldsson, Marie Wiktorsson Abstract Paper
Causal mapping of the New Zealand natural resources sector: a preliminary analysis, by Robert Cavana, Trecia Smith, Rodney Scott, Shaun O'Connor Abstract Paper
Parallel: Sustainable Energy Management, chaired by Isa Bar-On
Analyzing Electric Vehicle Diffusion Scenarios for Istanbul, by Özlem Turan, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper Supporting
Energy transitions in Built Environment of Netherlands: A System Dynamics approach to diffusion of Solar boilers and Insulation, by Tariq Abdul Muhaimin, Nikolaos Mavroeidis Abstract Paper Supporting
Estimating the Effect of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Nile River in the 21st Century, by Bruce Keith, Erica Bower, Jonathan Lee Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Socio-Ecological Economics Policies, chaired by Tsuey-Ping Lee
Using Microfinance for Flood Mitigation and Climate Adaptation in Bangladesh, by Naveen Srivatsav, Marc Jaxa-Rozen, Rick van Staveren Abstract Paper
Natural capital in climate-economic models, by Stian Hackett Abstract
Do Indemnities Make Pollution Victims Happier?:A System Dynamics Perspective, by Tsuey-Ping Lee Abstract Paper
Parallel: Integrated Water Resource Planning, chaired by Nuno Videira
A Spatial-Dynamic Approach for the Integrated Management of Coastal Ecosystems, by Pierre-Alexandre Chateau, Yang-Chi Chang Abstract Paper
Analyzing Soil Nitrogen Management with Dynamic Simulation Experiments, by Ali Saysel Abstract Paper Supporting
A knowledge intervention to explore stakeholders' understanding of a dynamic coastal nature reserve, by Floortje d'Hont, Jill Slinger, Petra Goessen Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Coupled Human and Natural Systems
The Mednyi Mystery: An Hypothesis for the Collapse of an Arctic Fox Population Due to Removal of Human Predation, by Bradd Libby Abstract Supporting
Coilia Ectenes: Crisis and Solution, by Zhen Qin, YouLan Li Abstract
Bees population decline as a threat to crops production, by Lucas Florez Atehortua, Kevin Kruijthoff Abstract Supporting
Poster: Learning to Live Sustainably
Sahel Learning Lab, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
Mautam famines in Mizoram: An exploratory system dynamics approach, by Rick van Staveren, Marc Jaxa-Rozen Abstract Paper
Integrating Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation into National Development Planning, by Prakash Deenapanray, Andrea Bassi, Christoph Legrand, Peter Kouwenhoven, Yinping Li Abstract Paper Link from authors
The Study of Relationship Between Population Dynamics and Climate Change in China - an Ongoing Research Project, by Lin Cai Abstract Paper
Poster: Water and Energy
Study on the Impact of CO2 Emission Depending on Change of the Urban Structure: Case Study of Khon Kaen, Thailand, by Hiroki Kikuchi, Atsushi Fukuda, Tuenjai Fukuda Abstract Paper
A Simple Sustainability Model: Simulating growth with just joules of energy and bits of data, by Anton Trijssenaar Abstract Paper Supporting
The Effects of Energy Consumption on Environmental pollutants and Social Costs in Iran Using System Dynamics Approach, by Ahmad Rajabi, M. Hashem Moosavi Haghighi Abstract Paper
Health
Parallel: Modeling the Dynamics of Population-level Disease Prevention and Control, chaired by David Lounsbury
Policy Insights from the Nutritional Food Market Transformation Model: The Case of Obesity Prevention, by Jeroen Struben, Derek Chan, Laurette Dube Abstract
Modeling Obesity Trends among U.S. Children: A System Dynamics Model for Estimating the Energy Imbalance Gap, by Saeideh Fallah-Fini, Hazhir Rahmandad, Regina Bures, Terry Huang Abstract
Modeling the Dynamics of Canine Rabies and Policy Analysis under Uncertainty, by Sibel Eker, Daniel Leston, Januardy Djong Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Screening and Treatment, chaired by Gary Hirsch
Dynamic Modeling of Peritoneal Dialysis and Its Implementation in Children with Chronic Kidney Failure, by Elvan Gokalp, Gulsevi Basar, Duygu Tekin, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling the hypothalamus-pituitary-adrenal axis: A review and extension, by Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, Hazhir Rahmandad, Andrea Wittenborn Abstract
Our Walk to the "End of Cancer": Understanding the Trade-Offs and Feedback in Mammography Screening Decision, by Özge Karanfil, John Sterman Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Health Policy, Organization and Operations, chaired by Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel
Using system dynamics to inform future pharmacist student intake in England until 2040, by Jack Lawrence, Siôn Cave Abstract Paper
Global and Regional Health Partnerships: Improving the Linkages Between Global and Domestic Primary Health Care Policy Agendas, by Peter Hovmand, Gary Darmstadt, Wolfgang Munar Abstract
