Domingo Andria
MPhil Student in System Dynamics, University of Bergen, Norway - domingoa@ifi.uib.no
Doctoral Program Student, University of Palermo, Italy
- andria@unipa.it - ricopa@unipa.it
Abstract: The purpose
of this paper is to demonstrate how a S.D. model could support
financial decision makers in understanding processes related to
the management of the firm's liquidity position. A causal dynamic
simulation model will be constructed in order to depict feedback
loops generated by the so called float, i.e. the delay
between the time when a cheque is issued by a company and the
time when it is cleared. There are two kinds of float: the
payment float and the availability float. The first
one occurs when a firm pays its suppliers by cheque; the second
one occurs when a firm receives a cheque from one of its customers.
Managing floats may be of a great importance for a firm, both
on a financial and on an economic point of view. In fact, owing
to delays generated by floats, a company may benefit from extra
funds, free of interest. Consequently, other conditions being
equal, levering on float it will be possible to increase investments
and - if operating unit revenues will be higher than costs - to
achieve a growing internal flow of funds that will allow to support
growth. Traditional reporting fails to depict such phenomenon.
Dynamic modelling and simulation could support financial managers
to understand how to lever on floats in order to raise higher
funds from daily transactions to support their current financial
needs.
Problem Description
Companies do not keep their cash in a little tin box inside the company, but they keep it in a bank deposit. This means that the same company is characterised by having two different financial ledgers (or balances): the cash balance and the bank balance.
Float management plays its role only in this difference between the two balances referring to the same company.
To understand how float intervenes in this difference we need to know what happens when companies withdraw money from their account or pay money into them. In particular, we need to understand by which components the "cheque system" is affected, and how a cheque is used to transfer value from the company (payor) to one of its supplier (payee). Figure 1 resumes this particular process. As result of the delayed process, the company's bank will not learn anything about the cheque issued by the company until it has been received by the supplier, deposited at his bank, and finally presented, through the clearing system, to the company's bank for payment.
| During this time the company's bank continues to show in its ledger that the company has the same balance that it had before issuing the cheque. While the cheque is being cleared, the company obtains the benefit of an extra sum (the value shown in the cheque) in its bank balance. The difference between the cash recorded as deposit on the company's book and the increase in the available balance at the bank is defined as "float". In the cash management business there are several kinds of delays, and so people refer also |
to several kinds of float. Figure 2 summarises the three sources of float:
Of course the delays that help the payer hurt the recipient. Recipients, speeding up collections try to reduce delays to get available cash sooner. Payers, slowing down disbursement, prefer delays to be able to use their cash longer. |
|
The System Dynamics Approach
We propose to describe and to study the phenomenon above with a dynamic simulation model and test our assumptions by validating our model and apply our model to support financial decision makers in understanding processes related to the management of the firm's liquidity position. We have applied the system dynamics methodology (Richardson & Pugh, 1981; Forrester, 1961) to construct a causal dynamic simulation model. The model has been grounded in existing theories concerning the structures being described and theories of dynamic systems.
In particular, what has been more emphasised in the model, is the role played by the delays in such systems. We have demonstrated how the amplification due to the different kinds of delays in the system, can be used by the financial manager to lever on float to increase investments and - if operating unit revenues are higher than costs - to achieve a growing internal flow of funds that will allow to support growth. Our model has completely, explicitly and transparently described how three interacting subsystems interact over time:
Actual Results
Difference between the company's cash balance and the available balance at the bank :
| To show the difference between the company's cash balance and the available balance at the bank, are plotted, in the same graph, the two lines representing the two different types of balance: the cash balance and the bank balance.
"The bank line"(representing the money available to the company in its deposit account), shows, for a certain time, a value of available |
money higher than the money represented by the "cash line" (representing the money available to the company in its cash).
Float's effects in terms of interests:
|
It is possible to identify two different types of benefit for the company:
"Bank balance-1" reproduces the case when the
money gained by the company as a consequence of the float created
through the cheque process is not considered; on the other hand,
"Bank balance-2" reproduces the case when it
is taken into consideration. In conclusion, the company, with
the extra money obtained because of the delay in the cheque processes
, obtains the benefit of extra money as interests, between the
day when the bank adds interests and the day when the value corresponding
to the cheque is subtracted from its deposit account .
Conclusions
The causal dynamic simulation model used in our approach has demonstrated
that the cash shown in a company ledger is not the same as the
available balance in its bank account. The difference is the float.
When a company writes a cheque awaiting clearance, the available
balance will be larger than the ledger balance. The reason is
that it takes time for the company's bank balance to be adjusted
downward. During this time the bank balance available at the bank
will be larger than the ledger balance available into the company.
The financial manager can use this difference. If he can predict
how long it takes a cheque to clear, he may be able to play
the float and get by on a smaller cash balance. Other conditions
being equal, levering on float will be possible to increase investments
and - if operating unit revenues will be higher than costs - to
achieve a growing internal flow of funds that will allow to support
growth.
References
Brealey R.A., Stewart C.Myers, (1991). Principles of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill, Inc. - International Edition.
Brealey R.A., Stewart C.Myers, and Alan J.Marcus (1995). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill, Inc. - International Edition.
Coyle R.G. (1996). System Dynamics Modeling - A Practical Approach. Chapman & Hall.
Forrester, Jay W. (1961). Industrial Dynamics. Productivity Press. Cambridge, MA.
Miller D.H. & Stewart C. Myers, (1990). Frontiers of Finance. Basil Blackwell.
Richardson G. P.; Pugh A.L. (1981). System Dynamics Modelling
with Dynamo. Productivity Press. Cambridge, MA.
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