Abstract for: Epidemiology of Cytomegalovirus

Cytomegalovirus ( aka CMV) is the leading cause of neurological disabilities among children causing among others mental retardation and hearing losses. This article approaches the uncertainty of CMV with the use of system dynamics to test the effect of existing and hypothesized policies in order to reduce the number of children affected by neurological disabilities because of congenital infection. A baseline system dynamics model built on deep uncertainty reveals that in the case of the USA, the spread of the epidemic can be contained by two measures: developing a vaccine currently under trials and combining existing policies.