Special Events
Plenary:
A Fireside Chat with Jay Forrester, chaired by Khalid Saeed Abstract Link to video
Last Call Documentary Introduction and Screening, chaired by Peter Milling Abstract Link from authors
Business
Plenary: The CEO as Modeler, chaired by Kim Warren
Value and Acceptance of System Dynamics in Business: Business Owner as SD Practitioner Perspective, by Warren Farr Abstract Paper Supporting
How a CEO Can Create a Sustainable Competitive Advantage by Modeling the Company as a Dynamic System, by Bob Berry Abstract Paper Link from authors
The Manager as Modeler, by Stephen Hennigan Abstract Paper
Parallel: Capacity and Strategy, chaired by Florian Kapmeier
Corporate Training Dynamics and Insights, by Pascal Gambardella, Charles Wainwright, Helen Jones-Kelleher Abstract Paper Supporting
Using System Dynamics to Inform Scenario Planning: A Case Study, by Charles Featherston, Matthew Doolan Abstract Paper
The Network Strategy of a Gas Distribution Company, by Paulo Goncalves, Michele Broggini Abstract Paper
Parallel: Value, Learning and Cycles, chaired by Martin Rafferty
Cycles in Casualty: An Examination of Profit Cycles in the Insurance Industry, by Kawika Pierson Abstract Paper Supporting
Implications of The Rate of Organizational Learning on Value Capture in the Digital Economy, by Mona Vernon Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics and stock markets, by Martin Rafferty Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Project Dynamics, chaired by Don Woodlock
Empirical Study of Design-Construction Feedbacks in Building Construction Projects, by Kiavash Parvan, Hazhir Rahmandad, Ali Haghani Abstract Paper Supporting
Agile Project Dynamics: A System Dynamics Investigation of Agile Software Development Methods, by Firas Glaiel, Allen Moulton, Stuart Madnick Abstract Paper
Modeling the Evolution of a Science Project in Software-Reliant System Acquisition Programs, by Andrew Moore, William Novak Abstract Paper
Parallel: Diffusion and Market Size, chaired by Peter Lacey
Facilitating Diffusion of Innovations Through Niche Management Strategies, by Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper
Modeling Movie Release Strategies, by Christopher Hughes Abstract Paper
Supply-Chain Transparency and Governance Systems: Market Penetration of the I-Choose System, by Weijia Ran, Holly Jarman, Luis Luna-Reyes, Jing Zhang, Deborah Andersen, Giri Tayi, Djoko Sayogo, Joanne Luciano, David Andersen Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Perception, Knowledge and Innovation, chaired by Elizabeth Ong
Dynamic Strategies for Apartment Brand Management in Korean Housing Market, by Minji Choi, Moonseo Park, Hyun-Soo Lee, Sungjoo Hwang, Chanhyuk Park Abstract Paper
A Framework for Measuring the Value-Added of Knowledge Processes with Analysis of Process Interactions and Dynamics, by Jose Cintron, Wilawan Onkham, Luis Rabelo, Alfonso Sarmiento Abstract Paper
Critical Success Factors of the Offshore Outsourcing of Software Development Projects: A System Dynamics Approach, by Frederic Mayrand, Luc Cassivi, Martin Cloutier Abstract Paper
Parallel: Small and Medium Enterprise Dynamics, chaired by Sharon Els
Adverse Selection in SME Financing: When Both Bank and Innovative Entrepreneur Lose, by Araz Khodabakhshian, Mohsen Khosravi, Ali Mashayekhi Abstract Paper Supporting
A Dynamic Performance Management Approach to Evaluate and Support SMEs Competitiveness: Evidences from a Case Study, by Milica Marinkovic, Federico Cosenz, Carmine Bianchi Abstract Paper
Modeling and Comparing a Startup Dynamics in the US and Egypt, by Fady Saad Abstract Paper
Poster: Strategy Dynamics
Impact of Flexibility on Risk Management in an Indian Pharmaceutical Manufacturer – A system dynamics approach, by Sushil Sushil, Arnab Mitra Abstract Paper
Exploratory Study on Emerging Market Entry Strategy - Systems Thinking Approach, by ChangKwon Chung Abstract Paper
Poster: Organizational and Human Resource Dynamics
Critical Issues for Organizational Growth and Success: A Systems Thinking View using Feedback Loop Analysis, by Sumant Bishwas, Sushil Sushil Abstract Paper
Effective Leadership using System Dynamics and the Matrix of Change, by Ahmed Elattar, Wilawan Onkham, Luis Rabelo, Muyuan Li Abstract Paper
Poster: Business Operations, Economics, and Banking Dynamics
Analysis of a serious accident emergency drill with a simulation model, by Angela Martin-Mendez Abstract Paper
Dairy Business: Farmer Education Enables Precision Farming, by Alberto Stanislao Atzori, Luis Tedeschi, Stefano Armenia Abstract Paper Supporting
Marketing Effectiveness Improvement Analysis Based on System Dynamics Model, by Reza Faridyahyaie, Amin Faridyahyaie, Nader Mahmoudi Abstract Paper Supporting
Lending to Small and Medium Enterprises: A Novel Approach to Credit Portfolio Management, by András Kovari, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Industry Dynamics
Developing "System Dynamics-based" Flexible Strategy Game-card: Exploring Performance of the Indian Telecom Service Providers, by Neetu Yadav, Sushil Sushil Abstract Paper Supporting
Construction of a Dynamic Model for Evolution of Korea Mobile Industry Ecosystem by System Dynamics, by Seonghwi Lee, Myoung Ho Lee, Hoon Huh Abstract
System Dynamics Model of Residential and Commercial Lighting Markets, by Robert Nachtrieb Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Approach on Green Car Diffusion Strategy and the Korean case, by Kyungbae Park Abstract Paper
