Abstract for:Exploration of resilience through non-deterministic migration model

This work-in-progress paper explores feedback between learned societal resiliency and variable waves of migration exerting stress on the system. The migration is dynamically generated within the model using pseudoranom distribution functions, which results in a non-deterministic SD model. Therefore different strategy needs to be adopted for analysing the behaviour of the model, since each simulation run is unique.

After 10 thousand runs, brief analysis of the current version of the model and its behaviour is provided. It suggests that given the currently expected range of possible future patterns of migration (mainly due to the environmental degradation and associated risks), the ongoing immigration crisis being experienced by Europe might actually serve to help it through even worse societal stresses in the future, due to acquired resilience.