Documentation of RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC

Documentation Of RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Quick Links

All Variables

Variable Link Detail

Exogenous Variables Analysis

Endogenous Variables Analysis

Link Polarity

View Summary

View-Variable Profile

Model Assessment Results

Model Information	Result
Total Number Of Variables	57
Total Number Of State Variables	6 (10.5%)
Total Number Of Stocks	6 (10.5%)
Total Number Of Exogenous Variables	25 (43.9%)
Total Number Of Endogenous Variables	32 (56.1%)
Total Number Of Feedback Loops No IVV (Maximum Loop Length: 5) [2, 5]	8 (0\|8\|0)
Total Number Of Feedback Loops With IVV (Maximum Loop Length: 5) [0, 0]	0 (0\|0\|0)
Total Number Of Causal Links	72 (53\|15\|4)
Total Number of Rate-to-rate Links	0



Number Of Units Used In The Model (Basic/Combined)	5/4
Total Number Of Equations Using Macros	0 (0.0%)
Variables With Source Information	0 (0.0%)
Dimensionless Unit Variables	21 (36.8%)
Variables without Predefined Min or Max Values	57 (100.0%)
Function Sensitivity Parameters	0 (0.0%)
Data Lookup Tables	0 (0.0%)



Time Unit	Hour
Initial Time	0
Final Time	150
Reported Time Interval	TIME STEP
Time Step	0.0625



Model Is Fully Formulated	Yes
Model Defined Groups	No

Warnings	Result
Number Of Undocumented Variables	0 (0.0%)
Equations With Embedded Data	5 (8.8%)
Variables Not In Any View	4 (7.0%)
Nonmonotonic Lookup Functions	0 (0.0%)
Cascading Lookup Functions	0 (0.0%)
Non-Zero End Sloped Lookup Functions	0 (0.0%)
Equations With If Then Else Functions	3 (5.3%)
Equations With Min Or Max Functions	6 (10.5%)
Equations With Step Pulse Or Related Functions	0 (0.0%)
Equations With Unit Errors Or Warnings	0 (0.0%)

Potential Omissions	Result
Unused Variables	0 (0.0%)
Supplementary Variables	2 (3.5%)
Supplementary Variables Being Used	0 (0.0%)
Complex Variable	3 (5.3%)
Complex Stock	0 (0.0%)

Variable Types

L: Level (6 / 6)*	SM: Smooth (0 / 0)*	DE: Delay (0 / 0)*†	LI: Level Initial (2)	I: Initial (0 / 0)
C: Constant (24 / 24)	F: Flow (6 / 6)	A: Auxiliary (27 / 27)	Sub: Subscripts (0)	D: Data (0 / 0)
G: Game (0 / 0)	T: Lookup (0 / 0)*††

* (State Variables/Total Stocks) † Total Stocks Do Not Include Fixed Delay Variables. †† (Lookup Tables).

Views

View: Accounting (9 Variables)

View: Full Model (49 Variables)

Groups

.Control (4)

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 (53)

Quick Links:

Top	(All) Variables (57 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#0 A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour) = Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#1 A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour) = max(0, Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation) Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#2 C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour) = 1 Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#3 C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour) = 1 Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#4 LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl) = 1 Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#5 C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = 0.5 Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#7 A	Capability Gap (Dmnl) = Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#6 C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 1 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#8 L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl) = ∫ Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#9 F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities) Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#10 A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#11 A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour) = Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#12 L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl) = ∫ Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0 Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#13 A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour) = Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#14 A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#15 C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 0.05 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#17 F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#16 A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour) = Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#19 F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour) = if then else( Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0) Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#18 C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour) = 0.5 Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#20 C	Crisis Start Time (Hour) = 10 Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#24 A	Died (People) = Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#22 L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People) = ∫ Death from Crisis dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#23 L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People) = ∫ Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#25 C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.25 Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#26 C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.01 Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine). Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#27 C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity) = 1 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#28 C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.05 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#29 A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = min(1,max(0, Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)) Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#30 A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity)) Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#31 L	Evacuated and Survived (People) = ∫ Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#33 A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap)) Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#34 A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl) = Sensitivity of Concern to Capability( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1 Capability to Resist Crisis)) Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#37 A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,4]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#38 C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour) = 5/60 Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#39 C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl) = 0.01 Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#41 C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl) = -10 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#42 C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1.75 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#43 A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl) = Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#44 L	People Exposed to Crisis (People) = ∫((- Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 5 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#45 A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl) = if then else( Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5) Description:* How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#46 A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl) = 1/(1+EXP(- Positive Effect K( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5 Description:* How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#47 C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl) = 5 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#48 C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#50 C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl) = 5 Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#52 A	Survival Rate (Dmnl) = 1- Died/ Initial People Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#54 C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour) = 0.5 Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#56 A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour) = Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#57 A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = min( Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation) Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 4 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
.Control	#32 C	FINAL TIME (Hour) = 150 Description: The final time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#36 C	INITIAL TIME (Hour) = 0 Description: The initial time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#49 A	SAVEPER (Hour ) = TIME STEP Description: The frequency with which output is stored. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#53 C	TIME STEP (Hour ) = 0.0625 Description: The time step for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

