| Conference Proceedings The 14th International Conference of the System
  Dynamics Society1996 Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
   The following papers were presented at the conference in parallel,
  plenary, and poster sessions. The original printed proceedings, edited by
  George P. Richardson and John D. Sterman, were printed in hardcopy (Volume 1:
  A-L and Volume 2: M-Z) and distributed at the conference. Below please find
  the Paper Index for these proceedings, including a link to the paper when available.
  Papers are listed alphabetically by the last name of the first author. To
  find a paper by an author who is not the first author, simply search on the
  author's name. Available papers are Acrobat (.pdf) files and can be read
  using Acrobat Reader available from adobe.com.    To view titles and abstracts on a searchable page, click here.    For details about
        purchasing a copy of the printed proceedings, visit our website System Dynamics Society or send an
        email message to office@systemdynamics.org..
 
 PAPER INDEX - listed alphabetically by first author:   | 
 
   | Ackere, Ann van with Peter Smith    Analyzing National Health Service Waiting Times | 
 
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   | Akkermans, Henk with Jac Vennix    Clients' Opinions on Group Model-Building: An Exploratory Study | 
 
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   | Alanne, Prikka-Matti P. with Anil B. Jambekar   Putting Systems Thinking to Use: A Case Study | 
 
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   | Alexander, William    Efficiency In Sustainability - The Efficient Life Styles of Kerala | 
 
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   | Alfeld, Louis Edward   Dynamic Simulation of Rural Social and Economic Interaction | 
 
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   | Alfeld, Louis Edward with Robert M. Sholtes   The Industrial Base Analysis Model (IBAM) | 
 
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   | Anderson, E.G. with N.R. Joglekar   Modeling the Dynamics of Technological Ramp-up Within Firms | 
 
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   | Andrade Sosa, Hugo Hernando with Jaime Daniel Mejia Castro, Ricardo Vicente Jaime Vivas and Jose Alberto Pinto Mantilla   Microworlds: A System Dynamics Application in Learning Keynesian Macroeconomics | 
 
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   | Andrade Sosa, Hugo Hernando with Alvaro Ramirez Garcia and Jose Daniel Cabrera Cruz   Re-Building Knowledge By Assumption of Complexity with System Dynamics - A Case Example in Polymerization Process Engineering | 
 
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   | Antunes, Maria Paula with Rui Santos and Nuno Videira   The Impact of Environmental Policy on a Firm's Behavior - A System Dynamics Approach | 
 
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   | Aronson, Daniel   Walking Through the Minefield: How Systems Thinkers Avoid Fallacies of Perception and Action | 
 
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   | Arthur, William B. with Robert L. Eberlein   Sensitivity Simulation | 
 
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   | Barlas, Yaman with Vedat G. Diker   Decision Support for Strategic University Management: A Dynamic Interactive Game | 
 
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   | Barlas, Yaman with Ayse Aksogan   Product Diversification and Quick Response Order Strategies in Supply Chain Management | 
 
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   | Barron, Antonio with Silvio Martinez and Jose Maria Lopez   A Simulation Model for Telecommunications Services Partially Substituting | 
 
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   | Barton, John   A Contemporary Masters Program in Systems Thinking and System Dynamics | 
 
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   | Barton, John   A Framework for Addressing Contemporary Management Problems | 
 
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   | Barton, John with Purnandu Mandel   A Policy Model for a Retail Water Company in Australia | 
 
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   | Bave, Eric    Recycling of Building Materials | 
 
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   | Bell, Gary A. with J.O. Jenkins   A Proposed Project Management Cost Modeling Taxonomy | 
 
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   | Benassi, Mario with Roberto Berchi   Modularization of the Enterprise and System Dynamics Models: An Application to the Explication of Suggestions from the Shops | 
 
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   | Benigno, Edwin   A Model of the Rice Postharvest System in the Philippines | 
 
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   | Bernstein, Dan S.   Global Change Education: The Use of System Dynamics Concepts for Science and Policy Interface | 
 
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   | Bianchi, Carmine with Alfredo Moscardini   Budget Formulation, Unpredictability and the Use of System Dynamics as a Coordinating and Learning Mechanism in Regional Government Management | 
 
