The First International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
1983 Chestnut Hill, MA USA

The following papers were presented at the conference in parallel and plenary sessions. The original printed proceedings, edited by John D. Morecroft, David F. Andersen and John D. Sterman were printed in hardcopy and distributed at the conference. Below please find the Paper Index for these proceedings. Papers are listed alphabetically by the last name of the first author. Available papers are Acrobat (.pdf) files and can be read using Acrobat Reader available from

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PAPER INDEX - listed alphabetically by first author:

Appiah, R. K. with R.G. Coyle   A Modern Control Engineering Approach to System Dynamics
Bonnell,William S.   The Evolution of a Model: Computational Aid, Policy Making, Planning and Scheduling
Braden, Charles H.   Exemplary System Dynamics—Input-Output Analysis Model
Braunschweig, Bertrand   A Technico-economical Simulation Model Focusing on Enhanced Recovery in Oil Fields
Bush, James W. with Alan M. Schneider, Thomas L. Wachtel and John E. Brimm   Fluid Therapy in Acute Large Area Burns: A System Dynamics Analysis
Chen, Fiona Feng   A New Kind of Sensitivity Testing in System Dynamics Modeling for Sensitive Results from Aggregation Assumptions
Chouraqui, Eugéne   Formal Expression of the Evolution of Knowledge
Choucri, N. with M. Karsky   The World Oil Market: Two Models with Similar Policy Oriented Results
Clark, Rolf with Samuel B. Graves and Kathleen Sheehan   Extended Planning in the Navy and the Resource Dynamics Project
Clark, Thomas D. with Edward L. Whitenberg and Alan H. Woodruff   Defense Weapons Acquisition: A Systems Study
Corliss , John M.     Model Documentation: Hinderance or Help
Coyle, R. G. with R. K. Appiah   The Use of Optimisation Methods for Policy Design in a System Dynamics Model
Coyle, R. G. with J. C. Rego   Scenario and Policy Evaluation in Electrical Supply Decisions, the Argentine Case
Day, Richard H.   Dynamical Systems Theory and Complicated Economic Behavior
De Greene, Kenyon B.   Equilibrium, Critical Points, and Structural Stability and Change in System Dynamics and Systems Science
Drew, Donald R.   A System Dynamics Model for Managing Aircraft Survivability
Eberlein, Robert L. with Qifan Wang   Validation of Oscillatory Behavior Modes Using Spectral Analysis
F jellså, Olav   Dynamics of Growth in Solar Markets
Ford, Andrew with Jeffrey Amlin and George Backus   A Practical Approach to Sensitivity Testing of System Dynamics Models
Forrester, Nathan B.   Eigenvalue Analysis of Dominant Feedback Loops
Fritz , Richard G.  A Structural Linguistics Approach to Method in System Dynamic Modeling
Gaynor, Alan K. with Karl H. Clauset   Implementing Effective School Improvement Policies: A System Dynamics Policy Analysis
Goluke, Ulrich   A Model of Hydrological and Biological Interactions in a Water Course
Goodman, Michael R. with Gary B. Hirsch, Ben R. Forsyth and William H. Luginbuhl   Assessing the Economic Impact of Medical Interventions: What is the Price of Success?
Gottschalk, Petter   Systems Dynamics Applied to Railroad Planning
Gould, Janet M. with David P. Kreutzer   Interactive Computer Graphic Technologies for Representing System Dynamics Model Structure and Behavior: New Tools for Marketing and Teaching System Dynamics
Graham, Alan K. with David P. Kreutzer   Strategies for Converting to New Technologies: Computer Graphics in the Color Printing Industry
Graham, Alan K. with Alexander L. Pugh   Behavior Analysis Software for Large DYNAMO Models
Guenneguez, Lysiane with Louis Breton   A Methodology to Built System Dynamics about Agricultural and Lumberig Products Markets
Gupta, Naresh K. with K. K. Garga   Dynamics of Consumer Demand in India
Hall, Roger I.   The Natural Logic of Management Policy Making: Its Implications for the Survival of an Organization
Hines, James H.   The Business Cycle and Money, An Analysis of the Inventory Investment Hypothesis
Holmes, R. K. with E. F. Wolstenholme   The Design of Colliery Information and Control Systems
Holmes, R. K.   Rabies-A Suitable Case for Treatment
Homer, Jack B.   Partial-Model Testing as a Validation Tool for System Dynamics
Jacobsen , Chanoch   Sociology and System Dynamics
Kelly, Krista C. with Merle McKenzie   Data Management for System Dynamics Modeling
Kelly, Thomas G.   Looking at 'Human Factors' in the Automation of Job Service Offices – A System Dynamics Approach
Keloharju, Raimo   On the Rules of the Game in System Dynamics
Kinek, Patrick A. with Anil B. Jambekar   Modeling Small Surface Coal Operator to Study the Effect of Government’s Permitting and Bonding Review Process