Dynamics of EHR Implementations, by Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi, Diane Strong, Khalid Saeed, Olga Volkoff, Sharon Johnson, Lori Pelletier, Bengisu Tulu, John Trudel, Lawrence Garber, Isa Bar-On Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Prevention, Cure and Care, chaired by Tiru Arthanari
Hospital Evacuation During Disasters: A System Dynamics Approach, by John Voyer, Matthew Dean, Christopher Pickles Abstract Paper Supporting
A Model-Based Governance and Planning System for HIV-AIDS Services in Vietnam, by Gary Hirsch, James Rice, Minh Pham, Thien Nguyen, Yen Vu, Anh Doan, Sara Wilhelmsen Abstract Paper
A Model of Population Movement, Disease Epidemic, and Communication for Health Security Investment, by Robert Jeffers Abstract Paper
Parallel: Chronic Illness and Food Modeling, chaired by Jim Duggan
Diabetes in The Netherlands: Exploratory Modelling and Analysis of a Macro Diabetes System Dynamics Model, by Thomas Logtens Abstract
Adoption Dynamics of Chronic Care Model, by Sampsa Ruutu, Hannamaija Maatta, Marja Toivonen Abstract Supporting
Food Insecurity in Ethiopia: Population, Food Production and Market, by Melak Ayenew, Birgit Kopainsky Abstract Paper
Poster: Hospitals, Emergency Departments and Medical Homes
Resilience in the Emergency Department: An Endogenous, Dynamic Phenomenon, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears Abstract
Exploring a New Mechanism Increasing Emergency Department Visits, by Katrina Hull, David Andersen Abstract Supporting
The Clinical Risk Management in a Hospital Ward: a Case-Study adopting System Dynamics Approach, by Valentina Aiello, Francesco Ceresia, Claudio Amedeo Casiglia Abstract Paper
Variation in a Medical Home: Clusters of Practice, Disparate Outcomes and Dynamic Tensions, by Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Zaid Chalabi, Karl Blanchet, Jenny Neuburger, Samuel Allen, Julie Day, Debra Scammon, Jaewhan Kim, Michael Magill, Bernd Rechel Abstract
Poster: Health Policy
Projecting the effects of long-term care policy on the labor market participation of informal caregivers: Simulation Insights, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Rahul Malhotra, Chang Liu Abstract
A Research Framework To Design Sustainable Patients' Mobility Policies In Sicily, by Francesca Costanza, Enzo Bivona, Giada Li Calzi Abstract Paper
A Dynamic Model of Centralized vs. Decentralized Process Improvement, by Edward Anderson Abstract Supporting
Poster: Collaboration and Community
Collaboration in model use, by Peter Lacey, Simon Taylor, Konstantinos Domdouzis Abstract Supporting
Facilitating Bottom-Up Knowledge to Support Decision-Making in Long-term Healthcare Providers, by Meri Duryan, Godefridus van Merode, Dragan Nikolik, Leopold Curfs Abstract Paper
Making the Most of Simulation Modeling in Community Settings: A Conceptual Framework with Practical Value, by Karen Minyard, Tina Smith, Richard Turner, Bobby Milstein Abstract
Poster: Alcohol and Training
Alcohol Learning Lab, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro Abstract Paper Link from authors
Testing training programs to limit binge drinking, by Erling Moxnes, Stephen Alessi Abstract Paper
Poster: Chronic Diseases and Ageing
Access to Healthy Food Innovations and Initiatives across Socio-economic Classes, by Derek Chan Abstract
Educational attainment and incidence-based projection of functional disability among older Singaporeans, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Rahul Malhotra, Chi-Tsun Chiu Abstract
Poster: Diseases, Screening and Treatment
Modelling the trio infection of HIV, Malaria and TB: A System dynamics approach, by Henry Mwangi Abstract Paper
A Method for Modelling and Calibrating Disaggregated Diffusion Models, by Jim Duggan Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics, Optimal Control and Analytic Hierarchy Process applied to the Chemotherapy of Leukemia, by Leno Rocha, Takashi Yoneyama, Mischel Neyra Belderrain, Paulo Goncalves Abstract Paper Supporting
A Dynamic Model for Breast Cancer Screening: Misperceptions and Feedback in Screening Mammography Debate, by Özge Karanfil, John Sterman Abstract
Human Behavior
Parallel: Policy Design, Political Philosophy and Opinion Formation, chaired by John Morecroft
Estimating the Dynamics of Individual Opinions in Online Communities, by Armin Ashouri Rad, Hazhir Rahmandad, Mehdi Yahyanejad Abstract Paper Supporting
Operationalizing Systems Thinking and System Dynamics Principles, Methods, and Tools in Government Policy and Management, by Peter Heffron Abstract Paper Supporting
Equality?, by Peter Lacey Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Human Performance Dynamics, chaired by Elise Axelrad
The Mystery of Job Performance: A System Dynamics Model of Human Behavior, by Joachim Block, Stefan Pickl Abstract Paper
Task complexity in individual stock control tasks for laboratory experiments on human understanding of dynamic systems, by Hendrik Stouten, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper