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   | Bickle, Bruce with Bernard McGarvey   Application of Dynamic modeling to a Solvent Recovery Area at a Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Plant. | 
 
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   | Boucher, Adrian   New Approaches to Learning and Teaching: Student-Centred Modelling with Visually-Oriented Simulation Packages | 
 
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   | Bridgeland, David with Dorothy Yu and Mitesh Suckak   A Management Flight Simulator for Strategy Communication and Organizational Alignment | 
 
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   | Carena, Augusto with Dharma Sri   Mass Learning: An Application of System Dynamics | 
 
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   | Calvaleri, Steven A. with James A. Thompson   Assessing the Efficacy of Microworlds for Promoting Systems Thinking | 
 
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   | Cloutier, Martin L. with Steven T. Sonka and Randall E. Westgreen   Linking the Film to its Environment: A System Dynamic Approach | 
 
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   | Cole, Vera J. with M.K. Hughes   Using System Dynamics to Determine the Return on Investment in Engineering Information Technology | 
 
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   | Colemann-Kemmula, Seetha   A Study of the Manpower System of a Shell R&D Laboratory | 
 
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   | Coyle, R. G with C.J. Miller   The Strategic Dynmaics of Counter-Insurgency Warfare | 
 
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   | Crespo Marquez, Adolfo with Rafael Ruiz Usano, Jose Manuel Framinan Torres and Ricardo Zubiria de Castro   The Pull Control Systems:  A System Dynamics Perspective | 
 
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   | de Kok, Jean- Luc with H.G. Wind   Systems Dynamics as a Methodology for Sustainable Coastal- Zone Management | 
 
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   | Despotakis, Vassilios K. with Maria Giaoutzi   Spatial Modeling of Urban Dynamics | 
 
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   | Deweese, Michael R.   Decision Making in a Small School District: A Case Study Employing Principles of Systems Thinking and iThkink | 
 
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   | Diehl, Ernst   Proactive Maintenance and Reactive Repair | 
 
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   | Doyle, James K. with Michael J. Radzicki and W. Scott Trees    Measuring the Effects of Systems Thinking Interventions on Mental Models | 
 
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   | Drew, Donald R. with Allan D. Chasey, Jesus M. de la Garza and Wonkyu Kim   System Dynamics Model of a State Highway Management System | 
 
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   | Drew, Stephen A. with Peter A. Smith   Competitive Advantage Through Knowledge Management: A System Dynamics Approach | 
 
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   | Duncan, Richard C.   The Mexican Petroleum 'Play In Two Acts': Taking Hold of Oil Productions Data | 
 
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   | Dyner, Issac with Derek W. Bunn   Development of a Systems Simulation Platform to Analyze Market Liberalisation and Integrated Energy Conservation In Colombia | 
 
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   | Eberlein, Robert L. with James H. Hines   Molecules for Modelers | 
 
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   | Elg, Fredrik   An Approach for Understanding Learning and Decision Making in Complex Dynamic Systems | 
 
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   | Ford, David N. with J.D. Sterman   Dynamics Modeling of Product Development Processes | 
 
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   | Forrester, Nathan B.   A Hard Look at Social Security | 
 
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   | Fowler, Alan   Simulation's Evolving Role in Management | 
 
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   | Fukuda, Atsushi with Hironori Suzuki, Takahiro Kojima and Shigeru Koyama   Demand Forecasting System for Suburban Railway Project Using System Dynamics and Geographical Information System | 
 
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   | Fukuda, Atsushi with Yoshio Hanzawa and Ryoichi Ebisawa   Traffic Engineering Class for Techincal College Students Using STELLA | 
 
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   | Gascon, Fernando   Reputation in Banking and Deposit Insurance: the Dynamics of Browsing and Lending under Regulation | 
 
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   | Gary, Shane with Chris Charyk   Using Groupware Technology to Facilitate Team Model Building and Learning | 
 
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   | Genta, Peter J. with Neville Sokol   A Microworld of Exploration and Development: Creating a Learning Laboratory for the Oil & Gas Industry | 
 
