Documentation Of RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024




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Model Assessment Results

Model Information Result
57
6 (10.5%)
6 (10.5%)
25 (43.9%)
32 (56.1%)
8 (0|8|0)
0 (0|0|0)
72 (53|15|4)
0
5/4
0 (0.0%)
0 (0.0%)
21 (36.8%)
57 (100.0%)
0 (0.0%)
0 (0.0%)
Time Unit
Hour
Initial Time
0
Final Time
150
Reported Time Interval
TIME STEP
Time Step
0.0625
Model Is Fully Formulated
Yes
Model Defined Groups
No

Warnings Result
0 (0.0%)
5 (8.8%)
4 (7.0%)
0 (0.0%)
0 (0.0%)
0 (0.0%)
3 (5.3%)
6 (10.5%)
0 (0.0%)
0 (0.0%)

Potential Omissions Result
0 (0.0%)
2 (3.5%)
0 (0.0%)
3 (5.3%)
0 (0.0%)


Variable Types

L: Level (6 / 6)* SM: Smooth (0 / 0)* DE: Delay (0 / 0)*† LI: Level Initial (2) I: Initial (0 / 0)
C: Constant (24 / 24) F: Flow (6 / 6) A: Auxiliary (27 / 27) Sub: Subscripts (0) D: Data (0 / 0)
G: Game (0 / 0) T: Lookup (0 / 0)*††      
* (State Variables/Total Stocks) † Total Stocks Do Not Include Fixed Delay Variables. †† (Lookup Tables).  

Views

View: Accounting (9 Variables)
View: Full Model (49 Variables)



Groups

.Control (4) RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 (53)   