Economics
Plenary: Market Dynamics, chaired by Paulo Goncalves
A System Dynamics Approach to Modeling the Global Capital Markets, by Stephen Cucchiaro Abstract Paper
Pushing the Limits – Using System Dynamics to Forecast Short-Term Commodity Price Movements, by Florian Kapmeier, Alexander Voigt Abstract Paper
Three slices of Jay Forrester’s general theory of economic behavior: An interpretation, by Khalid Saeed Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Finance & Banking, chaired by Sean Morgan
Modelling Sovereign Debt Induced Banking Crises: Theory, Application and Policy Conundrums, by Jide Lewis Abstract Paper
Inclusive growth and sustainable finance - a system dynamics model, by Bo Hu, Joachim Block, Armin Leopold, Stefan Pickl Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Energy Policy, chaired by Asmeret Bier
Bioenergy market competition for biomass: A system dynamics review of current policy, by Jacob Jacobson, Robert Jeffers Abstract
Developing a Fair and Robust Energy Policy, by Frank Blaskovich Abstract Paper Supporting
Simulating Government Policies for the Ethanol Market in Brazil, by Erico Santos Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Macroeconomics & Money, chaired by Patricia Craig
The Dynamics of Indonesian’s Currency Crisis in 1997, by Gunawan Wicaksono Abstract Paper
Lending to Small and Medium Enterprises: A Novel Approach to Credit Portfolio Management, by András Kovari, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
On Component Based Modeling Approach using System Dynamics for The Financial System (With a Case Study of Keen-Minsky Model), by Ginanjar Utama Abstract Paper
Parallel: Fiscal & Monetary Policies, chaired by Robert Cavana
Employment-Centred Stabilisation Policy Propelling the Economy to “Escape Velocity”, by Alexander Ryzhenkov Abstract Paper Supporting
Dynamic Conservation of Money, by Douglas Franco Abstract Paper Supporting
Exchange Rates and Deindustrialization: Japanese Experiences, by Takayuki Yamashita Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Finance, Banking & Debt
Policy in Adaptive Financial Markets—The Use of Systemic Risk Early Warning Tools, by Mikhail Oet, Dieter Gramlich, Stephen Ong Abstract Paper
Stress-Testing Banks under Deep Uncertainty, by Christos Vasilopoulos, Erik Pruyt, Tushith Islam Abstract Paper
Poster: Urban & Real Estate Dynamics
Cities as Complex Systems, by Fernando Buendia Abstract
A Shock to the System: How can Land Value Taxation change the Face of Cities?, by Georgios Tsaples, Erik Pruyt, András Kovari, Christos Vasilopoulos Abstract Paper Supporting
A system dynamics approach to clarify the impacts of state loans on real estate market in Iran, by Yalda Amini, Sina Jangali Kasmaei, Golnoosh Sharifan, Gholamreza Eslamifar, Ashkan Aghdai Abstract Paper Supporting
The shift to land value taxation: A tale of a different future, by George Papachristos, Christos Vasilopoulos Abstract Paper
Poster: Economic Development, Employment, Politcial & Methodological Issues
Case study: Scenario and Risk Analysis in the Pulp Industry using System Dynamics and Monte Carlo Simulation, by Erico Santos, Taly Nahmias, Julianne Archipavas, Gustavo Felipe Galli e Silva, Alberto Traverso Sienra Abstract Paper
Anticipating complex behaviors of coercive actions in international relations, by Amir MohammadShirazi, Gholamreza Eslamifar, Masoomeh Khandan, Ashkan Aghdai Abstract Supporting
Business Competition as a Complex System: A System Dynamics Approach, by Fernando Buendia Abstract
A System Dynamics Examination of the “Spirit of Capitalism”, by John Voyer, Herbert Smoluk Abstract Paper
Dynamic Demand Modeling of Freight Fleets, by André Kuehn, Michael Krail Abstract Paper Supporting
Environment
Plenary: Global Modeling, chaired by Peter Milling
2052 – A Global Forecast for the next Forty Years Using a Mix of Models, by Jorgen Randers Abstract Paper
Global Models from Malthus to C-Roads and Beyond, by Thomas Fiddaman, Andrew Jones, John Sterman Abstract
Parallel: Water resource management, chaired by Allyson Beall
A Simulation Framework for Integrated Water and Energy Resource Planning, by Robert Jeffers Abstract Paper
Solution-oriented Systems Thinking Archetypes; examples of the Manawatu River, New Zealand, by Marjan van den Belt, Vicky Forgie, Mike Scott, Anna Frampton, Ahmad Obeidat Abstract Paper
Teaching top-down modeling to bottom-up thinkers: A report from the initial phase of a collaborative watershed-modeling project, by Melanie Thornton, Liz Allen, Allyson Beall Abstract Paper
Parallel: Planning for sustainability, chaired by Patricia Craig
Adaptation to climate change in sub Saharan Africa. A multi-sector impact analysis for Burkina Faso, by Birgit Kopainsky, Gunda Zullich, Santiago Movilla Blanco Abstract Paper
Assessing Future Carbon Emissions from Fossil Fuels of China, by Hefeng Tong, Weishuang Qu, John Shilling Abstract Paper
Eco-Eco-System Dynamics, by John Shilling Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
Parallel: Green Economies, chaired by George Richardson
A Dynamic Analysis of Socio-Technical Transition towards Bio-Economy, by Tomi Sorasalmi, Riitta Nieminen-Sundell, Peter Ylen Abstract Paper
South African Green Economy Model (SAGEM), by Josephine Musango, Alan Brent, Andrea Bassi Abstract Paper Supporting
Integrating Economics and System Dynamics Approaches for Modeling an Ecological-Economic System, by Takuro Uehara, Yoko Nagase, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Sustainable waste management, chaired by Onur Ozgun