Decision Heuristics and Human Performance in a Policy Management Simulation, by Daniel Lafond, Jean-François Gagnon, Marie-Ève St-Louis, Sylvain Pronovost, Michel DuCharme, Sébastien Tremblay Abstract Paper
Poster: Social Dynamics
Assessing Sustainable Development of Isolated Communities: The Role of Electricity Supply, by Yony Fernando Ceballos, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper
From Singlehood to Marriage, by Elizabeth Ong Abstract Paper Supporting
A systems approach to understanding the effect of Facebook use on the quality of interpersonal communication, by Megan Davies, Josephine Musango, Alan Brent Abstract Paper
Model Building with Soft Variables: A Case Study on Riots, by John Hayward, Rebecca Jeffs, Leanne Howells, Kathryn Evans Abstract Paper Supporting
Information and Knowledge
Parallel: Information and Knowledge, chaired by Thomas Wittig
Innovation Dynamics in High Tech Sectors, by Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Gregorio Varvakis, Ricardo Pietrobon, Pablo Bittencourt, Caroline Rodrigues Vaz Abstract
Embedding Learning Aids in System Archetypes, by Veerendra Rai, Dong-Hwan Kim Abstract Paper
Integrating Stock-and-Flow Structures in Decision-support Dashboards A Catalyst to Improve Dynamic Decision Making, by Jürgen Strohhecker, Michael Leyer Abstract Paper
Poster: Information and Knowledge 2
Utilization of Knowledge in Construction Projects, by Ilir Rodiqi Abstract Paper
Poster: Information and Knowledge 1
Information Science in System Dynamics: A Review of the ISDC Bibliography, by Mingzhe Tao, Eliot Rich Abstract Paper
Modeling Spin-off Creation in University Technology Transfer with System Dynamics, by Mutiara Sidharta, Takeshi Arai, Utomo Putro, Hidetsugu Morimoto Abstract Paper
Foresight and System Dynamics for modelling the dynamics of Organizational Knowledge, by Paulo Nakamura, Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper
Mathematical modeling and computational semiotics: methodological approach to formalization of semiotic concepts, by Silvia Regina Coelho, Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper
The Diffusion of Constellations of Small SAR Satellites: A Complex System Approach, by Ludmila Ribeiro, Manuel Barcelos Abstract Paper
Learning and Teaching
Parallel: Competences and Frameworks for Teaching System Dynamics, chaired by Pascal Gambardella
Towards a System Dynamics Competence Framework, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser Abstract
Building Systems Thinking Capacity: An essential skill set for policymakers, by Rachel Ferencik, Chris Soderquist, Karen Minyard, Mary Ann Phillips Abstract Paper
The Design of Educational Programs in System Dynamics at WPI, by Oleg Pavlov, James Doyle, Khalid Saeed, James Lyneis, Michael Radzicki Abstract Paper
Parallel: Processes Underlying the Learning of Dynamics, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky
Learning From Erroneous Models Using SCYDynamics, by Yvonne Mulder, Lars Bollen, Ton de Jong Abstract Paper
Bathtub Dynamics Revisited: Does Educational Background Matter?, by Florian Kapmeier, Roland Maximilian Happach, Meike Tilebein Abstract Paper
Do People Possess a Global and Ordinal Understanding of Accumulation ? An Experimental Study, by Mihaela Tabacaru, Helen Fischer, Nadia Said Abstract Paper
Poster: Instructional Applications of Modeling
A Developmental Framework for Assessing Application of Systems Thinking and Systems Dynamics in Teams and Organizations, by Saras Chung, Jaime Hoard, Peter Hovmand Abstract
System Dynamics and Serious Games, by Cornelia van Daalen, Martin Schaffernicht, Igor Mayer Abstract Paper
Dynamics of Solid Fuel Rocket Engines: Exploring Physics and Feedback, by Warren Farr Abstract Paper Supporting
Adoption of Qualitative System Dynamics in Primary and Secondary Education in the German-speaking Part of Switzerland, by Patrick Kunz, Ursula Frischknecht-Tobler, Brigitte Bollmann-Zuberbühler, Nina-Cahtrin Strauss, Stefan Groesser Abstract
Forecasting Outcomes Achieved in Cultural and Creative Projects: System Dynamics Approach, by Eva Svirakova Abstract Paper Supporting
Sandbox SD Models: Catalyzing the Widespread Understanding of Dynamics, by Ninad Jagdish, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Organizing and Analyzing Models with Stella and iThink, by Karim Chichakly, Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg Abstract
Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Steinar Moen, La Tonya Walker Abstract Link from authors
Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling for Math and Science Instruction: Online Professional Development Opportunity, by Diana Fisher Abstract
Getting Started with Stella, by Robert Eberlein, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg Abstract
High Performance Online Simulations with the Next-Generation Forio Simulation Platform, by Michael Bean Abstract Link from authors
Modeling Dynamic Systems: Lessons for a First Course, by Diana Fisher Abstract