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   | Georgantzas, Nicholas C. with Stephen H. Brovarone   Globalizing High Sulfur Fuel Oil Marketing | 
 
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   | Georgantzas, Nicholas C.   Reengineering Business Process Reengineering with System Dynamics | 
 
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   | Gricic, Branko with Ante Munitic   System Dynamics Approach to Validation | 
 
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   | Groessler, Andreas   Providing Simulation Models on the Internet | 
 
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   | Grossman, M.   Designing Strategies to Achieve Sustainable Growth for Biotechnology Companies | 
 
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   | Guerra, Juan Hernandez   Studies of a Model of Entertainment Between Economic Cycles | 
 
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   | Guthrie, Scott with Diana Fisher   Systems Thinking and Systems Dynamics in the CC-STADUS High School Project | 
 
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   | Hall, Roger with M.P. Gupta   Using a Corporate System Model of a Firm to Investigate the Feedback Dynamics Leading to Growth, Decline, and Bankruptcy | 
 
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   | Haslett, Tim with Charles Osborne   Local Decision Rules: Complexity or Chaos? | 
 
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   | Haslett, Tim   Three Simulation for Teaching Systems Thinking | 
 
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   | Hermann, John F. with John L. DeOlden   A Flight Simulator for University Department Planning | 
 
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   | Higuchi, Tohru   Parameter Estimation Involved to System Dynamics Model by Multi-Objective Optimization Technique | 
 
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   | Hines, James    Modeling the Evolution of Organizations | 
 
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   | Hines, James H. with Dewey Johnson   Competitive Dynamics: Context, Model, Outcome, and Ongoing Use | 
 
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   | Homer, Jack with Fred Nichols   Enterprise Modeling at ETS: Highways and Biways | 
 
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   | Hsiao, Naiyi   Evaluating the Policy of Stratospheric Ozone Protection- a System Dynamic Modeling Approach | 
 
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   | Huz, Steven with David F. Andersen, George P. Richardson and Roger Boothroyd    Evaluating Group Model Building in Mental Health Vocational Services | 
 
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   | Jambekar, Anil B.   A System View of Design Engineering Capacity: Continuous Improvement Policy Interaction | 
 
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   | Jonas, Wolfgang   Systems Thinking in Industrial Design | 
 
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   | Jones, Andrew with Elizabeth Krahmer, Rogelio Oliva, Nelson Repenning, Scott Rockart and John Sterman   Comparing Improvement Programs for Product Development and Manufacturing: Results from Field Studies | 
 
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   | Jordao, Luis with M.P. Antunes and R.F. Santos   Reactive vs. Proactive Corporate Environment Management: A System Dynamics Learning Environment | 
 
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   | Joy, Timothy   Crime and Astonishment | 
 
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   | Kallenberg, Robert with Charles H. Fine   Analysis and Business Cycles in the U.S. Machine Tool Industry | 
 
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   | Kampmann, Christian E.   Feedback Loop Gains and System Behavior | 
 
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   | Karsky, Michel with Stephane Copin and Sonia Pitrach   The Implementation of a Large System Dynamics Model of Human Behavior | 
 
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   | Khalil, Yahia F. with Michael Radzicki   The Dynamics of the Zero-Emission Vehicle Industry | 
 
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   | Kim, Doa Hoon with Dong-Hwan Kim   How Heuristic are Heuristic Decision Rules in a Dynamic Game? | 
 
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   | Kim, Dong- Hwan with Jae-Ho Juhn   Dynamics of Networks: System Dynamics Model for Network Externality and Critical Mass | 
 
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   | Koenig, Ulli H.   Use of Simulation in Management and Management Education: Speeding up the Wheel of Learning? | 
 
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   | Koerstein, Ralf with Bernd Viehweger   Evaluation of Neutral Networks via Generic Modelling using System Dynamics | 
 
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   | Krahmer, Elizabeth M. with Scott Rockart   Carbon Sequestration and Emission Management: A Costal Rican Case Study | 
 
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   | Kunsberg, Phillip   An Interactive Simulation of a Manufacturing Enterprise: Prelimimary Observations | 
 
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   | Lane, David   Can We Have Confidence in Generic Structures? | 
 
