Abstract for:Graduate supply and distribution in Brazil: The effects of a graduate expansion policy on innovation in the Brazilian industry

The Brazilian state's investment in the graduate system has led to an exponential increase in the number of graduate programs, and consequently, in the number of masters and doctorates graduates in the country. Recently, a concern has been raised about the majority of newly minted graduates that are being absorbed into areas that are less likely to stimulate growth through scientific and technological advancement. This work aims to analyze the dynamics of the supply and distribution of masters and doctorate holders in economic activities in Brazil, as well as their possible effects on the development and application of innovations in the Brazilian industry. To advance this work a simple and steady-state Stock and Flow model was developed, capable of representing the supply and demand dynamics of graduate labor in the Brazilian market. These structures are the first steps to understand the self-supply cycle of the higher education market in Brazil and allows raising questions about the increase in unemployment among graduates in the country, caused by the contingent not absorbed by programs. This dynamic is consistent with the indications in the literature that points to the need to combine graduate supply policies with demand policies of masters and doctors throughout the Innovation