The impacts of biomass exploitation and carbon valuation on boreal forest management, by Marc Jaxa-Rozen, Muhammad Rihan Handaulah, Erik Pruyt Abstract
Exploratory Dynamic Analysis of the Adoption of Biowaste Separation Behavior in Households, by Nicolas Escalante Abstract Paper Supporting
Evidence building for waste prevention: understanding the causal influences that result in waste, by Rachel Freeman, Michael Yearworth, Maria Angulo, Tom Quested Abstract Paper
Poster: Food, land, water, and sustainability
Poultry Supply Chain: A System Approach, by Mohammad Shamsuddoha, Mohammed Quaddus, Desmond Klass Abstract Paper Supporting
Social dimension of bio energy production policy in Africa: A systems thinking perspective, by Martin Kaggwa Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Analysis of the Bottled Water Industry in the United States, by Brendan Moloney, Matthew Doolan, Barry Newell Abstract Paper Supporting
If the hillock does not survive, the community does not survive: Insights from the SD Winter Institute in Andhra Pradesh, by Zhu Xiao, Masha Serdyukova, Rachel Binstock Abstract Paper Supporting
A system dynamics approach to assess the impact of policy changes in the Icelandic demersal fishery, by Sigridur Sigurdardottir, Jónas Vioarsson, Sveinn Margeirsson Abstract Paper
An Investigation into Land Use Changes and Consequences in the Northern Great Plains Using Systems Thinking and Dynamics, by Ben Turner, Luis Tedeschi, Roger Gates, Tim Nichols, Melissa Wuellner, Barry Dunn Abstract Paper Supporting
Integrated Water Resources Management Incorporating Water Quality, Energy Consumption and Ecological Requirement, by Yilin Zhuang, Qiong Zhang Abstract Paper
Poster: Pollution reduction strategies
The establishment of container-deposit on single-use beverage packaging in Germany, by Roland Maximilian Happach, Meike Tilebein Abstract Paper Supporting
Muwait: a system dynamics model for municipal waste management in Italy, by Vincenzo Di Giulio, Stefania Migliavacca, Vincenzo Durante, Paolo Torelli, Michela Giuliani Abstract
Application of System Dynamics for Municipal Waste Management in China: A Case Study of Beijing, by Lin Cai, Ying Liu Abstract Paper Supporting
Using Dynamic Stock & Flow Models for Global and Regional Material and Substance Flow Analysis - An Example for Copper, by Simon Gloeser, Marcel Soulier Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Energy innovation and climate adaptation
Assessing the new electricity-market reform in GB with the support of SD, by Monica Castaneda, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco Abstract
A system dynamics-based model of the socio-technical systems of household energy and carbon emissions, by Michael Oladokun, Ibrahim Motawa, Phillip Banfill Abstract Paper
A Preliminary Qualitative Model for the Availability of Climate Adaptation Finance in Developing Countries, by Karen Meijer, Maaike van Aalst, Aleksandra Dobreva Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Games for a New Climate: Leveraging Immersive, Situated Learning Experiences for Climate Change Education and Decision Support, by Juliette Rooney-Varga, John Sterman, Travis Franck, Elizabeth Sawin, Andrew Jones, Janot Mendler de Suarez Abstract Link from authors
Health
Parallel: Public and Clinical Health Dynamics, chaired by David Lounsbury
The eye of the beholder: exploring the dynamics of regional differences in cataract treatment, by Bert van Nistelrooij, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix, Ilse Verstijnen Abstract
Decision thresholds in developmental-behavioral screening: Gaining insight through system dynamics modeling, by Kee Chan, Deborah Polk, Chris Sheldrick Abstract Paper Supporting
Ageing and the Sustainability of Public Expenditure: SD Based Policy Analysis, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt, Thomas Logtens Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Healthcare service planning and delivery, chaired by Jim Duggan
Robust workforce planning for the English medical workforce, by Siôn Cave, Andrew Woodward, Graham Willis Abstract Paper
Dynamic Impacts of Performance Based Payment System on Public Hospitals in Turkey, by Yaman Barlas, Tugrul Meker Abstract Paper
Adapting ‘Agility’ to Healthcare Service Delivery, by Tom Rust, Khalid Saeed, Isa Bar-On, Oleg Pavlov Abstract Paper
Parallel: Infectious Diseases, chaired by Gary Hirsch
Using system dynamics to apply syndemic theory to women with and at-risk for HIV, by Abigail Batchelder, David Lounsbury, Anton Palma, Ellie Schoenbaum, Jeffrey Gonzalez Abstract Paper Supporting
Cost of Malaria Elimination in Kenya by Means of IVM Implementation, by Santiago Movilla Blanco Abstract Paper
Using System Dynamics to model the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Botswana and Uganda, by Rachel Howell, Onno Wesselink, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Metabolism, Physiology and Epidemiology, chaired by Yaman Barlas
Modeling the Dynamics of Methylmercury Biomagnification, by Gizem Bacaksizlar, Nisa Onsel Abstract Paper Supporting
Epidemiology of Cytomegalovirus, by Georgios Tsaples, Meropi Nassikas Abstract Paper Supporting
A Dynamic Simulation Model for Insulin Resistance and Type II Diabetes in the Context of Obesity, by Melike Can, Aybek Korugan, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper
Poster: Fighting Diseases and Addictions
