Abstract for: Toll Road Infrastructure Development in Indonesia: A System Dynamics Perspective

The development of infrastructure especially toll road in Indonesia is critical, because if compared with other countries like China or Malaysia toll road, Indonesia toll road growth move slower than them. This paper will examine the development of toll road infrastructure in Indonesia from 1995 to 2012, and then analyzedwith System Dynamics methodology. At conceptualization stage of SD methodology, there is a significant gap between forecast based on current situation and forecast based on econometric data panel method. The result of this paper, based on current investment process from Government of Indonesia,is the whole of toll road construction, based on Government plan 2213 km, will be finished in 2080. It means that construction of toll road in Indonesia is very challenge. This paper recommands that to accelerate construction toll road in Indoesia should be leveraged with something innovated.