Advanced Modeling with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Steinar Moen Abstract Link from authors
Building Systems Thinking Skills for Policymakers: Using a range of systems thinking activities to deliver insight, by Rachel Ferencik, Chris Soderquist, Karen Minyard Abstract
Methodology
Plenary: Tuesday Afternoon TWIN SESSION: Methodology: Analysis and Data, chaired by John Sterman
Uncertainty and System Dynamics, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Structural dominance in large and stochastic models, by Rogelio Oliva Abstract Paper
A Survey of Methods for Data Inclusion in System Dynamics Models: Methods, Tools and Applications, by James Houghton, Michael Siegel, Daniel Goldsmith, Allen Moulton, Stuart Madnick, Anton Wirsch Abstract Paper
Parallel: Optimization and Analysis, chaired by Gönenç Yucel
Behavior Analysis and Testing Software (BATS), by Can Sucullu, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper Supporting
Modern Nonlinear Optimization Techniques for an Optimal Control of System Dynamics Models, by Ingmar Vierhaus, Armin Fugenschuh, Robert Lion Gottwald, Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper
Parallel: Methodology: Modeling Approaches, chaired by Jürgen Strohhecker
Agile SD: Fast, Effective, Reliable, by Kim Warren Abstract Paper
Using Case Survey Methodology to Extract Variables and Causal Links: An Example from Studying Business Process Change, by Zuzana Rosenberg, Marlen Christin Jurisch, Michael Schermann, Helmut Krcmar Abstract Paper
Standard Cases: Standard Structures: Standard Models, by Kim Warren Abstract Paper
Parallel: Methodology: Understanding Model Behaviour and Replicability, chaired by Diana Fisher
Novel Sensitivity Analysis for Dynamic Models, by Ahmed Yehia, Mohamed Saleh, Ayman Taha, Hisham El-Shishiny Abstract Paper
Adaptive sampling to explore the behavioral spectrum of system dynamics models: The case of mineral/metal scarcity, by Tushith Islam, Erik Pruyt Abstract
Opportunity to improve: the first large scale empirical analysis about the replicability of system dynamics studies, by Stefan Groesser, Joanna Gabriel Abstract Link from authors
Parallel: Methodology: Model Building, chaired by Eliot Rich
Comparing Behavioral Dynamics Across Models: the Case of Copper, by Jan Kwakkel, Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
From data-poor to data-rich: System Dynamics in the era of Big Data, by Erik Pruyt, Scott Cunningham, Jan Kwakkel, Hans de Bruijn Abstract Paper
Market Penetration of Alternative Powertrain Concepts in Heavy Commercial Vehicles: A System Dynamics Approach, by Claudio Seitz, Orestis Terzidis Abstract Paper
Poster: Methodology: Poster Session 1
Can System Dynamics learn from Social Network Analysis?, by Lukas Schoenenberger, Andrea Schenker-Wicki Abstract Paper
A Different Outlook On Stock-Flow Tasks: Using Eye Tracking Methodology To Explore Eye Movements Of Problem Solvers, by Hubert Korzilius, Stefan Raaijmakers, Eline de Jong Abstract
A New Entity-Based System Dynamics Tool, by Larry Yeager, Thomas Fiddaman, David Peterson Abstract Paper Supporting
A data-driven and tool supported CLD creation approach, by Marc Drobek, Wasif Gilani, Danielle Soban Abstract Paper
Formal Behaviour Classification under Uncertainty: Applying Formal Analysis to System Dynamics, by Jurgen Kuipers Abstract Paper Supporting
Boundary Concepts in System Dynamics, by John Trimble Abstract Paper
Poster: Methodology: Poster Session 2
The Future of Modeling and Simulation: Beyond Dynamic Complexity and the Current State of Science, by Erik Pruyt, Tushith Islam Abstract Paper
Combining the Strengths of System Dynamics and the Multi-Level Perspective to Explore Policies for Sustainable Transitions, by Christoph Mazur, Marcello Contestabile, Gregory Offer, Nigel Brandon Abstract
The Scientist Personality of System Dynamics, by Camilo Olaya Abstract Paper
Using Difference Equation to Model Discrete-time Behavior in System Dynamics Modeling, by Reza Hesan, Amineh Ghorbani, Virginia Dignum Abstract Paper
The missing seventh stage: model construction, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract Supporting
Workshop:
Building and Publishing Model Interfaces using Stella and iThink, by William Schoenberg, Karim Chichakly, Robert Eberlein Abstract
Calibration with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link from authors
Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis, by Erik Pruyt Abstract
Hands-on Entity Based System Dynamics, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager, David Peterson Abstract
Getting Started With Simantics System Dynamics and Simupedia, by Antti Villberg Abstract Link from authors
Getting Started with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link from authors
Agile SD: a fast, effective, reliable approach to model development, by Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer Abstract Link from authors