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Top (All) Variables (57 Variables)
Group
Type
Variable Name And Description
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #0
A
Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
=
Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation
Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #1
A
Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
= max(0,
Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation)
Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities.
Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #2
C
Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
= 1
Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time
Present In 1 View:
Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #3
C
Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
= 1
Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis.
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #4
LI,C
Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
= 1
Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1.
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
  • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #5
C
Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
= 0.5
Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #7
A
Capability Gap (Dmnl)
=
Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis
Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #6
C
Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
= 1
Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #8
L
Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
=
Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability
Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
  • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
  • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
  • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #9
F,A
Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
= (
Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities)
Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #10
A
Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
= (
Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern
Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #11
A
Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
=
Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions
Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #12
L
Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
=
Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0
Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
  • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
  • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
  • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #13
A
Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
=
Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety
Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring.
Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #14
A
Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
=
Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety
Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #15
C
Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
= 0.05
Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #17
F,A
Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
=
Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities
Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #16
A
Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
=
Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation
Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
  • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #19
F,A
Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
= if then else(
Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0)
Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #18
C
Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
= 0.5
Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #20
C
Crisis Start Time (Hour)
= 10
Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
F,A
Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
= max(0,if then else(
Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #24
A
Died (People)
=
Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation
Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
Present In 2 Views: Used By
  • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #22
L
Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
=
Death from Crisis dt + 0.0
Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #23
L
Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
=
Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0
Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations
Present In 1 View: Used By
  • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #25
C
Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
= 0.25
Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter)
Present In 1 View:
Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #26
C
Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
= 0.01
Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine).
Present In 1 View:
Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #27
C
Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
= 1
Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective.
Present In 1 View:
Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #28
C
Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
= 0.05
Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive.
Present In 1 View:
Used By
  • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #29
A
Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
= min(1,max(0,
Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities))
Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #30
A
Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
= max(0,min(1,
Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity))
Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #31
L
Evacuated and Survived (People)
=
Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0
Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations
Present In 1 View: Used By
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #33
    A
    Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
    = max(0,min(1,
    Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap))
    Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
    Present In 1 View: Used By
    • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #34
    A
    Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
    =
    Sensitivity of Concern to Capability*( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1* Capability to Resist Crisis))
    Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
    LI,C
    Initial People (People)
    = 100
    Description: The initial number of people in the system
    Present In 2 Views:
    Used By
    • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
    • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #37
    A
    Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
    =
    People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time
    Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,4]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #38
    C
    Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
    = 5/60
    Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #39
    C
    Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
    = 0.01
    Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #41
    C
    Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
    = -10
    Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #42
    C
    Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
    = 1.75
    Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #43
    A
    Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
    =
    Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort
    Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Present In 1 View: Used By
    • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #44
    L
    People Exposed to Crisis (People)
    = ((-
    Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People
    Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
    Present In 1 View: Used By
    • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
    • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
    • Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
    Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 5  [2,5]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #45
    A
    Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
    = if then else(
    Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5)
    Description: How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #46
    A
    Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
    = 1/(1+EXP(-
    Positive Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5
    Description: How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #47
    C
    Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
    = 5
    Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change)
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #48
    C
    Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
    = 1
    Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #50
    C
    Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
    = 5
    Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern.
    Present In 1 View:
    Used By
    • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
    F,A
    Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
    =
    Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
    Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #52
    A
    Survival Rate (Dmnl)
    = 1-
    Died/ Initial People
    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
    Present In 1 View: Used By
      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #54
      C
      Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
      = 0.5
      Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level.
      Present In 1 View:
      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #56
      A
      Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
      =
      Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis
      Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #57
      A
      Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
      = min(
      Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation)
      Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system
      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 4  [4,5]
      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
      F,A
      Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
      =
      Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
      Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
      .Control #32
      C
      FINAL TIME (Hour)
      = 150
      Description: The final time for the simulation.
      Present In 0 Views:
        Used By
          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
          .Control #36
          C
          INITIAL TIME (Hour)
          = 0
          Description: The initial time for the simulation.
          Present In 0 Views:
            Used By
              Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
              .Control #49
              A
              SAVEPER (Hour )
              =
              TIME STEP
              Description: The frequency with which output is stored.
              Present In 0 Views:
                Used By
                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                  .Control #53
                  C
                  TIME STEP (Hour )
                  = 0.0625
                  Description: The time step for the simulation.
                  Present In 0 Views:
                    Used By
                    • SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored.
                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                    (View) Not in View (4 Variables)
                    Top (View) Not in View (4 Variables)
                    Group
                    Type
                    Variable Name And Description
                    .Control #32
                    C
                    FINAL TIME (Hour)
                    = 150
                    Description: The final time for the simulation.
                    Present In 0 Views:
                      Used By
                        Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                        .Control #36
                        C
                        INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                        = 0
                        Description: The initial time for the simulation.
                        Present In 0 Views:
                          Used By
                            Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                            .Control #49
                            A
                            SAVEPER (Hour )
                            =
                            TIME STEP
                            Description: The frequency with which output is stored.
                            Present In 0 Views:
                              Used By
                                Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                .Control #53
                                C
                                TIME STEP (Hour )
                                = 0.0625
                                Description: The time step for the simulation.
                                Present In 0 Views:
                                  Used By
                                  • SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored.
                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                  (View) Accounting (9 Variables)
                                  Top (View) Accounting (9 Variables)
                                  Group
                                  Type
                                  Variable Name And Description
                                  RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
                                  F,A
                                  Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                  = max(0,if then else(
                                  Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
                                  Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                  Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                  RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #24
                                  A
                                  Died (People)
                                  =
                                  Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation
                                  Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                  Present In 2 Views: Used By
                                  • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                  RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #22
                                  L
                                  Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                  =
                                  Death from Crisis dt + 0.0
                                  Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis
                                  Present In 1 View: Used By
                                  • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                  RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #23
                                  L
                                  Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                  =
                                  Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                  Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations
                                  Present In 1 View: Used By
                                  • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                  RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #31
                                  L
                                  Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                  =
                                  Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                  Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations
                                  Present In 1 View: Used By
                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
                                    LI,C
                                    Initial People (People)
                                    = 100
                                    Description: The initial number of people in the system
                                    Present In 2 Views:
                                    Used By
                                    • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                    • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
                                    F,A
                                    Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                    =
                                    Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
                                    Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #52
                                    A
                                    Survival Rate (Dmnl)
                                    = 1-
                                    Died/ Initial People
                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
                                      F,A
                                      Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
                                      Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                      (View) Full Model (49 Variables)
                                      Top (View) Full Model (49 Variables)
                                      Group
                                      Type
                                      Variable Name And Description
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #0
                                      A
                                      Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation
                                      Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #1
                                      A
                                      Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                      = max(0,
                                      Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation)
                                      Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #2
                                      C
                                      Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #3
                                      C
                                      Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #4
                                      LI,C
                                      Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                      • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #5
                                      C
                                      Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                      = 0.5
                                      Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #7
                                      A
                                      Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                      =
                                      Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis
                                      Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #6
                                      C
                                      Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #8
                                      L
                                      Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                      =
                                      Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability
                                      Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                      • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                      • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                      Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [2,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #9
                                      F,A
                                      Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      = (
                                      Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities)
                                      Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #10
                                      A
                                      Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      = (
                                      Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern
                                      Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #11
                                      A
                                      Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions
                                      Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #12
                                      L
                                      Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                      =
                                      Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0
                                      Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                      • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                      • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #13
                                      A
                                      Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety
                                      Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #14
                                      A
                                      Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety
                                      Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #15
                                      C
                                      Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                      = 0.05
                                      Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #17
                                      F,A
                                      Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities
                                      Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #16
                                      A
                                      Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation
                                      Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                      • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #19
                                      F,A
                                      Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      = if then else(
                                      Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0)
                                      Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #18
                                      C
                                      Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
                                      = 0.5
                                      Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #20
                                      C
                                      Crisis Start Time (Hour)
                                      = 10
                                      Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
                                      F,A
                                      Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                      = max(0,if then else(
                                      Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
                                      Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #24
                                      A
                                      Died (People)
                                      =
                                      Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation
                                      Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By
                                      • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #25
                                      C
                                      Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                      = 0.25
                                      Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter)
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #26
                                      C
                                      Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                      = 0.01
                                      Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine).
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #27
                                      C
                                      Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #28
                                      C
                                      Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
                                      = 0.05
                                      Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #29
                                      A
                                      Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                      = min(1,max(0,
                                      Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities))
                                      Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #30
                                      A
                                      Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                      = max(0,min(1,
                                      Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity))
                                      Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #33
                                      A
                                      Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                      = max(0,min(1,
                                      Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap))
                                      Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #34
                                      A
                                      Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                      =
                                      Sensitivity of Concern to Capability*( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1* Capability to Resist Crisis))
                                      Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
                                      LI,C
                                      Initial People (People)
                                      = 100
                                      Description: The initial number of people in the system
                                      Present In 2 Views:
                                      Used By
                                      • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                      • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #37
                                      A
                                      Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                      =
                                      People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time
                                      Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,4]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #38
                                      C
                                      Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
                                      = 5/60
                                      Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #39
                                      C
                                      Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                      = 0.01
                                      Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #41
                                      C
                                      Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                      = -10
                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #42
                                      C
                                      Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                      = 1.75
                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #43
                                      A
                                      Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                      =
                                      Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort
                                      Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #44
