Abstract for: Model-based Transition Management - Participative modeling for transitioning towards a circular construction material industry

This paper contributes to the study of transitions by (1) using a formal model to structurally explain problematic behavior and (2) providing a dynamic perspective on institutional logics that result in counterintuitive policy effects and thereby (3) provide a virtual safe space for experimentation and reflexive learning. We find multilevel governance of sustainability issues conflicts with dissenting regional interest and regime-stabilizing actor coalitions. Secondly, the policy analysis indicates that mixes of administrative, socio-political, and fiscal policies need to be coordinated to sustain change dynamics. Aligning with the analysis of politics in transition process by Grin (2012), we find that societal challenges need to be addressed with substantial analysis and practical political judgment to converge the desired outcome and identify what needs to be made possible.