(View) Not in View (4 Variables)

Top	(View) Not in View (4 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
.Control	#32 C	FINAL TIME (Hour) = 150 Description: The final time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#36 C	INITIAL TIME (Hour) = 0 Description: The initial time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#49 A	SAVEPER (Hour ) = TIME STEP Description: The frequency with which output is stored. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#53 C	TIME STEP (Hour ) = 0.0625 Description: The time step for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

(View) Accounting (9 Variables)

Top	(View) Accounting (9 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#24 A	Died (People) = Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#22 L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People) = ∫ Death from Crisis dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#23 L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People) = ∫ Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#31 L	Evacuated and Survived (People) = ∫ Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#52 A	Survival Rate (Dmnl) = 1- Died/ Initial People Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]

(View) Full Model (49 Variables)

Top	(View) Full Model (49 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#0 A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour) = Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#1 A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour) = max(0, Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation) Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#2 C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour) = 1 Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#3 C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour) = 1 Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#4 LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl) = 1 Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#5 C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = 0.5 Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#7 A	Capability Gap (Dmnl) = Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#6 C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 1 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#8 L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl) = ∫ Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#9 F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities) Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#10 A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#11 A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour) = Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#12 L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl) = ∫ Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0 Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#13 A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour) = Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#14 A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#15 C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 0.05 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#17 F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#16 A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour) = Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#19 F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour) = if then else( Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0) Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#18 C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour) = 0.5 Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#20 C	Crisis Start Time (Hour) = 10 Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#24 A	Died (People) = Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#25 C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.25 Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#26 C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.01 Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine). Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#27 C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity) = 1 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#28 C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.05 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#29 A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = min(1,max(0, Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)) Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#30 A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity)) Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#33 A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap)) Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#34 A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl) = Sensitivity of Concern to Capability( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1 Capability to Resist Crisis)) Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#37 A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,4]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#38 C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour) = 5/60 Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#39 C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl) = 0.01 Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#41 C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl) = -10 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#42 C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1.75 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#43 A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl) = Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#44 L	People Exposed to Crisis (People) = ∫((- Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 5 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#45 A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl) = if then else( Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5) Description:* How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#46 A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl) = 1/(1+EXP(- Positive Effect K( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5 Description:* How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#47 C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl) = 5 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#48 C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#50 C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl) = 5 Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#54 C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour) = 0.5 Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#56 A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour) = Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#57 A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = min( Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation) Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 4 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]

Top	(Group) .Control (4 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
.Control	#32 C	FINAL TIME (Hour) = 150 Description: The final time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#36 C	INITIAL TIME (Hour) = 0 Description: The initial time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#49 A	SAVEPER (Hour ) = TIME STEP Description: The frequency with which output is stored. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#53 C	TIME STEP (Hour ) = 0.0625 Description: The time step for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

Top	(Group) RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024 (53 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#0 A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour) = Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#1 A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour) = max(0, Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation) Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#2 C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour) = 1 Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#3 C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour) = 1 Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#4 LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl) = 1 Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#5 C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = 0.5 Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#7 A	Capability Gap (Dmnl) = Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#6 C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 1 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#8 L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl) = ∫ Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#9 F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities) Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#10 A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#11 A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour) = Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#12 L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl) = ∫ Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0 Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#13 A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour) = Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#14 A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#15 C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 0.05 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#17 F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#16 A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour) = Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#19 F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour) = if then else( Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0) Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#18 C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour) = 0.5 Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#20 C	Crisis Start Time (Hour) = 10 Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#24 A	Died (People) = Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#22 L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People) = ∫ Death from Crisis dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#23 L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People) = ∫ Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#25 C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.25 Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#26 C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.01 Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine). Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#27 C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity) = 1 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#28 C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.05 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#29 A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = min(1,max(0, Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)) Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#30 A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity)) Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#31 L	Evacuated and Survived (People) = ∫ Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#33 A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap)) Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#34 A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl) = Sensitivity of Concern to Capability( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1 Capability to Resist Crisis)) Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#37 A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,4]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#38 C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour) = 5/60 Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#39 C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl) = 0.01 Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#41 C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl) = -10 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#42 C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1.75 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#43 A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl) = Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#44 L	People Exposed to Crisis (People) = ∫((- Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 5 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#45 A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl) = if then else( Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5) Description:* How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#46 A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl) = 1/(1+EXP(- Positive Effect K( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5 Description:* How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#47 C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl) = 5 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#48 C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#50 C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl) = 5 Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#52 A	Survival Rate (Dmnl) = 1- Died/ Initial People Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#54 C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour) = 0.5 Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#56 A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour) = Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#57 A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = min( Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation) Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 4 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]