                                      L
                                      People Exposed to Crisis (People)
                                      = ((-
                                      Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People
                                      Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                      • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                      • Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                      Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 5  [2,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #45
                                      A
                                      Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                      = if then else(
                                      Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5)
                                      Description: How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #46
                                      A
                                      Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                      = 1/(1+EXP(-
                                      Positive Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5
                                      Description: How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #47
                                      C
                                      Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                      = 5
                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change)
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #48
                                      C
                                      Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                      = 1
                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #50
                                      C
                                      Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                      = 5
                                      Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By
                                      • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
                                      F,A
                                      Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
                                      Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #54
                                      C
                                      Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
                                      = 0.5
                                      Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level.
                                      Present In 1 View:
                                      Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #56
                                      A
                                      Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis
                                      Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #57
                                      A
                                      Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                      = min(
                                      Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation)
                                      Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system
                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 4  [4,5]
                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
                                      F,A
                                      Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                      =
                                      Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
                                      Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                      Top (Group) .Control (4 Variables)
                                      Group
                                      Type
                                      Variable Name And Description
                                      .Control #32
                                      C
                                      FINAL TIME (Hour)
                                      = 150
                                      Description: The final time for the simulation.
                                      Present In 0 Views:
                                        Used By
                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                          .Control #36
                                          C
                                          INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                                          = 0
                                          Description: The initial time for the simulation.
                                          Present In 0 Views:
                                            Used By
                                              Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                              .Control #49
                                              A
                                              SAVEPER (Hour )
                                              =
                                              TIME STEP
                                              Description: The frequency with which output is stored.
                                              Present In 0 Views:
                                                Used By
                                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                  .Control #53
                                                  C
                                                  TIME STEP (Hour )
                                                  = 0.0625
                                                  Description: The time step for the simulation.
                                                  Present In 0 Views:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    Top (Group) RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 (53 Variables)
                                                    Group
                                                    Type
                                                    Variable Name And Description
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #0
                                                    A
                                                    Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation
                                                    Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #1
                                                    A
                                                    Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                                    = max(0,
                                                    Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation)
                                                    Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #2
                                                    C
                                                    Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
                                                    = 1
                                                    Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #3
                                                    C
                                                    Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
                                                    = 1
                                                    Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis.
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #4
                                                    LI,C
                                                    Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                    = 1
                                                    Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1.
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #5
                                                    C
                                                    Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                    = 0.5
                                                    Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #7
                                                    A
                                                    Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                                    =
                                                    Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis
                                                    Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #6
                                                    C
                                                    Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                    = 1
                                                    Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #8
                                                    L
                                                    Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                    =
                                                    Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability
                                                    Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                    • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                    • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                    • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [2,5]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #9
                                                    F,A
                                                    Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    = (
                                                    Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities)
                                                    Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #10
                                                    A
                                                    Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    = (
                                                    Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern
                                                    Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #11
                                                    A
                                                    Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions
                                                    Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #12
                                                    L
                                                    Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                    =
                                                    Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0
                                                    Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                                    • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                    • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                    • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #13
                                                    A
                                                    Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety
                                                    Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #14
                                                    A
                                                    Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety
                                                    Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #15
                                                    C
                                                    Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                    = 0.05
                                                    Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #17
                                                    F,A
                                                    Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities
                                                    Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #16
                                                    A
                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
                                                    =
                                                    Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation
                                                    Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                                    • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #19
                                                    F,A
                                                    Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    = if then else(
                                                    Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0)
                                                    Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #18
                                                    C
                                                    Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                    = 0.5
                                                    Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #20
                                                    C
                                                    Crisis Start Time (Hour)
                                                    = 10
                                                    Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
                                                    F,A
                                                    Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                    = max(0,if then else(
                                                    Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
                                                    Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #24
                                                    A
                                                    Died (People)
                                                    =
                                                    Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation
                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By
                                                    • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #22
                                                    L
                                                    Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                    =
                                                    Death from Crisis dt + 0.0
                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #23
                                                    L
                                                    Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                    =
                                                    Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                    • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #25
                                                    C
                                                    Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                    = 0.25
                                                    Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter)
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #26
                                                    C
                                                    Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                    = 0.01
                                                    Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine).
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #27
                                                    C
                                                    Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
                                                    = 1
                                                    Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective.
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #28
                                                    C
                                                    Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                    = 0.05
                                                    Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive.
                                                    Present In 1 View:
                                                    Used By
                                                    • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #29
                                                    A
                                                    Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                    = min(1,max(0,
                                                    Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities))
                                                    Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #30
                                                    A
                                                    Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                    = max(0,min(1,
                                                    Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity))
                                                    Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #31
                                                    L
                                                    Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                    =
                                                    Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations
                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #33
                                                      A
                                                      Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                      = max(0,min(1,
                                                      Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap))
                                                      Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                      • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                      Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #34
                                                      A
                                                      Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                                      =
                                                      Sensitivity of Concern to Capability*( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1* Capability to Resist Crisis))
                                                      Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
                                                      LI,C
                                                      Initial People (People)
                                                      = 100
                                                      Description: The initial number of people in the system
                                                      Present In 2 Views:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                                      • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #37
                                                      A
                                                      Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                      =
                                                      People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time
                                                      Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,4]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #38
                                                      C
                                                      Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
                                                      = 5/60
                                                      Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #39
                                                      C
                                                      Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                                      = 0.01
                                                      Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #41
                                                      C
                                                      Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                      = -10
                                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #42
                                                      C
                                                      Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                      = 1.75
                                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #43
                                                      A
                                                      Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                                      =
                                                      Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort
                                                      Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                      • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #44
                                                      L
                                                      People Exposed to Crisis (People)
                                                      = ((-
                                                      Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People
                                                      Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                      • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                      • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                      • Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                                      Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 5  [2,5]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #45
                                                      A
                                                      Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                      = if then else(
                                                      Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5)
                                                      Description: How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #46
                                                      A
                                                      Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                                      = 1/(1+EXP(-
                                                      Positive Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5
                                                      Description: How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #47
                                                      C
                                                      Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                      = 5
                                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change)
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #48
                                                      C
                                                      Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                      = 1
                                                      Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #50
                                                      C
                                                      Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                                      = 5
                                                      Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern.
                                                      Present In 1 View:
                                                      Used By
                                                      • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
                                                      F,A
                                                      Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                      =
                                                      Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
                                                      Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
                                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #52
                                                      A
                                                      Survival Rate (Dmnl)
                                                      = 1-
                                                      Died/ Initial People
                                                      Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                        Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #54
                                                        C
                                                        Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
                                                        = 0.5
                                                        Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level.
                                                        Present In 1 View:
                                                        Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #56
                                                        A
                                                        Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
                                                        =
                                                        Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis
                                                        Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #57
                                                        A
                                                        Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                        = min(
                                                        Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation)
                                                        Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 4  [4,5]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
                                                        F,A
                                                        Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                        =
                                                        Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
                                                        Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
                                                        Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                        Top (Type) Level (6 Variables)
                                                        Group
                                                        Type
                                                        Variable Name And Description
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #8
                                                        L
                                                        Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                        =
                                                        Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability
                                                        Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                        • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                        • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                        • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                        • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                        Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [2,5]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #12
                                                        L
                                                        Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                        =
                                                        Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0
                                                        Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                        • Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                                        • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                        • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                        • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                        Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #22
