The aim of presented research is the construction of mathematical model of
ethnic field. The model is described by the system of parabolic
equations. It is the tools for research the evolution of interactive
ethnic systems under landscape influence.
The ethnic system includes a few ethnoses and provides their interactions.
The interactions transmit by ethnic fields.
This model describes the behavior of society on ethnic solidarity
level.
The software TERRI is used for the forecast of arising the
ethnic conflicts. We carry out analysis of simulation results of ethnic
fields: ethnic map coloring; delimitation three borders between
super-ethnoses on the ethnic map of investigation region;
comparison the experimental data with the
facts; relationship of ethnic fields model with real ethnic processes.
Based on simulation result the researcher can
compute the direction of ethnic field distribution and the most
probable points of skirmish between ethnoses.