Top	(Type) Level (6 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#8 L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl) = ∫ Crisis Mitigation- Crisis Progression dt + Baseline Capability Description: The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [2,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#12 L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl) = ∫ Change in Concern for Safety dt + 1.0 Description: General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#22 L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People) = ∫ Death from Crisis dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#23 L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People) = ∫ Unsuccessful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Died Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#31 L	Evacuated and Survived (People) = ∫ Successful Evacuation dt + 0.0 Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#44 L	People Exposed to Crisis (People) = ∫((- Successful Evacuation)- Unsuccessful Evacuation)- Death from Crisis dt + Initial People Description: Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 5 (62.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 5 [2,5]

Top	(Type) Smooth (0 Variables) (0/0)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Delay (0 Variables) (0/0)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Level Initial (2 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#4 LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl) = 1 Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

Top	(Type) Initial (0 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Constant (24 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#2 C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour) = 1 Description: How many activities a person can do in a unit of time Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Available Activities Possible The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#3 C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour) = 1 Description: The time on average for a person to die once the system has crossed the threshold for minimum viable capability for supporting life and resisting crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#4 LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl) = 1 Description: The beginning capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. This is, typically, normalized to a value of 1. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability Gap Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#5 C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = 0.5 Description: At baseline concern, what fraction of evacuations are successful Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#6 C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 1 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response to the gap in capability Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#15 C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl) = 0.05 Description: Slope the linearly proportional response of the fraction of effort dedicated to evacuation to the current concern or stress level Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#18 C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour) = 0.5 Description: Rate at which the crisis, once begun, is able to erode capabilities Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#20 C	Crisis Start Time (Hour) = 10 Description: Time at which the outflow 'crisis progression' begins to erode the capability of the system to support life and resist crisis. If set to a value outside of the simulation final time, then no crisis occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Progression Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#25 C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.25 Description: How evacuation activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing evacuation unfold is assumed to be stressful in general and more so than the mitigation activities (and thus this parameter is assumed to have a positive value larger than the value of the corresponding mitigation parameter) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#26 C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.01 Description: How mitigation or maintenance activities contribute to the concern or stress of the population exposed to the crisis. Seeing these activities being performed may be stressful and have a positive value here (for example seeing life jackets being actively pulled out and put on passengers on a sinking ship) or even calming and have a negative value here (for example rearranging the deck chairs on a sinking ship as if everything is just fine). Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#27 C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity) = 1 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards evacuation result in a person being evacuated. Note that this is not necessarily a successful evacuation. Smaller numbers are less effective. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#28 C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity) = 0.05 Description: Rate at which activities that are being dedicated towards mitigation or maintenance actually translate into restoring the system's capability to support life or resist a crisis. Smaller numbers are less effective. Negative values are outright destructive. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#35 LI,C	Initial People (People) = 100 Description: The initial number of people in the system Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#38 C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour) = 5/60 Description: Absolute fastest that one can be evacuated Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Maximum Evacuation Rate First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#39 C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl) = 0.01 Description: The capability below which it is assumed that everyone left dies Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Death from Crisis Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#41 C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl) = -10 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher absolute values = steeper change). Negative value here is used to show increasing negative effects from stress Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#42 C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1.75 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Calm How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#47 C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl) = 5 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the rate of change at the inflection point (higher values = steeper change) Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#48 C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl) = 1 Description: In the s-shaped function, determines the input value at which the inflection point occurs Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Populace Spurred Effort How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#50 C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl) = 5 Description: Parameter affecting the rate of change of the exponential relationship between capability and concern. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Indicated Concern from Capability How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#54 C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour) = 0.5 Description: Average time for the population to incorporate the perceived capability of the system to support life and resist crisis into their underlying stress or concern level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#32 C	FINAL TIME (Hour) = 150 Description: The final time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#36 C	INITIAL TIME (Hour) = 0 Description: The initial time for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
.Control	#53 C	TIME STEP (Hour ) = 0.0625 Description: The time step for the simulation. Present In 0 Views: Used By SAVEPER The frequency with which output is stored. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