Diabetes Learning Lab in Stella 10, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Model of Salt Reduction at a National Level, by Nobuo Nishi Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling opioid addiction treatment policies using system dynamics, by Wayne Wakeland, Alexandra Nielsen Abstract Paper Supporting
From the Archives: The dynamics of action-oriented problem solving: linking interpretation and choice, by J. Bradley Morrison, Jenny Rudolph, John Carroll Abstract
Poster: Healthcare Systems and Healthcare Organizations
A Patient Flow Model of Singapore’s Healthcare System, by John Ansah, David Matchar Abstract Paper
Improving Efficiency and Capacity in Primary Health Care in Iceland Using System Dynamics, by Bryndís Alexandersdottir, Helgi Ingason, Brynhildur Davidsdottir Abstract Paper
Applying the System Dynamics Approach in Evaluating Clinical Risk Management Policies in Three Healthcare Companies, by Francesco Ceresia, Giovan Battista Montemaggiore Abstract Paper
Unlocking the promise of patient engagement: the dynamics of patient portal adoption, by Daniel Goldsmith, John Lyneis Abstract Supporting
From the Archives: Models That Matter: Selected Writings on System Dynamics 1985-2010, by Jack Homer Abstract
Other: Health Care Adventures at the Center for Medical Simulation, by J. Bradley Morrison Abstract Paper
Human Behavior
Parallel: Decision Making and Perception, chaired by Nicole Zimmermann
Perception is more than time delays, by Özge Pala, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract
Cooperation and Learning in Cyber Security Training Exercises, by Asmeret Bier, Ben Anderson Abstract Paper
An Analysis of Mental Process within Construction Workforces for Project-level Safety Management, by Mingyu Shin, Hyun-Soo Lee, Moonseo Park, Seulbi Lee Abstract Paper
Parallel: Endogenous Sources of Collective Human Behavior, chaired by Stefan Groesser
Modeling the Influence of Narratives on Collective Behavior, by James Houghton, Michael Siegel, Daniel Goldsmith Abstract Paper Supporting
The endogenous genesis of Etruscan proto-cities: System Dynamics as a tool for historians, by Nicola Bianchi, Roberto Marcialis Abstract Paper Supporting
Maya Apocalypse: Results of Varying Productivity, Consumption, Impacts, and Policies, by Tom Forest Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Organizational Culture
Monetary Incentives as a Fix that Fails with Reciprocal Employees, by Nicole Zimmermann Abstract Supporting
The Dynamics of the Organizational Culture in a Municipality, by Francesco Ceresia Abstract Paper
Poster: Social Norms and Regulation
Investigation of Cyberbullying Phenomenon as an Epidemic, by Meg Fryling, Jack Rivituso Abstract Paper
Abstract System Dynamics and its Application to Corporate Governance Analysis, by Bertrand Rossert Abstract Paper
Information and Knowledge
Poster: Information and Knowledge
Fuzzy Systems Perspectives on Cognition, Economics and Machines in Organizations, by Farley Nobre, Romeu Telma Abstract Paper
Systems Thinking to Understand a Knowledge-producing Triple Helix Innovation Process, by UngKyu Han, Martin Kunc Abstract
Diversity and Innovativeness in New Product Development Teams – Addressing Dynamic Aspects With Simulation, by Anja Kreidler, Meike Tilebein Abstract Paper Supporting
SOA Governance Dynamics for IT Organizations, by Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper
Study of Information Spreading on Micro-blogging based on SEIR model, by Ying Qian, Nan Zhang, Shengxin Chen, Jianguo Jia Abstract Paper Supporting
Learning and Teaching
Plenary: Fearless Use of System Dynamics in Education – How You Can Make a Difference!, by Lees Stuntz, George Richardson, Peter Hovmand, Anne LaVigne, Paul Newton Abstract
Plenary: Human Capital Development, chaired by David Andersen
Research Workforce Diversity: The Case of Balancing National vs. International Postdocs in U.S. Biomedical Research, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Joshua Hawley, Anand Desai Abstract
First Four Years: A Case Study of Starting a Social System Design Lab, by Peter Hovmand Abstract Supporting
Small SD Models for BIG ISSUES - The Book, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Stock-flow Thinking and Dynamic Complexity, chaired by Laura Black
Effects of Illustrations, Specific Contexts, and Instructions: Further Attempts to Improve Stock–Flow Task Performance, by Marcus Schwarz, Saskia Epperlein, Friederike Brockhaus, Peter Sedlmeier Abstract Paper Supporting
Does Modification of Representation Format Affect Stock–Flow Thinking?, by Friederike Brockhaus, Jana Arnold, Marcus Schwarz, Peter Sedlmeier Abstract Paper
Do People Possess a Global and Ordinal Understanding of Accumulation? An Experimental Study, by Mihaela Tabacaru, Helen Fischer Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Modelling and Learning for Policy Making, chaired by James Thompson
Re-Scaling the Parents as Teachers Program in Missouri, by Madeleine Polk, Mary McMiller, Josh Jennemann, Zhu Xiao Abstract Paper Supporting
Teaching Policy Design, Using a Case Study of Unintended Consequences when the EU Regulates Hospital Doctors’ Hours, by David Wheat, Aklilu Tadesse, Mang Li, Glenn Lewis Abstract Paper
Simulation-Based Learning Environments to Teach Complexity: The Missing Link in Teaching Sustainable Public Management, by Michael Deegan, Krystyna Stave, Roderick MacDonald, David Andersen, Minyoung Ku, Eliot Rich Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Systems Learning: K-12 and Beyond, chaired by Meg Fryling
