Abstract for: Prostitution and Human Trafficking: A model-based exploration and policy analysis

This paper deals with prostitution-related human trafficking. After a brief introduction into the problem of prostitution-related human trafficking, this study focuses on the Dutch policy debate. A first dynamic simulation model is presented based on the problem situation in the Netherlands intended to explore the field and give more understanding about the effects of proposed policies. Using this simulation model a short policy analysis is carried out uncovering the dynamics of the system leading to some preliminary conclusions. Finally it is argued that deep uncertainties exist in this problem field and this is just the first model from various plausible models that are currently developed. An in-depth exploration of the uncertainties related to many of the parameters, functions and structural assumptions will be performed using Exploratory System Dynamics Modeling and Analysis.