Model Analysis Tools and Methods, by Gönenç Yucel, Jim Duggan, Sibel Eker, Jill Slinger, Cornelia van Daalen, Rogelio Oliva, Christian Erik Kampmann, Andrew Ford Abstract Paper
AnyLogic 7 Multi-method simulation software, by Vladimir Koltchanov Abstract Paper
System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano Abstract Link from authors
Operations
Parallel: Operations: Project and Asset Management, chaired by Leonard Malczynski
To host a conference with short arrangement time, by Yutaka Takahashi Abstract Paper Supporting
A structure-based System Dynamics Approach for Assessing Engineering Design Processes, by Daniel Kasperek, Markus Lindinger, Sebastian Maisenbacher, Maik Maurer Abstract Paper Supporting
Machine Strategy Evaluation Using System Dynamics Group Model Building, by Gary Linneusson, Tehseen Aslam Abstract Paper
Parallel: Operations: Supply Chain and Flow Management, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann
Effect of Lead Time on Anchor-and-Adjust Ordering Policy in Continuous Time Stock Control Systems, by Ahmet Mutallip, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
Interactive Dynamic Modeling for the Passenger Flow Bottleneck and Security Checkpoint Management at an Airport, by Serdar Cakaciaslan, Pinar Seke, Mustafa Ugur, Tolga Saglik, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring Duplicate Orders in a Single-Manufacturer Multi-Distributor Supply Chains, by Sebastian Villa Betancur, Gloria Urrea Castano, Paulo Goncalves Abstract Paper
Poster: Operations: Supply Chains and Inventories
Desired Supply Line Value Calculation for Multi-Supplier Systems, by Ahmet Mutallip, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
The Effect of Semi-Rational Supply Chain Members on the Decision Parameters Used in Managing the Stock of an Echelon, by Mert Edali, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
Sustainability of Colombian Livestock Systems: the Stocking Rate Submodel, by Raul Molina, Alberto Atzori, Romulo Campos, Hugo Sanchez Abstract Paper
Poster: Operations: Projects
System Dynamics Model of an Assembly System in Ramp-Up Focusing Inspections, by Isabel Basse, Robert Schmitt Abstract Paper
Dynamic Analysis of Trust and Commitment Building, by Tomi Sorasalmi, Joona Tuovinen, Sen Bao Abstract Paper
Analysing Delays and Disruptions in Aircraft Heavy Maintenance, by Leandro Salazar Rosales, Jian-Bo Yang, Yu-Wang Chen Abstract Paper Supporting
Using System Dynamics and Fuzzy Logic to Assess the Implementation RFID Technology, by Milton Herrera Ramirez, Javier Orjuela Castro, Mauricio Becerra Fernandez, Olga Romero Quiroga Abstract Paper Supporting
Public Policy
Plenary: Tuesday Afternoon TWIN SESSION: Governance: Social Applications, chaired by Krystyna Stave
Dynastic Cycle: A Resource Allocation Theme For Addressing Dissent In Universities, by Raafat Zaini, Khalid Saeed, Oleg Pavlov, Michael Elmes Abstract Paper Supporting
Dynamics of Obesity Interventions inside Organizations, by Mohammad Jalali, Hazhir Rahmandad, Sally Bullock, Alice Ammerman Abstract Supporting
Hiring College Graduates to Flip Hamburgers: An Endogenous Theory of Professionalization, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Yi Xue, Richard Larson Abstract
Plenary: Monday Afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Supply Lines and Resources, chaired by Edoardo Mollona
"I'm not hoarding, I'm just stocking up before the hoarders get here." Behavioral causes of phantom ordering in supply chains, by John Sterman, Gökhan Dogan Abstract
Why Do Cattle Prices Fluctuate?: Structural Characteristics and Simulation Works, by Man-Hyung Lee, Nam Hee Choi, Won-Gyu Ha Abstract Paper
Towards a shared understanding of nutrient pollution in Cape Cod's coastal waters, by Adem Delibas, J. Bradley Morrison Abstract Paper
Plenary: Wednesday Afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Governance, chaired by David Wheat
System Dynamics and GMB in Practice the Case of Heavy Cannabis in The Netherlands, by Rian Van Gulijk, Willem Stapel Abstract
Unintended Consequences of the North Dakota Oil Boom: Stress on the Local Counties, by Therese Bennich, Tom Bongers, David Collste Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling Government Intervention in Agricultural Commodity Markets: U.S. Dairy Policy Under the Agricultural Act of 2014, by Charles Nicholson, Mark Stephenson Abstract Paper
Plenary: Monday Morning PLENARY SESSION: Award-Worthy System Dynamics Applications, chaired by Kim Warren
A Model For Eliminating Veteran Homelessness in the USA, by Stephanie Glasser, Walter Ellis, James Chin, Chris Glazner, Vincent Kane Abstract
Reviewing Child Protection in England, by David Lane, Eileen Munro, Elke Husemann Abstract
Counteracting the success trap in publicly owned corporations, by Bob Walrave, Georges Romme, Kim van Oorschot Abstract Paper Supporting
Plenary: Wednesday Morning PLENARY SESSION: National Governance, chaired by Pċl Davidsen