Developing Capacity for Systems Thinking in Schools, by Madeleine Polk Abstract Paper Supporting
Teaching Characteristics of Complex Systems in K-12 Education: Lessons Learned, by Anne LaVigne, Jennifer Andersen, Lees Stuntz Abstract Paper
Complexity-Based Gaming Approach to Improve Learning from Simulation Games, by Onur Ozgun, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Quality and Innovation in Education
Third Generation University Strategic Planning Model Development, by Valerijs Skribans, Arnis Lektauers, Yuri Merkuryev Abstract Paper
Learning objectives for successive development stages of system dynamics competency, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper Supporting
Keeping Students with the Curriculum: Using a Systems Dynamics Approach to Elementary Education, by Jurgen Kuipers, Anika Rose Abstract Paper Supporting
Visual integration with stock-flow models: How far can intuition carry us?, by Peter Sedlmeier, Friederike Brockhaus, Marcus Schwarz Abstract Paper
Poster: Engaging Learners with System Dynamics and Simulation
The beer game in Stella 10, by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez Abstract Paper
[Pollen learning lab]® to improve the public education system (new), by Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Prado, Ramiro Luis Almaguer Navarro, Pedro Dagoberto Almaguer Navarro, Ruth Raquel Almaguer Navarro, Beatriz Eugenia Navarro Vazquez Abstract Paper
Debriefing as a System: Enhancing Reflection in Experiential Learning, by J. Bradley Morrison Abstract
Workshop:
Rapid Modeling and Teaching with Sysdea Online System Dynamics Software, by Christina Spencer Abstract Link from authors
FishBanks in Teaching, by Dennis Meadows Abstract
Building Better Mental Models of the Impact of Anthropogenic GHG Emissions - a Hands-On Activity, by Chris Browne, Barry Newell, Paul Compston Abstract Supporting Link from authors
Getting Started with Sysdea Online Modeling Software, by Christina Spencer, Kim Warren, Christopher Spencer Abstract Link from authors
World Dynamics Revisited, by John Morecroft, Martin Kunc Abstract Paper Supporting
Methodology
Parallel: Modelling Foundations, chaired by Jill Slinger
Pitfalls of Multi Method Modelling: Concepts and Comparisons, by Herbert Daly Abstract Paper
Deduction and abduction in computer simulation: Comparing logics in theory development, by Edoardo Mollona Abstract Paper
Exploring the mutual benefits of collaboration with Concept Mapping – preliminary results and some puzzles, by Martin Schaffernicht, Bärbel Furstenau Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Optimization and Calibration Methodology, chaired by Gönenç Yucel
A Multi-Pathfinder for Developing Adaptive Robust Policies in System Dynamics, by Caner Hamarat, Erik Pruyt, Erwin Loonen Abstract Paper
A Global Approach to the Optimal Control of System Dynamics Models, by Armin Fugenschuh, Ingmar Vierhaus Abstract Paper
Estimation of Unknown Parameters in Dynamic Models Using the Method of Simulated Moments (MSM), by Hazhir Rahmandad, Mohammad Jalali, Hamed Ghoddusi Abstract Paper
Parallel: Modelling Approaches, chaired by Markus Schwaninger
Doing more with Models: Illustration of a SD Approach for Dealing with Deeply Uncertain Issues, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel, Caner Hamarat Abstract Paper
The Top 7 Myths About System Dynamics, by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract
Parallel: Model Building and Behaviour, chaired by Marjan van den Belt
Absent or distant? On the use of indirect causal links and chains of causal links to compare mental models of dynamic systems, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper Supporting
Connecting Micro Dynamics and Population Distributions in System Dynamics Models, by Saeideh Fallah-Fini, Hazhir Rahmandad, Hsin-Jen Chen, Youfa Wang Abstract Paper
Bayesian Parameter Estimation of System Dynamics Models Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods: An Informal Introduction, by Nathaniel Osgood, Juxin Liu Abstract Paper
Poster: Modelling Foundations
Using Scenario Planning Data in System Dynamics Model Building, by Ezzat El Halabi, Matthew Doolan Abstract Paper
Translating Between Laplace Domain Block Diagrams and System Dynamics Stock & Flow Diagrams, by Rohit Mundra, Khalid Saeed Abstract
System Dynamics Endogenous Mental Models, by Warren Tignor Abstract Paper
Limits to Planetary Fresh Water Use: A Multi-Model Investigation, by Jan Kwakkel, Jos Timmermans Abstract Paper
Poster: Modelling Methodologies
Elicitation of Mental Models of Dynamic Systems: Do Existing Elicitation Approaches Suffice?, by Stefan Groesser, Martin Schaffernicht Abstract
Evaluation of Alternative Dynamic Behavior Representations for Automated Model Output Classification and Clustering, by Nisa Onsel, Emre Onsel, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper
Disaggregation of a Stock Variable Based on Attribute Distribution, by Nitin Joglekar Abstract Paper Supporting
Achilles Can Catch the Tortoise: Alternative Goal-seeking Structures, by Charles Jones Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Creating Simulations for the Web with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, William Schoenberg, Karim Chichakly Abstract Supporting
Optimization with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link from authors