King, P. D. A. with R. G. Coyle and E. F. Wolstenholme   A General Feedback Model of Business Performance
Krallmann, Hermann   Enlarging the Paradigm: Historical View from 1973 until 1983
Kumar, Rakesh with Olaf Kleine   System Dynamics Model of Material Flow: Case of a Steel Plant
Kumar, Rakesh   System Dynamics Model of Indian Economy for Studying Behavior of Inflation
Levine, Ralph L.   The Paradigms of Psychology and System Dynamics
Lin, C. Y.   Validation Testing: A Case Study
Lopez, David A.   Using System Dynamics to Model a University Library System
Lyneis, James M.with Dominic Geraghty   Regulatory Policy and the Performance of Electric Utilities: a System Dynamics Analysis
Maier, Helmut   Results and Experience with a Model of Adjustment of Student Enrollment at the Berlin School of Economics with Medium-term Consequences for Room Planning
Mass, Nathaniel J.   Monetary Policy: A Comparative Study of Economic Forecasting Methodologies
McIvor, I. D. with E. Probert   The Role of Interactive Colour Graphics in Boosting User Understanding and Confidence
McKenzie,Merle   System Dynamics Modeling for Long Range Strategic Planning
Mihram, G. Arthur   Reflecting Decision-Making in Models of Dynamic Systems
Mitchiner , John L.   The Effect of Government Policy on Alternate Energy Technology Market Penetration
Moffatt, Ian   A Political-Economic Model of Urban Growth in Britain, 1801-2001
Moffatt, Ian   Some Methodological and Epistemological Problems Involved in System Dynamics Modelling
Mohapatra, Pratap K. J. with Sushil K. Sharma   Synthetic Design of Policy Decisions in System Dynamics Models-A Modal Control Theoretic Approach
Morecroft, John D. W.   Rationality and Structure in Behavioral Models of Business Systems
Morecroft, John D. with W. Tarek K. Abdel-Hamid   A Generic System Dynamics Model of Software Project Management
Morecroft, John D. W. with Geoffrey P. Mott and Zafer J. Achi   Modeling a Professional Service Firm
Mosekilde, Erik with Steen Rasmussen and Torben Smith Sørensen   Self-Organization and Stochastic Re-Causalization in System Dynamics Models
Moxnes, Erling   The Dutch Disease: Causes, Consequences and Cures
Ovide-Etienne, Marcel   System Dynamics and Industrial Channels Analysis Example: French Timber Channel
Pumain, Denise with Bertrand Roehner, Lena Sanders and Thérèse Saint-Julien   Are French Metropolitan Areas Evolving as Self-Organizing Systems?
Rahn, R. J.   Some Dynamic Effects of the Aggregation of Generic Model Systems- The Master Equation Approach
Ramaprasad, Arkalgud   A Typology of Adaptive Organizational Changes
Richmond, Barry M.   Enlarge the Paradigm? Yes!
Rogge, Lee with Stephen G. Boyce   Economic Analysis with System Dynamics: A Forestry Example
Rubinstein, R.   Antithetic Random Variables, for the Simulation of Complex Stochastic Systems
Ryan, James E.   The Representation of Values in System Dynamics Models of Organizational Performance
Saeed, Khalid   Economic Growth and Political Instability in the Developing Countries: A Systems View
Saeed, Khalid with M. A. Satter and Gajendra Singh   Rice Crop Production Policies and Food Supply in Bangladesh
Sancar, Fahriye H.   System Dynamics as a Heuristic for Systems Design
Shreckengost, Raymond C. with Sheryl P. Shreckengost   An Introduction to System Dynamics in a Non-Traditional Graduate Program
Sedehi, Habib with Paola Valli and Paolo Verrecchia   Dynamic Models for Planning Tourist Complexes
Senge, Peter M.   System Dynamics: A Possible Artifact for the Systems Age
Shorb, Alan Mck   System Dynamics by Visicalc: Simulation Models Using the New Spreadsheet Programs
Simonsen, Carl   An Application of SD to Military Combat Modelling
Sterman, John D.   Appropriate Summary Statistics for Evaluating the Historical Fit of System Dynamics Models
Sterman, John D.     A Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave
Thompson, Ray with R. C. Shreckengost   Using System Dynamics to Improve the Management of Working Capital in a Small Business
Torrealdea, F.with J. M. Graña   Some Ideas for a History Dynamics Model
Van Buren, Gregory with David H. Goodstein   Development of a Casual User Interface for Simulation Models
Vasarhelyi , Miklos   Counterintuitive Economic Consequences of Accounting Policies: A Dynamic Analysis
Wang, Qifan with John D. Sterman   A Disaggregate Population Model of China
Weil, Henry Birdseye   What is an Adequate Model?
White , Norman F.   System Models in the Health Sciences
Wolstenholme Eric F.   Development of System Dynamics into a More Complete Methodology for Practical Systemic Enquiry
Wood, William T.   Modeling Stochastic Processes with System Dynamics

last updated by ng on 1/19/09

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