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   | Langley, Paul with John Morecroft   Learning from Microworlds Environments: A Summary of the Research Issues | 
 
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   | Lao, Hong Mou    Energy Capacity Management for the Industrial Sector of Zhejiang Province in China: A System Dynamics Model | 
 
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   | Larsen, Erik R. with Alessandro Lomi   The Dynamics of Organizational Inertia, Survival and Change | 
 
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   | Lehmann, Frank   A System View of the Design of Modern Manufacturing Systems | 
 
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   | Lopez Paredes, Adolfo with Alfonso Redondo Castan and Ricardo del Olmo Martinez   The Spanish Glass Container Maker. A Model of Strategic Planning in a Firm | 
 
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   | Lyneis, James M. with Alexander L. Pugh III   Automated vs. 'Hand' Calibration of System Dynamics Models: An Experiment With a Simple Project Model | 
 
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   | MacDonald, Roderick H.   Discrete Versus Continuous Formulation: A Case Study Using Coyle's Aircraft Carrier Survivability Model | 
 
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   | Macedo, Julio with Rafael Ruiz Usano   An Intelligent System Dynamics Based controller for Fuzzy Managerial System | 
 
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   | Machuca, Jose A. D. with Miguel A. Domingo Carrillo   Transparent- Box Business Simulator verus Black- Box Business Simulators: an Initial Empirical Comparative Study | 
 
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   | Madachy, Raymond   Modeling Software Processes with System Dynamics: Current Developments | 
 
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   | Madwed, Albert   Systems Thinking for K-12 Teachers: A New Course at the Graduate School of Education and Allied Professions, Fairfield University | 
 
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   | Maier, Frank with Juergen Strohhecker   Do Management Flight Simualtors Really Enhance Decision Effectiveness? | 
 
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   | Maier, Frank   Substitution Among Successive Product Generations- An Almost Neglected Problem In Innovation Diffusion Models | 
 
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   | Maliapen, Mahendran with Ram Ramasehan and M. Quaddus   System Dynamics Approach to Marketing Modeling in the Airline Industry | 
 
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   | Mandal, Purnendu with Amrik S. Sohal   Modeling Quality Improvement Processes | 
 
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   | Mandal, Purnendu with Amrik S. Sohal   Understanding Long Term Interactions in Fabricated Metal Manufacturing Industry: A Case | 
 
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   | Mashayekhi, Ali N.   Oscillation in Preventitive Maintenance Programs | 
 
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   | Mayberry, Matt with Kent Hoxsey, Kerry McCracken and Carl Rendell   Using Systems Thinking and Dynamics Simulations to Reengineer Manufacturing Processes at Silicon Graphics | 
 
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   | Milling, Peter   A Management Stimulator to Support Group Decision Making in a Corporate Gaming Environment | 
 
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   | Moizer, Jonathan D.   Safely Knowledge and its Influence over Accidents in the Workplace | 
 
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   | Mojtahedzadeh, Mohammad with David F. Andersen   Assessing the System-wide Impacts of Automated Voice Response Customer Service Technologies | 
 
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   | Mollona, Eduardo   The Dynamics of Organizational Heuristics and Biases in Corporate Strategy | 
 
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   | Moon, Tae Hoon with Deuk Jong Bae, Doa Hoon Kim and Dong Whan Kim   Comparing Strategies for Building Korean Information Infrastructure Using a System Dynamic Model | 
 
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   | Morecoft, John   A Behavioral Model of Diversification and Performance in a Mature Industry | 
 
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   | Morita, Michiya with Nobuhide Tanaka, Yutaka Takahashi and Toru Higuchi   Linkage Structure and Trade-offs of Competitive Measures | 
 
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   | Moxnes, Erling   Crisis Management of a Renewable Resource | 
 
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   | Moxnes, Erling   Stochastic Optimization in Policy Space Using Simulation Models | 
 
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   | Oliva, Rogelio   Empirical Validation of a Dynamic Hypothesis | 
 
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   | Parayno, Phares P.   Poverty-Environment Links in the Philippines | 
 