                                                        L
                                                        Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                        =
                                                        Death from Crisis dt + 0.0
                                                        Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                        • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                        Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #23
                                                        L
                                                        Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                        =
                                                        Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                                        Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                        • Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                        Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                        RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #31
                                                        L
                                                        Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                        =
                                                        Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0
                                                        Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations
                                                        Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #44
                                                          L
                                                          People Exposed to Crisis (People)
                                                          = ((-
                                                          Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People
                                                          Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                                          Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                          • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                          • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                          • Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                                          Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 5  [2,5]
                                                          Top (Type) Smooth (0 Variables) (0/0)
                                                          Group
                                                          Type
                                                          Variable Name And Description
                                                          Top (Type) Delay (0 Variables) (0/0)
                                                          Group
                                                          Type
                                                          Variable Name And Description
                                                          Top (Type) Level Initial (2 Variables)
                                                          Group
                                                          Type
                                                          Variable Name And Description
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #4
                                                          LI,C
                                                          Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                          • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
                                                          LI,C
                                                          Initial People (People)
                                                          = 100
                                                          Description: The initial number of people in the system
                                                          Present In 2 Views:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                                          • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          Top (Type) Initial (0 Variables)
                                                          Group
                                                          Type
                                                          Variable Name And Description
                                                          Top (Type) Constant (24 Variables)
                                                          Group
                                                          Type
                                                          Variable Name And Description
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #2
                                                          C
                                                          Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #3
                                                          C
                                                          Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #4
                                                          LI,C
                                                          Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                          • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #5
                                                          C
                                                          Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                          = 0.5
                                                          Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #6
                                                          C
                                                          Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #15
                                                          C
                                                          Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                          = 0.05
                                                          Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #18
                                                          C
                                                          Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                          = 0.5
                                                          Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #20
                                                          C
                                                          Crisis Start Time (Hour)
                                                          = 10
                                                          Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #25
                                                          C
                                                          Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                          = 0.25
                                                          Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter)
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #26
                                                          C
                                                          Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                          = 0.01
                                                          Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine).
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #27
                                                          C
                                                          Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #28
                                                          C
                                                          Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                          = 0.05
                                                          Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #35
                                                          LI,C
                                                          Initial People (People)
                                                          = 100
                                                          Description: The initial number of people in the system
                                                          Present In 2 Views:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis
                                                          • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #38
                                                          C
                                                          Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
                                                          = 5/60
                                                          Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #39
                                                          C
                                                          Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                                          = 0.01
                                                          Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #41
                                                          C
                                                          Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                          = -10
                                                          Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #42
                                                          C
                                                          Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                          = 1.75
                                                          Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #47
                                                          C
                                                          Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                          = 5
                                                          Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change)
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #48
                                                          C
                                                          Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                          = 1
                                                          Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #50
                                                          C
                                                          Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                                          = 5
                                                          Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By
                                                          • Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #54
                                                          C
                                                          Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
                                                          = 0.5
                                                          Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level.
                                                          Present In 1 View:
                                                          Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                          .Control #32
                                                          C
                                                          FINAL TIME (Hour)
                                                          = 150
                                                          Description: The final time for the simulation.
                                                          Present In 0 Views:
                                                            Used By
                                                              Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                              .Control #36
                                                              C
                                                              INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                                                              = 0
                                                              Description: The initial time for the simulation.
                                                              Present In 0 Views:
                                                                Used By
                                                                  Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                  .Control #53
                                                                  C
                                                                  TIME STEP (Hour )
                                                                  = 0.0625
                                                                  Description: The time step for the simulation.
                                                                  Present In 0 Views:
                                                                    Used By
                                                                    • SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    Top (Type) Flow (6 Variables)
                                                                    Group
                                                                    Type
                                                                    Variable Name And Description
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #9
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    = (
                                                                    Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities)
                                                                    Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #17
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities
                                                                    Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #19
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    = if then else(
                                                                    Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0)
                                                                    Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                    = max(0,if then else(
                                                                    Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
                                                                    Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
                                                                    Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
                                                                    Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                                    Top (Type) Auxiliary (27 Variables)
                                                                    Group
                                                                    Type
                                                                    Variable Name And Description
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #0
                                                                    A
                                                                    Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation
                                                                    Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #1
                                                                    A
                                                                    Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                    = max(0,
                                                                    Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation)
                                                                    Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #7
                                                                    A
                                                                    Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis
                                                                    Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #9
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    = (
                                                                    Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities)
                                                                    Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #10
                                                                    A
                                                                    Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    = (
                                                                    Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern
                                                                    Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [3,3]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #11
                                                                    A
                                                                    Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions
                                                                    Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #13
                                                                    A
                                                                    Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety
                                                                    Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #14
                                                                    A
                                                                    Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety
                                                                    Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #17
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities
                                                                    Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #16
                                                                    A
                                                                    Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation
                                                                    Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring.
                                                                    • Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #19
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                    = if then else(
                                                                    Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0)
                                                                    Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #21
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                    = max(0,if then else(
                                                                    Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0))
                                                                    Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold.
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [2,2]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #24
                                                                    A
                                                                    Died (People)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation
                                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By
                                                                    • Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #29
                                                                    A
                                                                    Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                    = min(1,max(0,
                                                                    Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities))
                                                                    Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #30
                                                                    A
                                                                    Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                                    = max(0,min(1,
                                                                    Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity))
                                                                    Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #33
                                                                    A
                                                                    Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                                    = max(0,min(1,
                                                                    Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap))
                                                                    Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 1  [5,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #34
                                                                    A
                                                                    Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Sensitivity of Concern to Capability*( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1* Capability to Resist Crisis))
                                                                    Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #37
                                                                    A
                                                                    Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time
                                                                    Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time.
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,4]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #43
                                                                    A
                                                                    Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort
                                                                    Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                    • Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline.
                                                                    Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #45
                                                                    A
                                                                    Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                                    = if then else(
                                                                    Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5)
                                                                    Description: How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #46
                                                                    A
                                                                    Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                                                    = 1/(1+EXP(-
                                                                    Positive Effect K*( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5
                                                                    Description: How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #51
                                                                    F,A
                                                                    Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                    =
                                                                    Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities
                                                                    Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive
                                                                    Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                                    RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #52
                                                                    A
                                                                    Survival Rate (Dmnl)
                                                                    = 1-
                                                                    Died/ Initial People
                                                                    Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time
                                                                    Present In 1 View: Used By
                                                                      Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
                                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #56
                                                                      A
                                                                      Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
                                                                      =
                                                                      Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis
                                                                      Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing
                                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [5,5]
                                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #57
                                                                      A
                                                                      Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                      = min(
                                                                      Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation)
                                                                      Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system
                                                                      Present In 1 View: Used By Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 4  [4,5]
                                                                      RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 #58
                                                                      F,A
                                                                      Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                      =
                                                                      Total Evacuation Rate*(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)
                                                                      Description: Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result.
                                                                      Present In 2 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 2  [4,5]
                                                                      .Control #49
                                                                      A
                                                                      SAVEPER (Hour )
                                                                      =
                                                                      TIME STEP
                                                                      Description: The frequency with which output is stored.
                                                                      Present In 0 Views:
                                                                        Used By
                                                                          Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0  [0,0] (-) 0  [0,0]
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                                                                          All Variables (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024LI,C Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Crisis Start Time (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Died (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024LI,C Initial People (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L People Exposed to Crisis (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Survival Rate (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                          .ControlC FINAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlC INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlA SAVEPER (Hour )
                                                                          .ControlC TIME STEP (Hour )