National Governance, by Birgit Kopainsky, Matteo Pedercini, Fulai Sheng Abstract
Parallel: System Dynamics Insights for Urban Management , chaired by Laura Peterson
Regulation or information: Can we influence city competition?, by Simon Shepherd, Chandra Balijepalli Abstract Paper
Modeling the 2005 Hatlestad Slide, by Ying Qian, Leire Labaka, Peter Lango, Jose Gonzalez Abstract Paper Supporting
An Adaptive Statistical Data Processing Algorithm Applied to SD Modeling of Iran's Demographic Transition, by Hamed Shakouri, Shakib Taheri, Ayyub Ansarinejad, Sadegh Shahmohammadi Abstract Paper
Parallel: Public Policy for Resource Management, chaired by Jill Slinger
Sustainable Diffusion of Improved Cookstoves in Rural India: Exploring Key Determinants through System Dynamics Modeling, by Praveen Kumar, Raul Martinez, Zhu Xiao Abstract Supporting
Using System Dynamics to Explore the Water Supply and Demand Dilemmas of a Small South African Municipality, by Jai Clifford-Holmes, Jill Slinger, Josephine Musango, Alan Brent, Carolyn Palmer Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Urban Mitigation for Climate Change, chaired by Laura Black
Impacts of Climate Mitigation Policies on Sectoral Distribution Effects and overall Economic Growth in Germany, by Johannes Hartwig, Wolfgang Schade Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Model for Analyzing the International Diffusion of Emerging Climate Change Mitigation Technologies, by Edmundo Molina Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Public Policy at the National Level, chaired by Gloria Perez Salazar
Inclusive growth and sustainable finance in connected national economies, by Klaus Arto, Joachim Block, Bo Hu, Armin Leopold, Stefan Pickl Abstract Paper
Using System Dynamics to Analyze Social and Economic Challenges for Myanmar, by John Huertas Quiroga, Maria Franco Abstract Paper Supporting
Understanding & Modelling Corruption: Exploiting System Dynamics, by Muhammad Ullah, Tiru Arthanari, Anson Li Abstract Supporting
Poster: Managing Dynamics in Public Policy
Occupational Labour Demand Sub-model of Latvian Labour Market Forecasting and Policy Analysis System Dynamics Model, by Valerijs Skribans Abstract Paper
Understanding the Low Proportion of Women in Employment in Indonesia: A System Dynamics Approach, by Fajar Pinagara, Inge Bleijenbergh Abstract Paper
A study on the dynamics of government investment in graduate education capacity and employment in Iran, by Sina Jangali Kasmaei, Yalda Amini, Gholamreza Eslamifar Abstract Supporting
Exploration of the Growing Trend of Electric Vehicles in Beijing based on SD model, by Chaoning Zhang, Caiyan Qin Abstract Paper Supporting
Models focused on policies: the search for feedback, by M. Dolores Soto-Torres, Ramon Fernandez-Lechon, Pedro Fernandez Soto Abstract
Development of a generic Smart City model using MARVEL, by Guido Veldhuis, Peter van Scheepstal, Nathalie Vink Abstract Paper
A Stock and Flow Based Framework for Indicator Identification for Evaluation of Crop Production System, by Siva Muthuprakash Kottakarar Murugan, Om Damani Abstract Paper
A dynamic analysis on the child labour population in Iran, by Farshid Shafiei, Gholamreza Eslamifar Abstract Supporting
Poster: Urban Planning
Sanitation technology options in informal settlement: a system dynamics approach, by Paul Currie, Jack Radmore, Josephine Musango, Alan Brent Abstract Paper Supporting
A system dynamics approach to exploring the relationship between income distribution and residential electricity consumption, by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Willem Nel, Brett Cohen, Josephine Musango Abstract Paper
A system dynamics approach to examine the method of resolving traffic congestion in Tehran, by Golnoosh Sharifan, Sina Jangali Kasmaei, Yalda Amini, Gholamreza Eslamifar Abstract Supporting
Urban Dynamics Learning Lab, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro Abstract Paper
Misconceptions of the Dynamic Nature of Building Energy Retrofitting Rates in Germany, by Max Kleemann Abstract
Poster: Social Dynamics
Chinese Dynasties Learning Lab II, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro Abstract Paper
Check-Sim: Cultural Heritage Check-up Simulation model, by Habib Sedehi, Laura De Rocco Abstract Paper
Toll Road Infrastructure Development in Indonesia: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Lukas Sihombing Abstract Paper Supporting
Simulation of the pension system process development, by Natalia Lychkina Abstract Paper
Towards a Sustainable Social Service Delivery System Through Public-Private Partnership: A Conceptual System Dynamics Approach, by Mona Soufivand, Enzo Bivona, Enza Giangreco, Valentina Chetta Abstract
The Impact of State's Legal and Organizational Framework on Social Capital Development, by Pietro Sorci Abstract
The War on Drugs: A Failure in (Operational) Thinking, by Camilo Olaya, Vanessa Angel Abstract Paper
