Conference Proceedings
The 14th International Conference of the System
Dynamics Society
1996 Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
The following papers were presented at the conference in parallel,
plenary, and poster sessions. The original printed proceedings, edited by
George P. Richardson and John D. Sterman, were printed in hardcopy (Volume 1:
A-L and Volume 2: M-Z) and distributed at the conference. Below please find
the Paper Index for these proceedings, including a link to the paper when available.
Papers are listed alphabetically by the last name of the first author. To
find a paper by an author who is not the first author, simply search on the
author's name. Available papers are Acrobat (.pdf) files and can be read
using Acrobat Reader available from adobe.com.
To view titles and abstracts on a searchable page, click here.
For details about
purchasing a copy of the printed proceedings, visit our website System Dynamics Society or send an
email message to office@systemdynamics.org..
PAPER INDEX - listed alphabetically by first author:
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Ackere, Ann van with Peter Smith Analyzing National Health Service Waiting Times |
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Akkermans, Henk with Jac Vennix Clients' Opinions on Group Model-Building: An Exploratory Study |
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Alanne, Prikka-Matti P. with Anil B. Jambekar Putting Systems Thinking to Use: A Case Study |
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Alexander, William Efficiency In Sustainability - The Efficient Life Styles of Kerala |
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Alfeld, Louis Edward Dynamic Simulation of Rural Social and Economic Interaction |
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Alfeld, Louis Edward with Robert M. Sholtes The Industrial Base Analysis Model (IBAM) |
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Anderson, E.G. with N.R. Joglekar Modeling the Dynamics of Technological Ramp-up Within Firms |
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Andrade Sosa, Hugo Hernando with Jaime Daniel Mejia Castro, Ricardo Vicente Jaime Vivas and Jose Alberto Pinto Mantilla Microworlds: A System Dynamics Application in Learning Keynesian Macroeconomics |
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Andrade Sosa, Hugo Hernando with Alvaro Ramirez Garcia and Jose Daniel Cabrera Cruz Re-Building Knowledge By Assumption of Complexity with System Dynamics - A Case Example in Polymerization Process Engineering |
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Antunes, Maria Paula with Rui Santos and Nuno Videira The Impact of Environmental Policy on a Firm's Behavior - A System Dynamics Approach |
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Aronson, Daniel Walking Through the Minefield: How Systems Thinkers Avoid Fallacies of Perception and Action |
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Arthur, William B. with Robert L. Eberlein Sensitivity Simulation |
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Barlas, Yaman with Vedat G. Diker Decision Support for Strategic University Management: A Dynamic Interactive Game |
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Barlas, Yaman with Ayse Aksogan Product Diversification and Quick Response Order Strategies in Supply Chain Management |
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Barron, Antonio with Silvio Martinez and Jose Maria Lopez A Simulation Model for Telecommunications Services Partially Substituting |
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Barton, John A Contemporary Masters Program in Systems Thinking and System Dynamics |
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Barton, John A Framework for Addressing Contemporary Management Problems |
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Barton, John with Purnandu Mandel A Policy Model for a Retail Water Company in Australia |
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Bave, Eric Recycling of Building Materials |
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Bell, Gary A. with J.O. Jenkins A Proposed Project Management Cost Modeling Taxonomy |
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Benassi, Mario with Roberto Berchi Modularization of the Enterprise and System Dynamics Models: An Application to the Explication of Suggestions from the Shops |
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Benigno, Edwin A Model of the Rice Postharvest System in the Philippines |
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Bernstein, Dan S. Global Change Education: The Use of System Dynamics Concepts for Science and Policy Interface |
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Bianchi, Carmine with Alfredo Moscardini Budget Formulation, Unpredictability and the Use of System Dynamics as a Coordinating and Learning Mechanism in Regional Government Management |
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Bickle, Bruce with Bernard McGarvey Application of Dynamic modeling to a Solvent Recovery Area at a Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Plant. |
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Boucher, Adrian New Approaches to Learning and Teaching: Student-Centred Modelling with Visually-Oriented Simulation Packages |
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Bridgeland, David with Dorothy Yu and Mitesh Suckak A Management Flight Simulator for Strategy Communication and Organizational Alignment |
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Carena, Augusto with Dharma Sri Mass Learning: An Application of System Dynamics |
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Calvaleri, Steven A. with James A. Thompson Assessing the Efficacy of Microworlds for Promoting Systems Thinking |