Top	(Type) Flow (6 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#9 F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities) Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#17 F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#19 F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour) = if then else( Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0) Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]

Top	(Type) Auxiliary (27 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#0 A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour) = Total Available Activities Possible- Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#1 A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour) = max(0, Total Available Activities Possible* Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation) Description: The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Concern Raised from Evacuation Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#7 A	Capability Gap (Dmnl) = Baseline Capability- Capability to Resist Crisis Description: Gap between the baseline capability of the system to support life and resist a crisis and the current level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#9 F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Change in Concern from Perceived Capability+ Change in Concern from Viewing Activities) Description: Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern for Safety General concern for safety experienced by the people in the crisis. Normalized to a value of 1 Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#10 A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour) = ( Indicated Concern from Capability- Concern for Safety)/ Time to Update Perceptions of Concern Description: The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [3,3]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#11 A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour) = Concern Raised from Evacuation+ Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Description: Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern for Safety Change in the current concern or stress level of the population which is driven first by perceptions of the system loosing its ability to support life and resist crisis, moderated by the perceptions of evacuation and mitigation going on around the population. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#13 A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour) = Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation* Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing evacuation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#14 A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety Description: Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Viewing Activities Total net influence of the activities of the people exposed to the crisis are having on the underlying concern or stress level. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#17 F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour) = Crisis Mitigation Activities* Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities Description: The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#16 A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour) = Activities Available for Mitigation* Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation Description: Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Concern Raised from Preventative Actions Rate at which concern or stress is generated from people seeing mitigation activities occurring. Crisis Mitigation The rate at which the system's capability to support life is restored via the preventative and/or restorative mitigation efforts of the people exposed to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was kept above the waterline via bailing of water or some similar activity. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#19 F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour) = if then else( Time>= Crisis Start Time, Capability to Resist Crisis* Crisis Progression Rate,0) Description: Erosion of capabilities due to the crisis. As a physical example, this would be the rate at which a sinking ship was loosing height about the water. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Capability to Resist Crisis The capability for the system to support life and actively resist an ongoing crisis. As a physical example, this would be the average height above the waterline for a ship on the ocean. Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#21 F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour) = max(0,if then else( Capability to Resist Crisis< Minimum Viable Capability, People Exposed to Crisis/ Avg Time for Death Under Crisis,0)) Description: Rate at which people leave the system, not from evacuation efforts but from succumbing to the crisis once the system's capability to support life or resist crisis has fallen below a minimum threshold. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the system crossing the minimum capability threshold to support life and resist crisis People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [2,2]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#24 A	Died (People) = Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold+ Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Description: Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from all causes Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Survival Rate Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#29 A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl) = min(1,max(0, Net Effect of Concern on Behavior* Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities)) Description: The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#30 A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Concern Response Sensitivity* Concern for Safety- Concern Response Sensitivity)) Description: Fraction of total available activities that are dedicated towards evacuation. This is functionally assumed to be a linearly increasing relationship, with 0% dedicated towards evacuation at the standard stress or concern level of 1, and then increasing at a rate determined by the sensitivity parameter until saturated at 100%. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#33 A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl) = max(0,min(1, Capability Gap Sensitivity* Capability Gap)) Description: Proportion of activities not dedicated already to evacuation that are spent on mitigation activities. Note that this is linearly proportional to the gap in this formulation, with the sensitivity affecting the slope of the response. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Crisis Mitigation Activities Rate of activities that are being actively applied towards mitigation and maintenance of the system's capability to support life and resist an ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 1 (12.5%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 1 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#34 A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl) = Sensitivity of Concern to Capability( Sensitivity of Concern to Capability^(-1 Capability to Resist Crisis)) Description: How the capability of the system to support life or resist crisis translates into a measure of concern. Assumes an exponential relationship, centered on (1,1), moderated by the sensitivity parameter. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Change in Concern from Perceived Capability The change in the underlying concern or stress level expected from the population viewing the current capability of the system to support life or resist crisis. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#37 A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = People Exposed to Crisis/ Minimum Evacuation Time Description: First-order control on the outflow of people from the system. This is the absolute maximum rate people can leave the system given the current stock of people and the minimum evacuation time. Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Total Evacuation Rate Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,4]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#43 A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl) = Populace Spurred Calm* Populace Spurred Effort Description: The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Efficacy of Evacuation Activities The efficacy of evacuation activities determined by the baseline efficacy moderated by the effects of stress. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 for more details, but at low levels of stress, efficacy is increased, but for higher levels (panic) efficacy is decreased relative to the baseline. Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#45 A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl) = if then else( Concern for Safety<=1,1,1/(1+EXP(- Negative Effect K( Concern for Safety- Negative Effect X0)))+0.5) Description:* How stress or concern creates a negative effect that reduces efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#46 A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl) = 1/(1+EXP(- Positive Effect K( Concern for Safety- Positive Effect X0)))+0.5 Description:* How stress or concern creates a positive effect that increases efficacy. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Net Effect of Concern on Behavior The net effect of the two influences of stress on efficiency of behavior. See DOI 10.2307/3094889 Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#51 F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate* Efficacy of Evacuation Activities Description: Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Evacuated and Survived Accounting and Reporting: The total number of successful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#52 A	Survival Rate (Dmnl) = 1- Died/ Initial People Description: Accounting and Reporting: The fraction of the population alive at any given period of time Present In 1 View: Accounting Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#56 A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour) = Activity Rate* People Exposed to Crisis Description: The total available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Activities Available for Mitigation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis could be doing that are not already reserved for evacuation activities. Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation The available rate of activities that the populace exposed to the crisis are dedicating towards evacuation activities. Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [5,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#57 A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour) = min( Maximum Evacuation Rate, Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities* Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation) Description: Total rate at which people are being evacuated from the system Present In 1 View: Full Model Used By Successful Evacuation Rate at which people are successfully evacuated from the system and survive Unsuccessful Evacuation Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Feedback Loops: 4 (50.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 4 [4,5]
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	#58 F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour) = Total Evacuation Rate(1- Efficacy of Evacuation Activities) Description:* Rate at which people are evacuated from the system, but unsuccessfully and perish as a result. Present In 2 Views: Accounting Full Model Used By Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation Accounting and Reporting: The total number of deaths from the unsuccessful evacuations People Exposed to Crisis Number of people in the system currently exposed to any ongoing crisis Feedback Loops: 2 (25.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 2 [4,5]
.Control	#49 A	SAVEPER (Hour ) = TIME STEP Description: The frequency with which output is stored. Present In 0 Views: Used By Feedback Loops: 0 (0.0%) (+) 0 [0,0] (-) 0 [0,0]

