Abstract for:Modeling the Water-Energy-Food-Land Use-Climate Nexus: the Greek Case Study
Complexity science methods applied for policies provide a means of exploring the effects of various types of spatial and temporal drivers and constraints on the behavior of society and helps scenario-forming and the development of sound policies through stakeholder consultations. In the context of policy-making, following a five-dimensional Nexus approach that includes Water, Energy, Food, Land Use and Climate, System Dynamics Modelling (SDM) is used for the holistic approach, since it presents various advantages, such as integrating different model outputs, handling system complexity via a building-block approach. Under this scope, the objective of an ongoing research project funded by the European Commission is the establishment and quantification of the interlinkages among all five Nexus dimensions for several case studies in Europe that span different scales from global, to continental, to national and all the way to regional level. The methodology of data mapping and linking Nexus components in a complex system is conducted, while outputs from prominent, large-scale equilibrium thematic models are integrated producing forecasted trends up to 2050 for various climatic scenarios. The case study of Greece is presented in this article, which is work in progress.