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Cloutier, Martin L. with Steven T. Sonka and Randall E. Westgreen Linking the Film to its Environment: A System Dynamic Approach |
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Cole, Vera J. with M.K. Hughes Using System Dynamics to Determine the Return on Investment in Engineering Information Technology |
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Colemann-Kemmula, Seetha A Study of the Manpower System of a Shell R&D Laboratory |
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Coyle, R. G with C.J. Miller The Strategic Dynmaics of Counter-Insurgency Warfare |
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Crespo Marquez, Adolfo with Rafael Ruiz Usano, Jose Manuel Framinan Torres and Ricardo Zubiria de Castro The Pull Control Systems: A System Dynamics Perspective |
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de Kok, Jean- Luc with H.G. Wind Systems Dynamics as a Methodology for Sustainable Coastal- Zone Management |
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Despotakis, Vassilios K. with Maria Giaoutzi Spatial Modeling of Urban Dynamics |
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Deweese, Michael R. Decision Making in a Small School District: A Case Study Employing Principles of Systems Thinking and iThkink |
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Diehl, Ernst Proactive Maintenance and Reactive Repair |
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Doyle, James K. with Michael J. Radzicki and W. Scott Trees Measuring the Effects of Systems Thinking Interventions on Mental Models |
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Drew, Donald R. with Allan D. Chasey, Jesus M. de la Garza and Wonkyu Kim System Dynamics Model of a State Highway Management System |
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Drew, Stephen A. with Peter A. Smith Competitive Advantage Through Knowledge Management: A System Dynamics Approach |
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Duncan, Richard C. The Mexican Petroleum 'Play In Two Acts': Taking Hold of Oil Productions Data |
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Dyner, Issac with Derek W. Bunn Development of a Systems Simulation Platform to Analyze Market Liberalisation and Integrated Energy Conservation In Colombia |
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Eberlein, Robert L. with James H. Hines Molecules for Modelers |
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Elg, Fredrik An Approach for Understanding Learning and Decision Making in Complex Dynamic Systems |
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Ford, David N. with J.D. Sterman Dynamics Modeling of Product Development Processes |
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Forrester, Nathan B. A Hard Look at Social Security |
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Fowler, Alan Simulation's Evolving Role in Management |
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Fukuda, Atsushi with Hironori Suzuki, Takahiro Kojima and Shigeru Koyama Demand Forecasting System for Suburban Railway Project Using System Dynamics and Geographical Information System |
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Fukuda, Atsushi with Yoshio Hanzawa and Ryoichi Ebisawa Traffic Engineering Class for Techincal College Students Using STELLA |
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Gascon, Fernando Reputation in Banking and Deposit Insurance: the Dynamics of Browsing and Lending under Regulation |
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Gary, Shane with Chris Charyk Using Groupware Technology to Facilitate Team Model Building and Learning |
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Genta, Peter J. with Neville Sokol A Microworld of Exploration and Development: Creating a Learning Laboratory for the Oil & Gas Industry |
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Georgantzas, Nicholas C. with Stephen H. Brovarone Globalizing High Sulfur Fuel Oil Marketing |
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Georgantzas, Nicholas C. Reengineering Business Process Reengineering with System Dynamics |
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Gricic, Branko with Ante Munitic System Dynamics Approach to Validation |
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Groessler, Andreas Providing Simulation Models on the Internet |
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Grossman, M. Designing Strategies to Achieve Sustainable Growth for Biotechnology Companies |
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Guerra, Juan Hernandez Studies of a Model of Entertainment Between Economic Cycles |
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Guthrie, Scott with Diana Fisher Systems Thinking and Systems Dynamics in the CC-STADUS High School Project |
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Hall, Roger with M.P. Gupta Using a Corporate System Model of a Firm to Investigate the Feedback Dynamics Leading to Growth, Decline, and Bankruptcy |
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Haslett, Tim with Charles Osborne Local Decision Rules: Complexity or Chaos? |
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Haslett, Tim Three Simulation for Teaching Systems Thinking |
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Hermann, John F. with John L. DeOlden A Flight Simulator for University Department Planning |
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Higuchi, Tohru Parameter Estimation Involved to System Dynamics Model by Multi-Objective Optimization Technique |
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Hines, James Modeling the Evolution of Organizations |
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Hines, James H. with Dewey Johnson Competitive Dynamics: Context, Model, Outcome, and Ongoing Use |