Applying Systems Thinking to Design a Criminal Policy, by Antonio Cavazos Elizondo, Gloria Perez Salazar, Estefania Bojorquez, Pedro Torres Estrada, Juan Garza Abstract
Resources
Parallel: Resource Markets, chaired by Andrew Ford
Modeling the inner-European trade volumes of natural gas, by Roland Maximilian Happach, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring the Effects of Shale Gas Development on Natural Gas Markets: a Multi-method Approach, by Ruben Moorlag, Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Analyzing the Dynamics of the Bio-methane Production Chain and the Effectiveness of Subsidization Schemes under Uncertainty, by Sibel Eker, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper
Parallel: Feeding Humanity, chaired by Inge Bleijenbergh
Dynamic thinking about food system vulnerabilities in highly developed countries: Issues and initial analytic structure, by Krystyna Stave, Birgit Kopainsky Abstract Paper
Addicted to Fertilizers - How soil mismanagement makes our food systems increasingly vulnerable, by Matteo Pedercini, Kaveh Dianati, Gunda Zullich Abstract Supporting
Socio Economic Effects of Food Insecurity in Kenya and Possible Reduction of Undernourishment through a Different Crop Mix, by Santiago Movilla Blanco Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Mitigation and Reduction Resources Policies, chaired by Robert Jeffers
Simulating Pelletization Strategies to Reduce the Biomass Supply Risk at America's Biorefineries, by Shane Carnohan, Jacob Jacobson, Andrew Ford, Allyson Beall King Abstract Paper Supporting
Effect of the emissions-mitigation policy on the electricity sector, by Laura Cardenas, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco Abstract
Security of Supply in the Swiss Electricity Market: A System Dynamics Approach, by Sebastian Osorio, Ann van Ackere Abstract Paper
Parallel: Resource Management, chaired by Carmine Bianchi
Long Term Policy Analysis of Malaysia's Renewable Energy Fund Budget: A System Dynamics Approach, by Sadegh Shahmohammadi, Rosnah Binti Yusuff, Hamed Shakouri, Mir Sadat, Sina Keyhanian Abstract Paper
Energy Transition Dynamics; Understanding Policy Resistance in the Dutch Energy System, by Vincent de Gooyert, Etiënne Rouwette, Hans van Kranenburg, R. Edward Freeman, Harry van Breen Abstract
Modelling the Skinner Thesis: Consequences of a Lognormal or a Bimodal Resource Base Distribution, by Willem Auping Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Resources, Land and Food
Peak Waste: a dynamical analysis of global waste trend production, by Ugo Bardi, Virginia Pierini, Christophe Mangeant, Alessandro Lavacchi Abstract
Food Security as an Outcome of Food Systems: A Feedback Perspective, by Andreas Gerber Abstract Paper
Exploratory Model of Conservation Agriculture Adoption and Diffusion in Zambia: a Dynamic Perspective, by Dea Fitri Amelia, Birgit Kopainsky, Progress Nyanga Abstract Paper
Dwarf Shrubs Alichur: GIS-SD Hybrid Model, by Georg Hohberg Abstract
A System Dynamics Model for the Investigation of Additional Source of Raw Water from Effluent Water from a Constructed Wetland, by Ezekiel Adeniran Abstract Paper
Poster: Resources and Energy
Modeling the Feedback of Battery Raw Material Shortages on the Diffusion of Alternative Automotive Drives, by Simon Gloeser, André Kuehn Abstract Paper Supporting
The Shale Gas Phenomenon: Utilizing the Power of System Dynamics to Quantify Uncertainty, by La Tonya Walker, Leonard Malczynski, Peter Kobos, Garrett Barter Abstract Paper Supporting
The Effect of Utility Cost Reduction, by Marta Somogyvari, Tibor Kiss, Gyorgyi Nemeth Abstract Supporting
Dynamics of Smart Grid Technology Acceptance, by Chankook Park, Hyun-Jae Kim Abstract
The Impacts of Governmental Policies on the Investment Decision for Renewable Energies in the Swiss Electricity Market, by Merla Kubli Abstract Paper
System Dynamics Project: The case of Electricity in Shanghai, by Qihui Yang, Zhenpeng Zuo Abstract Paper Supporting
Security
Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security I, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano
A General Theory of Societal Governance and Power Dynamics of Extremist Groups, by Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Bernard Abstract Paper
Applying Existing System Dynamics Business Formulations to Model Terror Organizations, by Munaf Aamir Abstract Supporting
Adversarial Dynamics: Coupled Reversals in Asynchronous Conflicts, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Richard Kraske, Douglas MacIvor, David Sallach, Stephen Conrad Abstract
Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security II, chaired by John Richardson
Julius Caesar's System Understanding of the Gallic Crisis: a peek into the mind of a History Maker, by Stefano Armenia, Angelo De Angelis Abstract Paper
The Geopolitical Impact of Shale Gas: The Modelling Approach, by Willem Auping, Sijbren de Jong, Jan Kwakkel, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Resilience in Civil Conflict and Implications for Intervention Policies: An integrative systems approach to policy design, by Nancy Hayden Abstract Supporting
