Abstract for:Modelling a climate-related causal story on the emergence of the Darfur War in Sudan
Climate conflict is a threat to humanity, concretely manifested in the Darfur War, Sudan, beginning of the last decade. This study reproduces, in dynamic terms, a mainstream climate-related thesis about the emergence of the conflict. It demonstrates the plausibility of such thesis when the complex interplay between environmental, social and economic variables is taken into consideration. The paper shows that, despite the limitations of every mental model, climate change may be one of the plausible explanations for the origin of deadly conflicts. It compares policy alternatives to conclude that training to herd owners and access to family planning could have mitigated conflict in Sudan. It calls for the incorporation of political variables to improve replicability and utility of related studies.