Getting Started with Forio: Turn Your Model into a Web Simulation, by Michael Bean Abstract Link from authors
Powersim Studio User Group and Advanced Techniques with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract Paper Link from authors
Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract Supporting Link from authors
Getting Started with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link from authors
System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano Abstract Link from authors
Scriptapedia 4.0: A Tool for Designing “Scripted” Group Model Building Workshops, by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract Paper Supporting
Model Analysis with Vensim and Classic Global Models, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link from authors
Getting to Know AnyLogic - Agent-Based and Multi-Method modeling in AnyLogic, by Andrei Borshchev, Scott Hebert Abstract Paper Supporting Link from authors
Getting Started with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Karim Chichakly, William Schoenberg Abstract Supporting
Operations
Parallel: Supply Chain, chaired by J. Chris White
Future Trends of the automotive Li-Ion Battery Supply Chain in Germany – Dynamic effects on raw materials and employment, by Tim Hettesheimer, Christian Lerch Abstract Paper
Burnout and Floating Goals in High-Contact Service Operations, by Luis Lopez, Roy Zuniga Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring Retailer’s Ordering Decisions under Delays, by Sebastian Villa Betancur, Paulo Goncalves, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper
Parallel: Business Process, chaired by Khaled Wahba
Model for Calculating Operational Capacities in Service Providers Using System Dynamics, by Mauricio Becerra Fernandez, Javier Orjuela Castro, Olga Romero Quiroga, Milton Herrera Ramirez Abstract Paper Supporting
Individual Performance in the Beer Game: Underweighting the Supply Line and the Impact of Personality, by Brad Meyer, Radostina Purvanova Abstract Paper
Determinants of Requirements Process Improvement Success, by Aminah Zawedde, Ddembe Williams Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Operations
Control Formulations for a Stock Management Problem with a Delay in Measuring and Reporting, by Hakan Yasarcan, Taner Bilgic Abstract
A Case Study of the Value-driven Feedback System for Quality Culture Improvements in the Project-based Organizations, by Min-Ren Yan, Hsin-Ke Lu, Yi-Hsiu Cheng Abstract
The development of sustainable transports through the right logistics strategy – a system dynamics approach, by Gerald Aschauer Abstract Paper
Large System Transformation within Healthcare Organizations utilizing Lean Deployment Strategies, by Heather Woodward-Hagg, Isa Bar-On Abstract Paper
Equivalent System Dynamics Model for Reliability Assessment, by Juan Osorio, Marcela Narvaez Abstract
Workshop:
Getting Started with the Beer Game on Steroids (BGOS), by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Link from authors
Schneider Trucking Game: A Multiplayer Simulation on the iPad, by Adam Savitzky, Michael Bean, Westley Hennigh Abstract Supporting
Public Policy
Parallel: Towards Emissions-Free Urban Transport, chaired by Jeroen Struben
Dynamics of the transition towards alternative fuel vehicles in advanced and emerging markets, by Edmundo Molina Abstract Paper Supporting
Simulation of Transitions Towards Emission-Free Urban Transport, by Sampsa Ruutu, Heidi Auvinen, Anu Tuominen, Toni Ahlqvist, Juha Oksanen Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Urban Infrastructure, chaired by Krishnan Raman
Flood damage in Bangkok: disaster or an opportunity for creative destruction, by Sarun Paisarnsrisomsuk, Khalid Saeed, Peerapas Thongsawas, Pitchaya Wiratchotisatian Abstract Paper
Model-Based Strategy Design for Biowaste Recovery in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, by Nicolas Escalante Abstract Paper
A Risk-based Evaluation of Policies for Sustainable Water System Design in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, by Vivek Sakhrani, Ahmad Alabdulkareem, Adnan Alsaati, Anas Alfaris, Noelle Selin, Olivier de Weck Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Funding Public Policy, chaired by Carmine Bianchi
System Dynamics Based Simulation for Airport Revenue Analysis, by Jing Qin, Doina Olaru Abstract Paper Supporting
Dynamic Drivers of Successful Social Impact Bonds, by Robert White, David Ford Abstract Paper Supporting
Nonlinear Dynamics of Ghost Busters: Detecting Fraud with System Dynamics, by Porfirio Guevara Abstract
Parallel: Workforce and Infrastructure in Education, chaired by John Voyer
Facility Conditions: A System Dynamics Review of the CSU Capital Outlay Program and its Impacts to the CSU, Chico Campus, by Andrew Boyd Abstract Paper Supporting
Applying System dynamics to simulate Iran’s engineering post graduates employment status, by Ali Moslemini, Mohammad Owlia, Khadijeh Gholami Abstract Paper Supporting
Increasing part-time working hours in the Netherlands. Identifying policy recommendations through Group Model Building, by Inge Bleijenbergh, Brigit Fokkinga Abstract Paper
Parallel: Urban Dynamics & Housing, chaired by Gi Soo Kim, Man-Hyung Lee
Social Housing in Colombia: A case for Social Systems Engineering, by Andrea Baena, Camilo Olaya Abstract Paper Supporting
Regional Strategic Industry (RSI) Promotion Projects and Their Impact on Regional Economic Growth, by Man-Hyung Lee, Nam Hee Choi, Won-Gyu Ha Abstract Paper
