Abstract for: Feasibility of Converting Municipal Solid Waste into Sustainable Aviation Fuel in Bogota, Colombia

The aviation sector faces pressure to reduce its environmental impact, with Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) emerging as a key alternative. Gasification Fischer-Tropsch (GFT) using municipal solid waste (MSW) is a promising but costly method. Using system dynamics, we assess how MSW management strategies influence SAF availability and production costs, aiming to improve feasibility and policy decisions. The system dynamics model combines qualitative mapping to identify key variables and feedback loops with quantitative simulation of MSW characteristics, SAF production, and costs. Using data from literature and Bogotá, Colombia, the study spans 20 years (2030-2050) to evaluate SAF feasibility. Preliminary results consider two blending mandates: the first blends 10% SAF with Jet A1, and the second increases blending by 5% every 5 years, reaching 50%. Data from Bogotá is being integrated. The first mandate involves sorting MSW into paper, cardboard, and textiles, which are converted into Refuse Derived Fuel (RDF). Preliminary results suggest that current MSW management strategies may meet only a fraction of SAF demand by 2049. Further model refinement and additional data from Bogotá and other Colombian regions are needed. Future research will explore alternative waste sorting methods, scaling SAF production, and developing a user-friendly tool for stakeholders to assess different strategies through "what-if" scenarios. Grammarly corrects grammar; ChatGPT improves writing and logic constructs.