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                                                                          Variable Link Detail (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          In/Out Counts
                                                                           In/Out Ratio 
                                                                          In Links By Polarity
                                                                          Out Links By Polarity
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks People Exposed to Crisis (People)  4 |  3  1.33    1| 3| 0    3| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)  3 |  4  0.75    2| 1| 0    2| 1| 1
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Death from Crisis (People/Hour)  4 |  2  2.00    1| 1| 2    1| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)  3 |  2  1.50    3| 0| 0    2| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)  4 |  1  4.00    2| 0| 2    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Concern for Safety (Dmnl)  1 |  4  0.25    1| 0| 0    3| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)  2 |  3  0.67    2| 0| 0    2| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)  2 |  2  1.00    1| 1| 0    1| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)  2 |  2  1.00    2| 0| 0    2| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)  2 |  2  1.00    2| 0| 0    1| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)  3 |  1  3.00    2| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)  3 |  1  3.00    1| 2| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)  2 |  2  1.00    2| 0| 0    1| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)  2 |  2  1.00    2| 0| 0    2| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)  3 |  1  3.00    2| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    1| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)  2 |  1  2.00    1| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Died (People)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    2| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Capability Gap (Dmnl)  2 |  1  2.00    1| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)  2 |  1  2.00    1| 1| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Survival Rate (Dmnl)  2 |  0  Infinite    1| 1| 0    0| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Initial People (People)  0 |  2  0.00    0| 0| 0    2| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)  1 |  1  1.00    1| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)  1 |  1  1.00    1| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Baseline Capability (Dmnl)  0 |  2  0.00    0| 0| 0    2| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Positive Effect K (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Negative Effect K (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 0| 1
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Evacuated and Survived (People)  1 |  0  Infinite    1| 0| 0    0| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Crisis Start Time (Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 0| 1
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    0| 1| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024InOutLinks Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl) ( 0| 0)  Infinite    0| 0| 0    0| 0| 0
                                                                          .ControlInOutLinks TIME STEP (Hour )  0 |  1  0.00    0| 0| 0    1| 0| 0
                                                                          .ControlInOutLinks SAVEPER (Hour )  1 |  0  Infinite    1| 0| 0    0| 0| 0
                                                                          .ControlInOutLinks INITIAL TIME (Hour) ( 0| 0)  Infinite    0| 0| 0    0| 0| 0
                                                                          .ControlInOutLinks FINAL TIME (Hour) ( 0| 0)  Infinite    0| 0| 0    0| 0| 0


