Abstract for: System Dynamics Model on Medicine Mobilization in Emergency

This paper reports the system dynamics modeling work on an unfinished project for medicine mobilization in emergencies, such as earthquake, flood, and the outburst of epidemic disease. A system dynamics model was under construction, supported by the input from experts in emergency response team, medicine producers, and logistics. In this paper, we briefly introduce the current version of the model. Even though the model has not fully completed yet, the model-building process and the simulation results of the model have identified the bottlenecks of the medicine supply in emergency and illustrated why some intuitive policies actually do not work in reality. Such insights will help to form high leverage policies to improve the medicine supply in emergency.