Abstract for: System Dynamics of Diminishing Family Size on Living Arrangements of Singaporeans with Ageing-related Dementia

Over the next several decades, population trends sweeping across the world will challenge cultural traditions, health systems capacity, and social infrastructure. As average age of populations increase, health care needs change from acute to chronic. Of all the causes of age-related dependency, dementia presents a particular problem: the elderly with dementia have extensive care demands and, as their dementia progresses from mild and moderate to severe, institutionalization becomes more likely. Our research applies system dynamics methodology to estimate future population-level severity of dementia and the challenges of age-related dementia to family and community infrastructure.