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                                                                          Undocumented Variables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Supplementary Variables (2 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Survival Rate (Dmnl)



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                                                                          Supplementary Variables Being Used (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Unused Variables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Stock Variables (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L People Exposed to Crisis (People)



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                                                                          Equations With Embedded Data (5 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)



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                                                                          Nonmonotonic Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Non-Zero End Sloped Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Non-Zero


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                                                                          Cascading Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Equations With Step Pulse Or Related Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Equations With If Then Else Functions (3 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)



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                                                                          Equations With Min Or Max Functions (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)



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                                                                          Complex Variable (Richardson's Rule Threshold = 3) (3 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Complexity
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Complexity Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)4
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Complexity Death from Crisis (People/Hour)4
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Complexity People Exposed to Crisis (People)4


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                                                                          Complex Stock (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          State Variables (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L People Exposed to Crisis (People)



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                                                                          Variables With Source Information (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Sources


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                                                                          Variables With Dimensionless Units (21 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024LI,C Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Survival Rate (Dmnl)



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                                                                          Variables without Predefined Min or Max Values (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024LI,C Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Capability Gap (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Crisis Start Time (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Died (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L Evacuated and Survived (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024LI,C Initial People (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024L People Exposed to Crisis (People)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Survival Rate (Dmnl)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024C Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024A Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024F,A Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
                                                                          .ControlC FINAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlC INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlA SAVEPER (Hour )
                                                                          .ControlC TIME STEP (Hour )



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                                                                          Function Sensitivity Parameters (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Data Lookup Tables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Variables Using Macros (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable



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                                                                          Variables Not In Any View (0 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          .ControlC FINAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlC INITIAL TIME (Hour)
                                                                          .ControlA SAVEPER (Hour )
                                                                          .ControlC TIME STEP (Hour )



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                                                                          Equations With Unit Errors Or Warnings (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Units


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                                                                          Units (5/4)

                                                                          Units
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Alternates
                                                                          1/Activity Basic [Dmnl/Activity]
                                                                          1/Hour Basic [Dmnl/Hour]
                                                                          Dmnl Basic
                                                                          Hour Basic
                                                                          People Basic
                                                                          Activity/Hour Combined
                                                                          Activity/People*Hour Combined [Activities/Person/Hour]
                                                                          People/Activity Combined
                                                                          People/Hour Combined



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                                                                          Feedback Loops (8|0 Loops ) Maximum Loop Length: 5 [2,5] | [0,0]

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Loops
                                                                           + 
                                                                           - 
                                                                           +/- Ratio 
                                                                           ? 
                                                                          Loops (IVV)
                                                                           + 
                                                                           - 
                                                                           +/- Ratio 
                                                                           ? 
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... People Exposed to Crisis (People)  5 (62.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  5 [  2,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)  4 (50.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  4 [  4,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  2,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  4,  4]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  4,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)  2 (25.0%)  0 [  0,  0]  2 [  4,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Capability Gap (Dmnl)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  3,  3]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  3,  3]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Concern for Safety (Dmnl)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  3,  3]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  2,  2]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Death from Crisis (People/Hour)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  2,  2]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)  1 (12.5%)  0 [  0,  0]  1 [  5,  5]0.00  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Baseline Capability (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Crisis Start Time (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Died (People)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Evacuated and Survived (People)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Initial People (People)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Negative Effect K (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Positive Effect K (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Survival Rate (Dmnl)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Feedback... Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          .ControlFeedback... FINAL TIME (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          .ControlFeedback... INITIAL TIME (Hour)  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          .ControlFeedback... SAVEPER (Hour )  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]
                                                                          .ControlFeedback... TIME STEP (Hour )  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]  0 (  0%)  0 [  0,  0]  0 [  0,  0]NA  0 [  0,  0]


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                                                                          Exogenous Variables Analysis (21 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Variable Number
                                                                          Data Source
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)1Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)2Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Baseline Capability (Dmnl)3Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)4Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)5Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)6Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)7Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Crisis Start Time (Hour)8Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)9Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)10Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)11Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)12Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Initial People (People)13Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)14Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)15Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Negative Effect K (Dmnl)16Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)17Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Positive Effect K (Dmnl)18Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)19Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)20Hardcoded
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Exogenous Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)21Hardcoded
                                                                          .ControlExogenous FINAL TIME (Hour)22Hardcoded
                                                                          .ControlExogenous INITIAL TIME (Hour)23Hardcoded
                                                                          .ControlExogenous SAVEPER (Hour )241 Exogenous
                                                                          .ControlExogenous TIME STEP (Hour )25Hardcoded


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                                                                          Endogenous Variables Analysis (32 Variables + 0 Control Variables) (Maximum Endogenous Path Length: 5)

                                                                          Group
                                                                          Type
                                                                          Variable
                                                                          Variable Number
                                                                          Input Links
                                                                          Direct Exogenous
                                                                          Percent Exogenous
                                                                          Indirect Exogenous
                                                                          Indirect Minimum
                                                                          Indirect Mean
                                                                          Indirect Median
                                                                          Indirect Maximum
                                                                          Exogenous Unconnected
                                                                          Exogenous Connected
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)14375.0323.333.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)23266.7444.755.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)33266.7444.755.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Capability Gap (Dmnl)42150.0433.503.005225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)52150.0534.004.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)62150.0534.204.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)72150.0534.204.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Death from Crisis (People/Hour)84250.0923.443.0051611
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)92150.0433.003.003225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)102150.0444.755.005225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)112150.0423.504.004225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)122150.0523.203.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)132150.0923.894.0051710
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Survival Rate (Dmnl)142150.0544.605.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)152150.01024.004.0051611
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)163133.3523.002.005216
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)173133.3723.864.005198
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)183133.3823.623.505189
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous People Exposed to Crisis (People)194125.01523.934.0051116
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)20200.0823.884.005198
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)21200.0923.894.005189
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)22200.01124.095.0051611
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)23200.0723.714.005207
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Concern for Safety (Dmnl)24100.0534.004.005225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)25200.01024.104.5051710
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Died (People)26200.01034.204.0051710
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)27100.0923.564.005189
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)28100.01034.505.0051710
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Evacuated and Survived (People)29100.01034.505.0051710
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)30200.0522.602.005225
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)31200.01223.754.0051512
                                                                          RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024Endogenous Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)32200.01223.754.0051512