The Utilization of System Dynamics in Concluding Policies for Greater Cairo Sustainable Development, by Khaled Wahba, Naglaa Fahmy Abstract Paper
Parallel: Social Challenges and Public Policy, chaired by John Barton
Legalization of Cannabis in the USA: A System Dynamics Approach to Drug Policy, by Rick van Staveren, Andrew Thompson Abstract Paper
The Marijuana Market in Mexico: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Gloria Perez Salazar Abstract Paper
Exploration of the Effects of Open Innovation Policies on National Innovation Systems through System Dynamics Simulation: Apply, by JinHyo Yun, Dong Kyu Won, Byung Yong Hwang, WooYoung Jung, Dong-Hwan Kim Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Transport Systems, chaired by Cornelia van Daalen
Systemic Analysis in Legislating: Modeling the “Cash for Clunkers” Stimulus, by Tao Wang, Chester Labedz Abstract Paper Supporting
Right timing: unseen delays and stocks in implementation of transport systems, by Juliana Gomez-Quintero, Laura Guzman-Abello Abstract Paper
Supporting policy analysis in the Dutch rail sector using System Dynamics, by Aster Mannaerts, Cornelia van Daalen, J. van Luipen, S. A. Meijer Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Energy and Resources
Freight Vehicle Circulation Restriction Policy in an Emerging Country Metropolitan Area: undesired impacts, by Lars Sanches, Orlando Lima, Janaina Pinto Abstract Paper
Electric Power Demand Scenarios – SD Approach, by Vizaya Kumar Karumanchi Abstract
Systems Analysis of the Impacts of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami on Energy Supply System in Kamaishi-City, by Deniz Koca, Takehiro Kawahara Abstract Paper
The Challenges of the French Electricity Generation Sector: an Analysis using ESDMA, by Tristan deWildt Abstract Paper
Policy analysis to boost the adoption of alternative fuel vehicles in the Colombian market, by Laura Ardila, Carlos Franco Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Public Policy Challenges
Service delivery and service delivery protests in contemporary South Africa: A systems perspective, by Martin Kaggwa Abstract Paper Supporting
Transformative quality of doctoral education: the way new standards are negotiated. System dynamics approach, by Birute Mikulskiene, Daiva Mazrimiene Abstract Paper
The Capability Trap and Implementation of Evidence-based Practice in Child Protective Services, by Mary Jo Stahlschmidt Abstract
A System Dynamics Approach to Enhance Tourism Service Delivery Performance through Value Co-Creation, by Mona Soufivand, Enzo Bivona, Marco Alessi Abstract Paper
An Analysis of Post-disaster Resources Supply and Work Environment for Restoration Planning of Facilities, by Sungjoo Hwang, Moonseo Park, Hyun-Soo Lee, Sang Hyun Lee Abstract Paper
Dynamics of Consumerism and Credit Card Debt under the Influence of Advertising, by Özlem Turan, Dolunay Ugur, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Resources
Plenary: Biofuels, chaired by Andrew Ford
An Overview of the Biomass Scenario Model, by Steve Peterson, Brian Bush, Emily Newes, Danny Inman, David Hsu, Laura Vimmerstedt, Dana Stright Abstract Paper
Assessing the Liberalization of Biofuels, by Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Isaac Dyner, Carlos Franco Abstract Paper
Cellulosic Feedstock Biofuel Feasibility for Automotive Use, by Leonard Malczynski Abstract Paper
Parallel: Electricity Infrastructure, chaired by Isaac Dyner
Evaluating Scenarios of Capacity Expansion given High Seasonal Variability of Electricity Demand: The Case of Saudi Arabia, by Ross Collins, Waleed Gowharji, Abdulelah Habib, Rayed Alwajeeh, Stephen Connors Abstract Paper Supporting
Using System Dynamics to Define, Study, and Implement Smart Control Strategies on the Electric Power Grid, by Robert Jeffers, Lyle Roybal Abstract
Simulating the Value of Advanced Electricity Storage: Initial Results from a Case Study of the Ontario Power System, by Andrew Ford Abstract Paper
Parallel: Nuclear and Gas, chaired by Frederick Kautz
A System Dynamics Study of Uranium and the Nuclear Fuel Cycle, by Matthew Rooney, William Nuttall, Nikolas Kazantzis Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Agent Based Approach, by Abdellatif Yacout Abstract
A system dynamics approach to the expansion of liquefaction capacity in the LNG industry, by Yris Olaya, Sebastian Osorio Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Nonrenewable Resources, chaired by Wil Thissen
Modelling the Raw Water Demand of a Dry-Cooled, Coal-Fired Power Plant: A System Dynamics Approach, by Akashnie Raghu, Nalini Pillay Abstract Paper
(Un)desired Tantalum?, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt Abstract Supporting
A Supply Demand Model for Exploration of the Future of the Dutch Gas Sector, by Sibel Eker, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Electricity: Environment and efficiency, chaired by Wayne Wakeland
Assessing policy for mitigating greenhouse gases in electricity, by Laura Cardenas, Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner Abstract
Exploring carbon futures in the EU power sector, by Erwin Loonen, Erik Pruyt, Caner Hamarat Abstract Paper
Electricity Market Coupling: Latin America vs. Europe, by Camila Ochoa, Ann van Ackere Abstract Paper
Security
Parallel: Security Theories and Measurements, chaired by Corey Lofdahl
Towards a Dynamic Theory of Serial Insurgencies, by Edward Anderson Abstract