Top	(Type) Subscripts (0 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Data (0 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Game (0 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top	(Type) Lookup (0 Variables)
Group	Type	*Variable Name And Description*

Top

Quick Links:

All Variables (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Capability Gap (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Crisis Start Time (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Died (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	LI,C	Initial People (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	People Exposed to Crisis (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Survival Rate (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
.Control	C	FINAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	C	INITIAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	A	SAVEPER (Hour )
.Control	C	TIME STEP (Hour )

Top

Variable Link Detail (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable	In/Out Counts	In/Out Ratio	In Links By Polarity	Out Links By Polarity
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	People Exposed to Crisis (People)	4 \| 3	1.33	1\| 3\| 0	3\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)	3 \| 4	0.75	2\| 1\| 0	2\| 1\| 1
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)	4 \| 2	2.00	1\| 1\| 2	1\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)	3 \| 2	1.50	3\| 0\| 0	2\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)	4 \| 1	4.00	2\| 0\| 2	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)	1 \| 4	0.25	1\| 0\| 0	3\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)	2 \| 3	0.67	2\| 0\| 0	2\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)	2 \| 2	1.00	1\| 1\| 0	1\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)	2 \| 2	1.00	2\| 0\| 0	2\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)	2 \| 2	1.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)	3 \| 1	3.00	2\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)	3 \| 1	3.00	1\| 2\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)	2 \| 2	1.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)	2 \| 2	1.00	2\| 0\| 0	2\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)	3 \| 1	3.00	2\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	1\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)	2 \| 1	2.00	1\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Died (People)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	2\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Capability Gap (Dmnl)	2 \| 1	2.00	1\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)	2 \| 1	2.00	1\| 1\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Survival Rate (Dmnl)	2 \| 0	Infinite	1\| 1\| 0	0\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Initial People (People)	0 \| 2	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	2\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)	1 \| 1	1.00	1\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)	1 \| 1	1.00	1\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Baseline Capability (Dmnl)	0 \| 2	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	2\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Positive Effect K (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Negative Effect K (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 1
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Evacuated and Survived (People)	1 \| 0	Infinite	1\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Crisis Start Time (Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 1
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 1\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	InOutLinks	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)	( 0\| 0)	Infinite	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 0
.Control	InOutLinks	TIME STEP (Hour )	0 \| 1	0.00	0\| 0\| 0	1\| 0\| 0
.Control	InOutLinks	SAVEPER (Hour )	1 \| 0	Infinite	1\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 0
.Control	InOutLinks	INITIAL TIME (Hour)	( 0\| 0)	Infinite	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 0
.Control	InOutLinks	FINAL TIME (Hour)	( 0\| 0)	Infinite	0\| 0\| 0	0\| 0\| 0