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                                                                          Macros (0 Variables)

                                                                          Name
                                                                          Macro Definition
                                                                          Expanded Macro Definition



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                                                                          Positive Polarity Causal Links (53 Variables)

                                                                          Cause
                                                                          Effect
                                                                          Polarity
                                                                          Activities Available for Mitigation Crisis Mitigation Activities+
                                                                          Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Concern Raised from Evacuation+
                                                                          Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Total Evacuation Rate+
                                                                          Activity Rate Total Available Activities Possible+
                                                                          Baseline Capability Capability Gap+
                                                                          Baseline Capability Capability to Resist Crisis+
                                                                          Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Efficacy of Evacuation Activities+
                                                                          Capability Gap Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation+
                                                                          Capability Gap Sensitivity Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation+
                                                                          Capability to Resist Crisis Crisis Progression+
                                                                          Capability to Resist Crisis Indicated Concern from Capability+
                                                                          Change in Concern for Safety Concern for Safety+
                                                                          Change in Concern from Perceived Capability Change in Concern for Safety+
                                                                          Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Change in Concern for Safety+
                                                                          Concern for Safety Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation+
                                                                          Concern for Safety Populace Spurred Calm+
                                                                          Concern for Safety Populace Spurred Effort+
                                                                          Concern Raised from Evacuation Change in Concern from Viewing Activities+
                                                                          Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Change in Concern from Viewing Activities+
                                                                          Crisis Mitigation Capability to Resist Crisis+
                                                                          Crisis Mitigation Activities Concern Raised from Preventative Actions+
                                                                          Crisis Mitigation Activities Crisis Mitigation+
                                                                          Crisis Progression Rate Crisis Progression+
                                                                          Death from Crisis Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+
                                                                          Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Died+
                                                                          Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Died+
                                                                          Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety Concern Raised from Evacuation+
                                                                          Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety Concern Raised from Preventative Actions+
                                                                          Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities Total Evacuation Rate+
                                                                          Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Crisis Mitigation+
                                                                          Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Successful Evacuation+
                                                                          Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation+
                                                                          Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Crisis Mitigation Activities+
                                                                          Indicated Concern from Capability Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+
                                                                          Initial People People Exposed to Crisis+
                                                                          Initial People Survival Rate+
                                                                          Maximum Evacuation Rate Total Evacuation Rate+
                                                                          Net Effect of Concern on Behavior Efficacy of Evacuation Activities+
                                                                          People Exposed to Crisis Death from Crisis+
                                                                          People Exposed to Crisis Maximum Evacuation Rate+
                                                                          People Exposed to Crisis Total Available Activities Possible+
                                                                          Populace Spurred Calm Net Effect of Concern on Behavior+
                                                                          Populace Spurred Effort Net Effect of Concern on Behavior+
                                                                          Positive Effect K Populace Spurred Effort+
                                                                          Sensitivity of Concern to Capability Indicated Concern from Capability+
                                                                          Successful Evacuation Evacuated and Survived+
                                                                          TIME STEP SAVEPER+
                                                                          Time to Update Perceptions of Concern Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+
                                                                          Total Available Activities Possible Activities Available for Mitigation+
                                                                          Total Available Activities Possible Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation+
                                                                          Total Evacuation Rate Successful Evacuation+
                                                                          Total Evacuation Rate Unsuccessful Evacuation+
                                                                          Unsuccessful Evacuation Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation+



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                                                                          Negative Polarity Causal Links (15 Variables)

                                                                          Cause
                                                                          Effect
                                                                          Polarity
                                                                          Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Activities Available for Mitigation-
                                                                          Avg Time for Death Under Crisis Death from Crisis-
                                                                          Capability to Resist Crisis Capability Gap-
                                                                          Concern for Safety Change in Concern from Perceived Capability-
                                                                          Concern Response Sensitivity Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation-
                                                                          Crisis Progression Capability to Resist Crisis-
                                                                          Death from Crisis People Exposed to Crisis-
                                                                          Died Survival Rate-
                                                                          Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Unsuccessful Evacuation-
                                                                          Minimum Evacuation Time Maximum Evacuation Rate-
                                                                          Negative Effect K Populace Spurred Calm-
                                                                          Negative Effect X0 Populace Spurred Calm-
                                                                          Positive Effect X0 Populace Spurred Effort-
                                                                          Successful Evacuation People Exposed to Crisis-
                                                                          Unsuccessful Evacuation People Exposed to Crisis-



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                                                                          Function-based Polarity Causal Links (4 Variables)

                                                                          Cause
                                                                          Effect
                                                                          Polarity
                                                                          Capability to Resist Crisis Death from CrisisIf Then Else Switch
                                                                          Crisis Start Time Crisis ProgressionIf Then Else Switch
                                                                          Minimum Viable Capability Death from CrisisIf Then Else Switch
                                                                          Time Crisis ProgressionIf Then Else Switch