Proposal of a 'Goldilocks' Methodology for the Assessment of an International Crisis, by Stefano Armenia, Angelo De Angelis Abstract Paper
Extending Opinion Polls through the Combination of Analytical and Simulation Models, by Bruce Skarin, Robert McCormack, Ian Yohai Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Public Safety and Security, chaired by Elise Axelrad
Model-based Policing to Fight High Impact Crime, by Erik Pruyt, Marleen Ribbens Abstract
A System Dynamics Model for Investigating Early Detection of Insider Threat Risk, by Andrew Moore, David Mundie, Matthew Collins Abstract Paper
Policy Simulation in a Warzone: System dynamics in Afghanistan, by Corey Lofdahl Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Conflict, defense, and security poster session
State Security Dynamics and the Impact of Intervention to Build Country Capacity, by James Enos, John Farr Abstract Paper
Limits to Population Growth and Water Resource Adequacy in the Nile River Basin, 1994-2100, by Bruce Keith, James Enos, **lost**, **lost**, Daniel Copeland, Mario Cortez Abstract Paper Supporting
Timeframe for investing in cyber security does matter: A brand value argument, by Munaf Aamir, Walt Beyeler, Andjelka Kelic, Michael Mitchell Abstract Supporting
Innovation and Learning in Terrorist Organizations: A Complex Adaptive System Framework, by Nancy Hayden Abstract Paper Supporting
A model-based study and policy analysis of Domestic Violence and Sexual Harassment against Women and Children, by Mahtab Sharifi, Irene George, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring Policy and Initiative Decision Making in a Dynamic Conflict Environment, by Stefanie Anderson, Matthew Strickland Abstract Paper
Stakeholder Engagement
Parallel: Lessons from stakeholder engagement applications, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette
When your goals do not address your concerns: Lessons learned from a mediated model to support regional planning in Wellington, by Hendrik Stouten, Marjan van den Belt, Vicky Forgie Abstract Paper
Process Insights from Using Group Model Building to Address Emergency Department Use for Pediatric Asthma Treatment, by Jill Kuhlberg, Jeanine Arrighi, Cindy Pulley, William Kincaid Abstract Paper
Evaluating long-term impact of qualitative system dynamics workshops on participant mental models, by Rodney Scott, Robert Cavana, Donald Cameron Abstract Paper
Parallel: Information Gathering and Stakeholder Communication, chaired by Krystyna Stave
Eramat! A Culturally-Anchored Board Game Simulator for Maasai Pastoralists in Southern Kenya, by Jacob Loorimirim Mayiani, Michael Deaton, Jennifer Coffman, Alexandra Hickling Abstract Paper
Group Model Building to Support Interdisciplinary Theory Building, by Luis Luna-Reyes, Weijia Ran, Holly Jarman, Jing Zhang, Deborah Andersen, Giri Tayi, Djoko Sayogo, Joanne Luciano, David Andersen Abstract Paper
Dynamic Modelling of User Satisfaction: the Case of the Bangkok Mass Transit System, by Worapong Tangkitsiri, Stephen Ogunlana, Adekunle Oyegoke, Michael Oladokun Abstract Paper
Parallel: Considerations for Stakeholder Engagement, chaired by Rebecca Niles
Reviewing the Role of Stakeholders in Operational Research: Opportunities for Group Model Building, by Vincent de Gooyert, Etiënne Rouwette, Hans van Kranenburg Abstract
Knowledge analysis in coupled social-ecological systems, by Maria Saldarriaga, Birgit Kopainsky, Stephen Alessi Abstract Paper
Participatory Modeling in Environmental Systems: Learning from the System Dynamics Tradition, by Laura Schmitt Olabisi Abstract Paper
Poster: Stakeholder Engagement
Addressing stakeholder conflicts in rural South Africa using a water supply model, by Floortje d'Hont, Jai Clifford-Holmes, Jill Slinger Abstract Paper Supporting
Strategies for University Growth: A System Dynamics Analysis of Organizational Change, by Raafat Zaini, Michael Radzicki, Khalid Saeed, Oleg Pavlov, Allen Hoffman, Kristin Tichenor Abstract Paper Supporting
Strategy
Parallel: Resource Based View of Strategy and Change, chaired by Don Frazier
Strategic Resource Management under Causal Ambiguity - The Dynamic Resource-based view approach, by Kenneth Huh Abstract Paper
Organisational Flexibility : a simulation model, by Amaia Sopelana, Martin Kunc Abstract Paper
Effects of Aging Resources on Firm and Industry Dynamics, by Scott Rockart Abstract
Parallel: Goals and Resource Allocation Strategy, chaired by Martin Kunc
Stretch Goals, Managerial Responses, and the Distribution of Performance, by Shayne Gary, Miles Yang, Phillip Yetton, John Sterman Abstract Paper
Strategic Resource Management under Causal Ambiguity - An Empirical Study of Resource Management Dynamics, by Kenneth Huh Abstract Paper
R&D Project Portfolio in Research and Development, Part of a Whole in R&D Strategy, by Araz Khodabakhshian, Mohsen Khosravi, Ali Mashayekhi Abstract Paper
Poster: Strategy
Modeling Dynamic Transitions in the Global Air Transportation System, by Denes Csala, Sgouris Sgouridis Abstract Paper
Exploring strategic responses of the automotive industry during the transition to electric mobility: a system dynamics approach, by Christoph Mazur, Marcello Contestabile, Gregory Offer, Nigel Brandon Abstract Paper
Anticipating Future of Android: Role of Quality Gate Keeping, by Abhinay Puvvala, Rahul Roy Abstract Paper
High-Value Outsourcing: Impact of Team Structure and Capabilities on Complex and Uncertain Offshoring Projects, by Abhijit Mandal, Saikat Chaudhuri Abstract Supporting