Top

Undocumented Variables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Quick Links:

Supplementary Variables (2 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Survival Rate (Dmnl)

Top

Supplementary Variables Being Used (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Unused Variables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Quick Links:

Stock Variables (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	People Exposed to Crisis (People)

Top

Quick Links:

Equations With Embedded Data (5 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)

Top

Nonmonotonic Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Non-Zero End Sloped Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Non-Zero

Top

Cascading Lookup Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Equations With Step Pulse Or Related Functions (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Quick Links:

Equations With If Then Else Functions (3 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)

Top

Quick Links:

Equations With Min Or Max Functions (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)

Top

Complex Variable (Richardson's Rule Threshold = 3) (3 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable	Complexity
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Complexity	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)	4
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Complexity	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)	4
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Complexity	People Exposed to Crisis (People)	4

Top

Complex Stock (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Quick Links:

State Variables (6 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	People Exposed to Crisis (People)

Top

Variables With Source Information (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Sources

Top

Quick Links:

Variables With Dimensionless Units (21 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Capability Gap (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Survival Rate (Dmnl)

Top

Quick Links:

Variables without Predefined Min or Max Values (53 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	LI,C	Baseline Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Capability Gap (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Crisis Start Time (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Died (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	Evacuated and Survived (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	LI,C	Initial People (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	L	People Exposed to Crisis (People)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect K (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Survival Rate (Dmnl)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	C	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	A	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	F,A	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)
.Control	C	FINAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	C	INITIAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	A	SAVEPER (Hour )
.Control	C	TIME STEP (Hour )

Top

Function Sensitivity Parameters (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Data Lookup Tables (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Variables Using Macros (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Top

Quick Links:

Variables Not In Any View (0 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable
.Control	C	FINAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	C	INITIAL TIME (Hour)
.Control	A	SAVEPER (Hour )
.Control	C	TIME STEP (Hour )

Top

Equations With Unit Errors Or Warnings (0 Variables + 0 Control Variables)

Group

Type

Variable

Units

Top

Units (5/4)

Units	Type	Alternates
1/Activity	Basic	[Dmnl/Activity]
1/Hour	Basic	[Dmnl/Hour]
Dmnl	Basic
Hour	Basic
People	Basic
Activity/Hour	Combined
Activity/People*Hour	Combined	[Activities/Person/Hour]
People/Activity	Combined
People/Hour	Combined

Top

Feedback Loops (8|0 Loops ) Maximum Loop Length: 5 [2,5] | [0,0]

Group

Type

Variable

Loops

+/- Ratio

Loops (IVV)

+/- Ratio

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

People Exposed to Crisis (People)

5 (62.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

5 [ 2, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)

4 (50.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

4 [ 4, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 2, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 4, 4]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 4, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)

2 (25.0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

2 [ 4, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Capability Gap (Dmnl)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 3, 3]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 3, 3]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Concern for Safety (Dmnl)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 3, 3]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 2, 2]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Death from Crisis (People/Hour)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 2, 2]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)

1 (12.5%)

0 [ 0, 0]

1 [ 5, 5]

0.00

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Baseline Capability (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Crisis Start Time (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Died (People)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Evacuated and Survived (People)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Initial People (People)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Negative Effect K (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Positive Effect K (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Survival Rate (Dmnl)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024

Feedback...

Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

.Control

Feedback...

FINAL TIME (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

.Control

Feedback...

INITIAL TIME (Hour)

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

.Control

Feedback...

SAVEPER (Hour )

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

.Control

Feedback...

TIME STEP (Hour )

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

0 ( 0%)

0 [ 0, 0]

Top

Exogenous Variables Analysis (21 Variables + 4 Control Variables)