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   | Park, Hun-Joon with Jimwoo Kim, Kuen S. Yi and Kiho Jun   Enhancing the Performance in Dynamic Decision Making: The Adaptive Model Reconstruction Using Feedforward vs. Feedback Decision Strategy | 
 
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   | Piatelli, Mauro with Nicola Bianchi and Luca Minna   Note on Conceptual Distance in Simulation using the Polls Model as a Basis for Discussion | 
 
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   | Qu, Weishhuang with Gerald O. Barney and Jos Verbeek   RMSM-X in Vensim: Refining the Financial Sector of the Threshold 21 National Development Model | 
 
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   | Reichelt, Kimberly S. with James M. Lyneis and Carl G. Bespolka    Calibration Statistics: Selecting a Statistic and Settling a Standard | 
 
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   | Repenning, Nelson    Modeling the Failure of Productivity Improvement Programs | 
 
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   | Rios, Jose Perez with Markus Schwaninger   Integrative Systems Modeling: Leveraging Complementarities of Qualitative and Quantitative Methodologies | 
 
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   | Roberts, James C.   The Stucture of Structural Violence | 
 
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   | Rodrigues, Alexandre J.G. with Terry Williams   System Dynamics in Project Management: Assesing the Impacts of Client Behavior in Project Management | 
 
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   | Rodrigues, Alexandre J.G. with Terry Williams   System Dynamics in Software Project Management: Towards the Development of a Formal Integrated Framework | 
 
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   | Roos, Egbert   System Dynamics Modeling: A Case Study from the Software Product Development | 
 
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   | Root, Gus with Grant McGriffin   They will Learn what They See Others Doing | 
 
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   | Rothman, Johanna   Applying Systems Thinking to the Issues of Software Product Development | 
 
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   | Rouwette, Etienne with Jac Vennix   The Influence of Group Model Building on Policy Intentions | 
 
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   | Ruiz Usano, Rafael with Jose Manuel Framinan Torres, Adolfo Crespo Marquez and Ricardo Zubiria de Castro   System Dynamics and Discrete Stimulation in a Constant Work-in-Process System: A Comparative Study | 
 
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   | Ruth, Matthias   Exploring Spatio- Temporal Dynamics in Economic Exchange: A Dynamic Modeling Approach | 
 
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   | Ryan, Thomas   A Peircian Framework for Using System Dynamics Modeling as an Inquiry System | 
 
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   | Sahara, Kanji with Kinya Machida, Nobuyuki Suzuki and A. Uchino   Environmental Model of Atmosphere- from Japan Model to East Asian Companies | 
 
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   | Santoni, Marco   A Stimulation Model Behaviour of Innovative Companies | 
 
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   | Sedhi, Habib with Carmine Bianchi   A Winery Dynamic Model for "Product Portfolio" Management | 
 
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   | Sedhi, Habib   SYDIC- System Dynamics- Italian Chapter | 
 
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   | Shafto, Syvia A. with CJ Kalin and Michael G. Shafto   Cognitive and Instructional Issues in System Modeling | 
 
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   | Shawwash, Ziad K. with S.O. Dennis Russell   Use of System Dynamics for Managing Water in Jordan | 
 
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   | Sitompul, Rislima F. with Muhammad Tasrif   A System Dynamics View of the Rural Community Development in Indonesia | 
 
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   | Smith, Andrew with Allen Boorstein   A Systemic Approach to System Dynamics Education: A Status Report | 
 
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   | Smith, Ricardo with Santiago Montoya, Carlos Jamie Franco and Issac Dyner   Assessing the Dynamics of Energy Markets Under Liberalisation Process | 
 
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   | Smits, Cyprian A. with E.J. Verroen   A System Dynamics Model for Long Term Travel Demand Forecasting and Policy Analysis | 
 
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   | Sotaquira, G. Ricardo with Hugo Andrade and Lilia Nayibe Gelvez   Organizational Design with System Dynamics and Radical Change Approach | 
 
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   | Sridharan, Sanjeev   Can Vector- Autoregression Methodology Help in an Understanding of the Casual Dynamics of the Unemployment- Crime Relationships? | 
 
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   | Stave, Krystyna A.   Redefining Resources: A Systems Perspective on the Watershed Protection Conflict Between New York City and the Catskill Mountain Region | 
 