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Homer, Jack with Fred Nichols Enterprise Modeling at ETS: Highways and Biways |
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Hsiao, Naiyi Evaluating the Policy of Stratospheric Ozone Protection- a System Dynamic Modeling Approach |
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Huz, Steven with David F. Andersen, George P. Richardson and Roger Boothroyd Evaluating Group Model Building in Mental Health Vocational Services |
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Jambekar, Anil B. A System View of Design Engineering Capacity: Continuous Improvement Policy Interaction |
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Jonas, Wolfgang Systems Thinking in Industrial Design |
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Jones, Andrew with Elizabeth Krahmer, Rogelio Oliva, Nelson Repenning, Scott Rockart and John Sterman Comparing Improvement Programs for Product Development and Manufacturing: Results from Field Studies |
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Jordao, Luis with M.P. Antunes and R.F. Santos Reactive vs. Proactive Corporate Environment Management: A System Dynamics Learning Environment |
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Joy, Timothy Crime and Astonishment |
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Kallenberg, Robert with Charles H. Fine Analysis and Business Cycles in the U.S. Machine Tool Industry |
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Kampmann, Christian E. Feedback Loop Gains and System Behavior |
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Karsky, Michel with Stephane Copin and Sonia Pitrach The Implementation of a Large System Dynamics Model of Human Behavior |
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Khalil, Yahia F. with Michael Radzicki The Dynamics of the Zero-Emission Vehicle Industry |
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Kim, Doa Hoon with Dong-Hwan Kim How Heuristic are Heuristic Decision Rules in a Dynamic Game? |
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Kim, Dong- Hwan with Jae-Ho Juhn Dynamics of Networks: System Dynamics Model for Network Externality and Critical Mass |
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Koenig, Ulli H. Use of Simulation in Management and Management Education: Speeding up the Wheel of Learning? |
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Koerstein, Ralf with Bernd Viehweger Evaluation of Neutral Networks via Generic Modelling using System Dynamics |
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Krahmer, Elizabeth M. with Scott Rockart Carbon Sequestration and Emission Management: A Costal Rican Case Study |
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Kunsberg, Phillip An Interactive Simulation of a Manufacturing Enterprise: Prelimimary Observations |
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Lane, David Can We Have Confidence in Generic Structures? |
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Langley, Paul with John Morecroft Learning from Microworlds Environments: A Summary of the Research Issues |
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Lao, Hong Mou Energy Capacity Management for the Industrial Sector of Zhejiang Province in China: A System Dynamics Model |
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Larsen, Erik R. with Alessandro Lomi The Dynamics of Organizational Inertia, Survival and Change |
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Lehmann, Frank A System View of the Design of Modern Manufacturing Systems |
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Lopez Paredes, Adolfo with Alfonso Redondo Castan and Ricardo del Olmo Martinez The Spanish Glass Container Maker. A Model of Strategic Planning in a Firm |
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Lyneis, James M. with Alexander L. Pugh III Automated vs. 'Hand' Calibration of System Dynamics Models: An Experiment With a Simple Project Model |
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MacDonald, Roderick H. Discrete Versus Continuous Formulation: A Case Study Using Coyle's Aircraft Carrier Survivability Model |
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Macedo, Julio with Rafael Ruiz Usano An Intelligent System Dynamics Based controller for Fuzzy Managerial System |
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Machuca, Jose A. D. with Miguel A. Domingo Carrillo Transparent- Box Business Simulator verus Black- Box Business Simulators: an Initial Empirical Comparative Study |
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Madachy, Raymond Modeling Software Processes with System Dynamics: Current Developments |
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Madwed, Albert Systems Thinking for K-12 Teachers: A New Course at the Graduate School of Education and Allied Professions, Fairfield University |
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Maier, Frank with Juergen Strohhecker Do Management Flight Simualtors Really Enhance Decision Effectiveness? |
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Maier, Frank Substitution Among Successive Product Generations- An Almost Neglected Problem In Innovation Diffusion Models |
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Maliapen, Mahendran with Ram Ramasehan and M. Quaddus System Dynamics Approach to Marketing Modeling in the Airline Industry |
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Mandal, Purnendu with Amrik S. Sohal Modeling Quality Improvement Processes |
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Mandal, Purnendu with Amrik S. Sohal Understanding Long Term Interactions in Fabricated Metal Manufacturing Industry: A Case |
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Mashayekhi, Ali N. Oscillation in Preventitive Maintenance Programs |