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                                                                          Rate-to-rate Links (0 Variables)

                                                                          Cause
                                                                          Effect



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                                                                          View-Variable Profile

                                                                          View
                                                                          View-Variable Profile
                                                                          Not in View               4Variables (6.8%)
                                                                          Accounting                                 9Variables (15.3%)
                                                                          Full Model                                                                                                                                                                         49Variables (83.1%)

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                                                                          List Of 3 views and their 57 Variables

                                                                           
                                                                          Not in View
                                                                          Accounting
                                                                          Full Model
                                                                           
                                                                          Total: 4 9 49 Total:
                                                                          Died (In 2 Views)           Died (In 2 Views)
                                                                          Activities Available for Mitigation (In 1 View)         Activities Available for Mitigation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Capability Gap (In 1 View)         Capability Gap (In 1 View)
                                                                          Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (In 1 View)         Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (In 1 View)         Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (In 1 View)
                                                                          Baseline Capability (In 1 View)         Baseline Capability (In 1 View)
                                                                          Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)         Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          People Exposed to Crisis (In 1 View)         People Exposed to Crisis (In 1 View)
                                                                          Capability Gap Sensitivity (In 1 View)         Capability Gap Sensitivity (In 1 View)
                                                                          Capability to Resist Crisis (In 1 View)         Capability to Resist Crisis (In 1 View)
                                                                          Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (In 1 View)         Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (In 1 View)
                                                                          Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)         Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          Change in Concern for Safety (In 1 View)         Change in Concern for Safety (In 1 View)
                                                                          Concern Response Sensitivity (In 1 View)         Concern Response Sensitivity (In 1 View)
                                                                          Crisis Mitigation (In 1 View)         Crisis Mitigation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (In 1 View)         Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (In 1 View)
                                                                          Death from Crisis (In 2 Views)           Death from Crisis (In 2 Views)
                                                                          Crisis Mitigation Activities (In 1 View)         Crisis Mitigation Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          Minimum Viable Capability (In 1 View)         Minimum Viable Capability (In 1 View)
                                                                          Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (In 1 View)         Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (In 1 View)         Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Activity Rate (In 1 View)         Activity Rate (In 1 View)
                                                                          Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)         Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          Indicated Concern from Capability (In 1 View)         Indicated Concern from Capability (In 1 View)
                                                                          Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (In 1 View)         Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          Concern for Safety (In 1 View)         Concern for Safety (In 1 View)
                                                                          Concern Raised from Evacuation (In 1 View)         Concern Raised from Evacuation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Crisis Progression (In 1 View)         Crisis Progression (In 1 View)
                                                                          Crisis Progression Rate (In 1 View)         Crisis Progression Rate (In 1 View)
                                                                          Crisis Start Time (In 1 View)         Crisis Start Time (In 1 View)
                                                                          Successful Evacuation (In 2 Views)           Successful Evacuation (In 2 Views)
                                                                          Total Available Activities Possible (In 1 View)         Total Available Activities Possible (In 1 View)
                                                                          Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (In 1 View)         Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (In 1 View)
                                                                          Initial People (In 2 Views)           Initial People (In 2 Views)
                                                                          Maximum Evacuation Rate (In 1 View)         Maximum Evacuation Rate (In 1 View)
                                                                          Minimum Evacuation Time (In 1 View)         Minimum Evacuation Time (In 1 View)
                                                                          Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (In 1 View)         Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (In 1 View)
                                                                          Negative Effect K (In 1 View)         Negative Effect K (In 1 View)
                                                                          Negative Effect X0 (In 1 View)         Negative Effect X0 (In 1 View)
                                                                          Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (In 1 View)         Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (In 1 View)
                                                                          Populace Spurred Calm (In 1 View)         Populace Spurred Calm (In 1 View)
                                                                          Populace Spurred Effort (In 1 View)         Populace Spurred Effort (In 1 View)
                                                                          Positive Effect K (In 1 View)         Positive Effect K (In 1 View)
                                                                          Positive Effect X0 (In 1 View)         Positive Effect X0 (In 1 View)
                                                                          Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (In 1 View)         Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (In 1 View)
                                                                          Total Evacuation Rate (In 1 View)         Total Evacuation Rate (In 1 View)
                                                                          Unsuccessful Evacuation (In 2 Views)           Unsuccessful Evacuation (In 2 Views)
                                                                          Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (In 1 View)         Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (In 1 View)
                                                                          Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (In 1 View)         Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (In 1 View)
                                                                          Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (In 1 View)         Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (In 1 View)
                                                                          Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (In 1 View)         Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (In 1 View)
                                                                          Evacuated and Survived (In 1 View)         Evacuated and Survived (In 1 View)
                                                                          Survival Rate (In 1 View)         Survival Rate (In 1 View)
                                                                          FINAL TIME (In 1 View)         FINAL TIME (In 1 View)
                                                                          INITIAL TIME (In 1 View)         INITIAL TIME (In 1 View)
                                                                          SAVEPER (In 1 View)         SAVEPER (In 1 View)
                                                                          TIME STEP (In 1 View)         TIME STEP (In 1 View)
                                                                          Total: 4 9 49 Total:
                                                                           
                                                                          Not in View
                                                                          Accounting
                                                                          Full Model
                                                                           

                                                                          Source File: C:\Users\jep036\Documents\Rearranging the Deck Chairs on the Titanic\ISDC 2024\RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_Blinded_For_Review\RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024.mdl (Tue Jun 25 10:55:40 EDT 2024)
                                                                          Report Created On Tue Jun 25 11:03:00 EDT 2024
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                                                                          Global Security Sciences Division
                                                                          Argonne National Laboratory