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   | Stefano, Julia M Di   Edutaining, Engaging the Learner, and System Dynamics | 
 
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   | Sterman, John D. with Nelson Repenning, Rogelio Oliva, Elizabeth Krahmer, Scott Rockart and Andrew Jones   The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programs | 
 
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   | Sterman, John D. with Rebecca Henderson, Eric Beinhocker and Lee I. Newman   A Behavioural Analysis of Learning Curve Strategy | 
 
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   | Sturges, Stephen with Graham Winch   Computer Attack: The Role of Modeling in Development an Intergrated Securtiy Policy | 
 
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   | Sturtevant, Rochelle   The Effect of Nutrient Recycling on Ecosystem Stability | 
 
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   | Suksawang, Orasa   System Dynamics Approach to Managing Community Development | 
 
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   | Sunaryo, Prasetyo with Tusy A. Adbroto, Hary Budiarto and Ervan Maksum   Application of Sysytem Dynamics on Watershead Management on Java Island, Indonesia | 
 
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   | Sycamore, Douglas   Improving Software Project Management Through System Dynamics Modeling | 
 
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   | Tasrif, Muhammad   The Implications of Environmental Consideration in Energy Development to the General Economic Welfare and Development in Indonesia | 
 
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   | Thiel, Daniel   Instabilities and Deterministic Chaos In Just-In-Time Production Systems: Comparison between Neutral Networks Stimulation and Continuous Stimulation | 
 
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   | Tosteson, Joshua   Systems Dynamics and Earth Systems Science: Bridging the Gaps Between Research and Education | 
 
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   | Trees, W. Scott with James K. Doyle and Micheal J. Radizcki   Using Cognitive Styles Typology to Explain Dynamics Decision Making in a Computer Stimulated Environment | 
 
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   | Wang, Qifan   A Systems Dynamics Study of the Coordinated Development of Regional Infastructure | 
 
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   | Wang, Wanlong with Jerry Fuh and X Yongnian   Dynamic Analysis of Manufacturing Systems | 
 
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   | Wile, Kristina with David Smilonich   Using Dynamic Stimulation for Resource Management Policy Design at the Minnesota Department of Transportation | 
 
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   | Willey, Phillip C.T. with Amil K. Bajpai   A Systems Dynamic Model of Manufacturing Quality Costs and Benefits | 
 
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   | Wolstenholme, Eric   Community Care for the Elderly in the UK | 
 
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   | Wyatt, Ray   Strategic Planning Using Neutral Network-based, Delphi, Workshop Software | 
 
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   | Xiang, Gang with Liu Linhong   A System Dynamics Model for an Enterprise's Sustainable Innovation Process | 
 
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   | Xu, Qingruil with Jie Han, Bin Guo and Jin Chen   Hi-Tech Impulse: A New Coordinative Development Pattern of Social- Economy- Technology-Education Systems | 
 
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   | Yang, Jenshou   Facilitating Learning Through Goal Setting in a Learning Laboratory | 
 
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   | Young, Showing H. with Chai Ping Chen   Entrapping Landmine Structure in Microworlds Formed with Uncontrollable Positive Feedback Loops | 
 
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   | Young, Showing H. with Shih-Hui Lo   Experiences in Designing Board-type Stimulation Games for Center Satellite Industrial System | 
 
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   | Young, Showing H. with Sy-Feng Wang   Measuring the Learning of Systems Thinking: Theory and Method | 
 
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   | Yu, Jia-Di with Xin-Yun Zeng   Study on Development Strategies of Regional Water Resources System | 
 
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   | Yu, Lijuan   Guided by Learning Organization to Practice a Process Reengineering for an Enterprise Business | 
 
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   | Zagonel, Aldo   A Dynamics Model for Analyzing Urban Growth in a Planned City | 
 
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   | Zamudio-Ramirez, Pavel with Andrew Spicer, John Sterman, Steve Eppinger and John Ehrenfeld   Economics of Automobile Recycling | 
 
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   | Zaraza, Ronald with Diana Fisher   Experiences in Developing Single-Discipline and Cross- Curricular Models for Classroom Use | 
 
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