Group	Type	Variable	Variable Number	Data Source
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Activity Rate (Activities/Person/Hour)	1	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Avg Time for Death Under Crisis (Hour)	2	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Baseline Capability (Dmnl)	3	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)	4	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Capability Gap Sensitivity (Dmnl)	5	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Concern Response Sensitivity (Dmnl)	6	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Crisis Progression Rate (Dmnl/Hour)	7	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Crisis Start Time (Hour)	8	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)	9	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Activity)	10	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities (People/Activity)	11	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities (Dmnl/Activity)	12	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Initial People (People)	13	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Minimum Evacuation Time (Hour)	14	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Minimum Viable Capability (Dmnl)	15	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Negative Effect K (Dmnl)	16	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Negative Effect X0 (Dmnl)	17	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Positive Effect K (Dmnl)	18	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Positive Effect X0 (Dmnl)	19	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Sensitivity of Concern to Capability (Dmnl)	20	Hardcoded
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Exogenous	Time to Update Perceptions of Concern (Hour)	21	Hardcoded
.Control	Exogenous	FINAL TIME (Hour)	22	Hardcoded
.Control	Exogenous	INITIAL TIME (Hour)	23	Hardcoded
.Control	Exogenous	SAVEPER (Hour )	24	1 Exogenous
.Control	Exogenous	TIME STEP (Hour )	25	Hardcoded

Top

Endogenous Variables Analysis (32 Variables + 0 Control Variables) (Maximum Endogenous Path Length: 5)

Group	Type	Variable	Variable Number	Input Links	Direct Exogenous	Percent Exogenous	Indirect Exogenous	Indirect Minimum	Indirect Mean	Indirect Median	Indirect Maximum	Exogenous Unconnected	Exogenous Connected
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Crisis Progression (Dmnl/Hour)	1	4	3	75.0	3	2	3.33	3.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Populace Spurred Calm (Dmnl)	2	3	2	66.7	4	4	4.75	5.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Populace Spurred Effort (Dmnl)	3	3	2	66.7	4	4	4.75	5.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Capability Gap (Dmnl)	4	2	1	50.0	4	3	3.50	3.00	5	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Concern Raised from Evacuation (Dmnl/Hour)	5	2	1	50.0	5	3	4.00	4.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions (Dmnl/Hour)	6	2	1	50.0	5	3	4.20	4.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Crisis Mitigation (Dmnl/Hour)	7	2	1	50.0	5	3	4.20	4.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Death from Crisis (People/Hour)	8	4	2	50.0	9	2	3.44	3.00	5	16	11
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities (Dmnl)	9	2	1	50.0	4	3	3.00	3.00	3	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation (Dmnl)	10	2	1	50.0	4	4	4.75	5.00	5	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation (Dmnl)	11	2	1	50.0	4	2	3.50	4.00	4	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Indicated Concern from Capability (Dmnl)	12	2	1	50.0	5	2	3.20	3.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Maximum Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)	13	2	1	50.0	9	2	3.89	4.00	5	17	10
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Survival Rate (Dmnl)	14	2	1	50.0	5	4	4.60	5.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Total Available Activities Possible (Activity/Hour)	15	2	1	50.0	10	2	4.00	4.00	5	16	11
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Capability to Resist Crisis (Dmnl)	16	3	1	33.3	5	2	3.00	2.00	5	21	6
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability (Dmnl/Hour)	17	3	1	33.3	7	2	3.86	4.00	5	19	8
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Total Evacuation Rate (People/Hour)	18	3	1	33.3	8	2	3.62	3.50	5	18	9
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	People Exposed to Crisis (People)	19	4	1	25.0	15	2	3.93	4.00	5	11	16
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Activities Available for Mitigation (Activity/Hour)	20	2	0	0.0	8	2	3.88	4.00	5	19	8
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation (Activity/Hour)	21	2	0	0.0	9	2	3.89	4.00	5	18	9
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Change in Concern for Safety (Dmnl/Hour)	22	2	0	0.0	11	2	4.09	5.00	5	16	11
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities (Dmnl/Hour)	23	2	0	0.0	7	2	3.71	4.00	5	20	7
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Concern for Safety (Dmnl)	24	1	0	0.0	5	3	4.00	4.00	5	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Crisis Mitigation Activities (Activity/Hour)	25	2	0	0.0	10	2	4.10	4.50	5	17	10
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Died (People)	26	2	0	0.0	10	3	4.20	4.00	5	17	10
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold (People)	27	1	0	0.0	9	2	3.56	4.00	5	18	9
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation (People)	28	1	0	0.0	10	3	4.50	5.00	5	17	10
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Evacuated and Survived (People)	29	1	0	0.0	10	3	4.50	5.00	5	17	10
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior (Dmnl)	30	2	0	0.0	5	2	2.60	2.00	5	22	5
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Successful Evacuation (People/Hour)	31	2	0	0.0	12	2	3.75	4.00	5	15	12
RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024	Endogenous	Unsuccessful Evacuation (People/Hour)	32	2	0	0.0	12	2	3.75	4.00	5	15	12