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Mayberry, Matt with Kent Hoxsey, Kerry McCracken and Carl Rendell Using Systems Thinking and Dynamics Simulations to Reengineer Manufacturing Processes at Silicon Graphics |
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Milling, Peter A Management Stimulator to Support Group Decision Making in a Corporate Gaming Environment |
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Moizer, Jonathan D. Safely Knowledge and its Influence over Accidents in the Workplace |
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Mojtahedzadeh, Mohammad with David F. Andersen Assessing the System-wide Impacts of Automated Voice Response Customer Service Technologies |
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Mollona, Eduardo The Dynamics of Organizational Heuristics and Biases in Corporate Strategy |
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Moon, Tae Hoon with Deuk Jong Bae, Doa Hoon Kim and Dong Whan Kim Comparing Strategies for Building Korean Information Infrastructure Using a System Dynamic Model |
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Morecoft, John A Behavioral Model of Diversification and Performance in a Mature Industry |
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Morita, Michiya with Nobuhide Tanaka, Yutaka Takahashi and Toru Higuchi Linkage Structure and Trade-offs of Competitive Measures |
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Moxnes, Erling Crisis Management of a Renewable Resource |
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Moxnes, Erling Stochastic Optimization in Policy Space Using Simulation Models |
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Oliva, Rogelio Empirical Validation of a Dynamic Hypothesis |
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Parayno, Phares P. Poverty-Environment Links in the Philippines |
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Park, Hun-Joon with Jimwoo Kim, Kuen S. Yi and Kiho Jun Enhancing the Performance in Dynamic Decision Making: The Adaptive Model Reconstruction Using Feedforward vs. Feedback Decision Strategy |
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Piatelli, Mauro with Nicola Bianchi and Luca Minna Note on Conceptual Distance in Simulation using the Polls Model as a Basis for Discussion |
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Qu, Weishhuang with Gerald O. Barney and Jos Verbeek RMSM-X in Vensim: Refining the Financial Sector of the Threshold 21 National Development Model |
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Reichelt, Kimberly S. with James M. Lyneis and Carl G. Bespolka Calibration Statistics: Selecting a Statistic and Settling a Standard |
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Repenning, Nelson Modeling the Failure of Productivity Improvement Programs |
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Rios, Jose Perez with Markus Schwaninger Integrative Systems Modeling: Leveraging Complementarities of Qualitative and Quantitative Methodologies |
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Roberts, James C. The Stucture of Structural Violence |
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Rodrigues, Alexandre J.G. with Terry Williams System Dynamics in Project Management: Assesing the Impacts of Client Behavior in Project Management |
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Rodrigues, Alexandre J.G. with Terry Williams System Dynamics in Software Project Management: Towards the Development of a Formal Integrated Framework |
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Roos, Egbert System Dynamics Modeling: A Case Study from the Software Product Development |
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Root, Gus with Grant McGriffin They will Learn what They See Others Doing |
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Rothman, Johanna Applying Systems Thinking to the Issues of Software Product Development |
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Rouwette, Etienne with Jac Vennix The Influence of Group Model Building on Policy Intentions |
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Ruiz Usano, Rafael with Jose Manuel Framinan Torres, Adolfo Crespo Marquez and Ricardo Zubiria de Castro System Dynamics and Discrete Stimulation in a Constant Work-in-Process System: A Comparative Study |
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Ruth, Matthias Exploring Spatio- Temporal Dynamics in Economic Exchange: A Dynamic Modeling Approach |
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Ryan, Thomas A Peircian Framework for Using System Dynamics Modeling as an Inquiry System |
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Sahara, Kanji with Kinya Machida, Nobuyuki Suzuki and A. Uchino Environmental Model of Atmosphere- from Japan Model to East Asian Companies |
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Santoni, Marco A Stimulation Model Behaviour of Innovative Companies |
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Sedhi, Habib with Carmine Bianchi A Winery Dynamic Model for "Product Portfolio" Management |
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Sedhi, Habib SYDIC- System Dynamics- Italian Chapter |
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Shafto, Syvia A. with CJ Kalin and Michael G. Shafto Cognitive and Instructional Issues in System Modeling |
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Shawwash, Ziad K. with S.O. Dennis Russell Use of System Dynamics for Managing Water in Jordan |
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Sitompul, Rislima F. with Muhammad Tasrif A System Dynamics View of the Rural Community Development in Indonesia |
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Smith, Andrew with Allen Boorstein A Systemic Approach to System Dynamics Education: A Status Report |