Poster: Conflict, Defense, and Security Poster
Defense Capability Engineering: Design of a Conceptual Model, by Juliana Gomez-Quintero Abstract Paper
The Dynamics of Violent Crimes in New York City: A 50-Year Perspective, by Daniel Sanchez de la Nieta Guisa Abstract Paper Supporting
Understanding Security Policies in the Cyber Warfare Domain through System Dynamics, by Stefano Armenia, Camillo Carlini, Alessandro Cardazzone Abstract Paper
Analyzing counter-terrorism and asymmetric conflict policies by means of a system dynamics approach, by Stefano Armenia, Alessandro Cardazzone Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics approach to Critical Infrastructures Interdependency Analysis: the experience of the CRISADMIN Project, by Stefano Armenia, Camillo Carlini, Alessandro Cardazzone, Pierluigi Assogna, Elisabeth Brein, Cristina d'Alessandro, Edoardo Limone Abstract Paper
Stakeholder Engagement
Parallel: Participatory Modeling in the Public Sphere: New Insights on Impacts and Methods, chaired by William Biach
Dynamic decision making in coupled social-ecological systems, by Maria Saldarriaga, Progress Nyanga, Birgit Kopainsky Abstract Paper
Increasing Accessibility of Participatory System Dynamics Modeling Methods: Proposal for a New Rapid Protocol, by Paroma Wagle Abstract Paper
Group model building do clients value reported outcomes?, by Rodney Scott, Robert Cavana, Donald Cameron Abstract Paper
Poster: Stakeholder Engagement: Combining SD with Other Approaches
Using system dynamics to improve integrated Life Cycle Cost of Physical Assets, by Michel Kuijer, Arjen Ros, Richenel Breeveld Abstract Paper
Combining group decision support systems and system dynamics to create strategic statements, by Hugo Herrera Abstract Paper
Extending Group Model Building to Agent Based Modeling: A Case Study on Understanding the Paradox of Primary Care, by Peter Hovmand, Nathaniel Osgood, Alison Kraus, Jill Kuhlberg, Ross Hammond, Kristen Hassmiller Lich, Anindita Biswas, Kurt Stange, Johnie Rose Abstract
Poster: Stakeholder Engagement: Insights on Implementation
System Dynamics Methods on a Shoe-String, by Samuel Allen Abstract
Analysis of project management processes at a Dutch public infrastructure agency using group model-building, by Veronika Iurchenko, Dea Fitri Amelia, Dominik Jung Abstract Paper Supporting
Seeking Implementation in Group Model Building Interventions, by Maria Franco Abstract
The value of Stakeholder Group Model-Building when facing a System Dynamic problem, by Anna Olafsdottir, Gunnar Stefansson, Helgi Ingason Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Driving The Future: A Management Flight Simulator of the Market for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, by David Keith, Sergey Naumov, John Sterman Abstract
Scriptapedia 5.0: A Tool for Designing "Scripted" Group Model Building Workshops, by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract Paper
Strategy
Parallel: Strategy and System Dynamics, chaired by Sharon Els
Drawing Insights from a Small Model of the Growth of a Management Science Field, by George Richardson Abstract Paper Supporting
Visualising Strategies: The impact of user interpretation of a strategic decision support system, by Martin Kunc, Rossen Kazakov Abstract Paper
An Exploration of the SD field: a Model-Based Policy Analysis Perspective, by Anika Rose Abstract Paper
Parallel: Strategy: Theory and Practice, chaired by Martin Kunc
Dynamics of strategizing practices and framing processes in organizational identity transitions, by Nicole Zimmermann, Laura Black, Don Greer Abstract Paper
The use of system dynamics in a strategic review of the English dental workforce, by Siôn Cave, Graham Willis, Daniele Gioe, Hannah Darvill Abstract Paper
From Category Building to Industry Referent: Competition and Coevolution among Hybrid Electric Vehicles, by Jeroen Struben, Jad Sassine Abstract Paper
Poster: Strategy Posters
Locked in a capability trap? The case of the composites industry, by Anna Chatzimichali, Michael Yearworth, Kevin Potter Abstract Paper
The Dynamic Relationships between Technology, Business Model and Market in Autonomous Car and Intelligent Robot Industries, by JinHyo Yun, JeongHo Yang, Dong Kyu Won, EuiSeob Jeong, JiYoung Park Abstract Paper Supporting
Using system dynamics principles for conceptual modelling to resolve causes of rework in construction projects, by Olatunji Aiyetan, Dillip Das Abstract Paper
Matching Integrated Reporting with System Dynamics for Integrated Thinking: Focus on the Airline Sector, by Federico Barnabe Abstract Supporting
Integrating System Dynamics with traditional management tools: a case study in the Apparel Industry, by Hugo Herrera Abstract Paper Supporting
Grain Processing Strategic Growth Model & Tool for the Board of Directors, by Jeff Trailer Abstract Supporting