Top

Macros (0 Variables)

Name

Macro Definition

Expanded Macro Definition

Top

Quick Links:

Positive Polarity Causal Links (53 Variables)

Cause	Effect	Polarity
Activities Available for Mitigation	Crisis Mitigation Activities	+
Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation	Concern Raised from Evacuation	+
Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation	Total Evacuation Rate	+
Activity Rate	Total Available Activities Possible	+
Baseline Capability	Capability Gap	+
Baseline Capability	Capability to Resist Crisis	+
Baseline Efficacy of Evacuation Activities	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities	+
Capability Gap	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation	+
Capability Gap Sensitivity	Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation	+
Capability to Resist Crisis	Crisis Progression	+
Capability to Resist Crisis	Indicated Concern from Capability	+
Change in Concern for Safety	Concern for Safety	+
Change in Concern from Perceived Capability	Change in Concern for Safety	+
Change in Concern from Viewing Activities	Change in Concern for Safety	+
Concern for Safety	Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation	+
Concern for Safety	Populace Spurred Calm	+
Concern for Safety	Populace Spurred Effort	+
Concern Raised from Evacuation	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities	+
Concern Raised from Preventative Actions	Change in Concern from Viewing Activities	+
Crisis Mitigation	Capability to Resist Crisis	+
Crisis Mitigation Activities	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions	+
Crisis Mitigation Activities	Crisis Mitigation	+
Crisis Progression Rate	Crisis Progression	+
Death from Crisis	Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold	+
Died from Crossing Minimum Threshold	Died	+
Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation	Died	+
Effect of Viewing Evacuation on Concern for Safety	Concern Raised from Evacuation	+
Effect of Viewing Mitigation on Concern for Safety	Concern Raised from Preventative Actions	+
Effectiveness of Evacuation Activities	Total Evacuation Rate	+
Effectiveness of Mitigation Activities	Crisis Mitigation	+
Efficacy of Evacuation Activities	Successful Evacuation	+
Effort Fraction Devoted towards Evacuation	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation	+
Fraction of Non-Evacuation Efforts Spent of Mitigation	Crisis Mitigation Activities	+
Indicated Concern from Capability	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability	+
Initial People	People Exposed to Crisis	+
Initial People	Survival Rate	+
Maximum Evacuation Rate	Total Evacuation Rate	+
Net Effect of Concern on Behavior	Efficacy of Evacuation Activities	+
People Exposed to Crisis	Death from Crisis	+
People Exposed to Crisis	Maximum Evacuation Rate	+
People Exposed to Crisis	Total Available Activities Possible	+
Populace Spurred Calm	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior	+
Populace Spurred Effort	Net Effect of Concern on Behavior	+
Positive Effect K	Populace Spurred Effort	+
Sensitivity of Concern to Capability	Indicated Concern from Capability	+
Successful Evacuation	Evacuated and Survived	+
TIME STEP	SAVEPER	+
Time to Update Perceptions of Concern	Change in Concern from Perceived Capability	+
Total Available Activities Possible	Activities Available for Mitigation	+
Total Available Activities Possible	Activities Dedicated towards Evacuation	+
Total Evacuation Rate	Successful Evacuation	+
Total Evacuation Rate	Unsuccessful Evacuation	+
Unsuccessful Evacuation	Died from Unsuccessful Evacuation	+

Top

Quick Links:

Negative Polarity Causal Links (15 Variables)

Top

Quick Links:

Function-based Polarity Causal Links (4 Variables)

Cause	Effect	Polarity
Capability to Resist Crisis	Death from Crisis	If Then Else Switch
Crisis Start Time	Crisis Progression	If Then Else Switch
Minimum Viable Capability	Death from Crisis	If Then Else Switch
Time	Crisis Progression	If Then Else Switch

Top

Rate-to-rate Links (0 Variables)

Cause

Effect

Top

View-Variable Profile

View	View-Variable Profile
Not in View	4Variables (6.8%)
Accounting	9Variables (15.3%)
Full Model	49Variables (83.1%)

Top

List Of 3 views and their 57 Variables

Source File: C:\Users\jep036\Documents\Rearranging the Deck Chairs on the Titanic\ISDC 2024\RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_Blinded_For_Review\RearrangingTheDeckChairs_ISDC_2024.mdl (Tue Jun 25 10:55:40 EDT 2024)
Report Created On Tue Jun 25 11:03:00 EDT 2024
SDM-Doc Tool Version 1.4.7
Global Security Sciences Division
Argonne National Laboratory