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Smith, Ricardo with Santiago Montoya, Carlos Jamie Franco and Issac Dyner Assessing the Dynamics of Energy Markets Under Liberalisation Process |
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Smits, Cyprian A. with E.J. Verroen A System Dynamics Model for Long Term Travel Demand Forecasting and Policy Analysis |
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Sotaquira, G. Ricardo with Hugo Andrade and Lilia Nayibe Gelvez Organizational Design with System Dynamics and Radical Change Approach |
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Sridharan, Sanjeev Can Vector- Autoregression Methodology Help in an Understanding of the Casual Dynamics of the Unemployment- Crime Relationships? |
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Stave, Krystyna A. Redefining Resources: A Systems Perspective on the Watershed Protection Conflict Between New York City and the Catskill Mountain Region |
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Stefano, Julia M Di Edutaining, Engaging the Learner, and System Dynamics |
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Sterman, John D. with Nelson Repenning, Rogelio Oliva, Elizabeth Krahmer, Scott Rockart and Andrew Jones The Improvement Paradox: Designing Sustainable Quality Improvement Programs |
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Sterman, John D. with Rebecca Henderson, Eric Beinhocker and Lee I. Newman A Behavioural Analysis of Learning Curve Strategy |
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Sturges, Stephen with Graham Winch Computer Attack: The Role of Modeling in Development an Intergrated Securtiy Policy |
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Sturtevant, Rochelle The Effect of Nutrient Recycling on Ecosystem Stability |
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Suksawang, Orasa System Dynamics Approach to Managing Community Development |
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Sunaryo, Prasetyo with Tusy A. Adbroto, Hary Budiarto and Ervan Maksum Application of Sysytem Dynamics on Watershead Management on Java Island, Indonesia |
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Sycamore, Douglas Improving Software Project Management Through System Dynamics Modeling |
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Tasrif, Muhammad The Implications of Environmental Consideration in Energy Development to the General Economic Welfare and Development in Indonesia |
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Thiel, Daniel Instabilities and Deterministic Chaos In Just-In-Time Production Systems: Comparison between Neutral Networks Stimulation and Continuous Stimulation |
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Tosteson, Joshua Systems Dynamics and Earth Systems Science: Bridging the Gaps Between Research and Education |
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Trees, W. Scott with James K. Doyle and Micheal J. Radizcki Using Cognitive Styles Typology to Explain Dynamics Decision Making in a Computer Stimulated Environment |
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Wang, Qifan A Systems Dynamics Study of the Coordinated Development of Regional Infastructure |
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Wang, Wanlong with Jerry Fuh and X Yongnian Dynamic Analysis of Manufacturing Systems |
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Wile, Kristina with David Smilonich Using Dynamic Stimulation for Resource Management Policy Design at the Minnesota Department of Transportation |
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Willey, Phillip C.T. with Amil K. Bajpai A Systems Dynamic Model of Manufacturing Quality Costs and Benefits |
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Wolstenholme, Eric Community Care for the Elderly in the UK |
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Wyatt, Ray Strategic Planning Using Neutral Network-based, Delphi, Workshop Software |
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Xiang, Gang with Liu Linhong A System Dynamics Model for an Enterprise's Sustainable Innovation Process |
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Xu, Qingruil with Jie Han, Bin Guo and Jin Chen Hi-Tech Impulse: A New Coordinative Development Pattern of Social- Economy- Technology-Education Systems |
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Yang, Jenshou Facilitating Learning Through Goal Setting in a Learning Laboratory |
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Young, Showing H. with Chai Ping Chen Entrapping Landmine Structure in Microworlds Formed with Uncontrollable Positive Feedback Loops |
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Young, Showing H. with Shih-Hui Lo Experiences in Designing Board-type Stimulation Games for Center Satellite Industrial System |
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Young, Showing H. with Sy-Feng Wang Measuring the Learning of Systems Thinking: Theory and Method |
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Yu, Jia-Di with Xin-Yun Zeng Study on Development Strategies of Regional Water Resources System |
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Yu, Lijuan Guided by Learning Organization to Practice a Process Reengineering for an Enterprise Business |
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Zagonel, Aldo A Dynamics Model for Analyzing Urban Growth in a Planned City |
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Zamudio-Ramirez, Pavel with Andrew Spicer, John Sterman, Steve Eppinger and John Ehrenfeld Economics of Automobile Recycling |
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Zaraza, Ronald with Diana Fisher Experiences in Developing Single-Discipline and Cross- Curricular Models for Classroom Use |
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