Plenary: Internal and External Consulting, chaired by George Richardson
System Dynamics Perspective Applied in Aviation Business Planning, by Fariba Alamdari Abstract
The State of System Dynamics Consulting - 2011 Survey, by Kenneth Cooper Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Richard Phares
Resource coordination and Business Model Renewal process. A System Dynamics analysis of the Aluminium Downstream Industry, by Carmine Garzia, Edoardo Mollona Abstract Paper
The Management of Trust for Stimulating the Adoption of Improved Maize Seed in Malawi, by Sebastian Derwisch, Birgit Kopainsky, Katharine Troeger Abstract Paper
Development of an Agent Based Epidemiological Model of Beef Cattle, by Robert Glass, John Harger, Chrysm Watson Ross, Stephen Conrad, Aldo Zagonel, Walt Beyeler, Melissa Finley Abstract Paper
Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Kim Warren
Dynamics of Operational Procurement: Systems Modelling for Performance Tracking and Auditing, by Kate Ross-Smith, Michael Yearworth Abstract Paper
Interaction of Product and Service Innovations - An Anaylsis of the Dynamics in Industrial Companies, by Christian Lerch Abstract Paper
The barrier-based system for major accident prevention: a system dynamics analysis, by Ian Hoffman, Peter Wilkinson Abstract Paper
Parallel: Project Model in Action, chaired by J. Chris White
Application of System Dynamics Modelling in support of Microsoft’s Automation Strategy, by Siôn Cave, Mirek Gliniecki, Skip Johnson, Geza Nemesszeghy Abstract Paper
Simulation of a Distributed Design Project, by Sampsa Ruutu, Peter Ylen, Mikko Laine Abstract Paper
Impacts of Project Controls on Tipping Point Dynamics in Construction Projects, by Jiang Li, Timothy Taylor, David Ford Abstract Paper
Parallel: Business Applications, chaired by Andrew Moore
A Dynamic View on Knowledge Development: A Case of Industrial Aerospace Supply Chain Development in Indonesia, by Muhammad Tasrif, Ina Juniarti Abstract Paper Supporting
Convenience Stores in Bogotá at 2030, by Gloria Perez Salazar Abstract Paper
Dynamic Model for Estimating the Added Value of Maintenance Services, by Tero Jokinen, Jouni Pyötsiä, Peter Ylen Abstract Paper
Poster: Business Applications
Time to Bite the Hand that Feeds You, by Don Woodlock Abstract Paper Supporting
Improving Service Levels at a Major Brazilian Consumer Goods Company, by Joana Ribeiro, André Baitello, Paulo Goncalves, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki Abstract
The Impact of Design Rework on Construction Project Performance, by Ying Li, Timothy Taylor Abstract Paper Supporting
An Explanatory Framework for the Growth of SMEs A System Dynamic Approach, by Amr Farouk, Mohamed Saleh Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling the Diffusion of Energy Performance Contracting, by Carlos Capelo Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Getting Started with the Beer Game on Steroids (BGOS), by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Supporting Link
Getting Started with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Karim Chichakly Abstract Supporting
Getting Started with pmBLOX, by J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Supporting
Creating Simulations for the Web with STELLA and iThink, by Joanne Egner, Jeremy Merritt Abstract Supporting
Complexity/Agent-Based Methods
Plenary: Theory and Applications, chaired by Susan Howick
Applying System Dynamics to Overcome Unsuccessful Success Factor Research, by Florian Kapmeier, Meike Tilebein, Ralf Dillerup, Alexander Voigt Abstract Paper
The Dutch Taxation on Airline Tickets: A system dynamics approach to model airport choice, by Bart Steverink, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper
Inadvertent Inequality: The Unintended Consequences of the Major League Baseball Free Agent Compensation System, by Noah Isaacs, Jeroen Struben, Ruthanne Huising Abstract Paper
Poster: Complexity / Agent-Based Methods
The Limits of Discrete Modeling of Continuous Individual Dynamics: A Cautionary Tale from Immuno-Epidemiogical Dynamics, by Anqi Dong, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract
The Evolutionary Economic Geography of Regional Economic Development in Asia, by Hans-Peter Brunner Abstract Paper
Workshop:
All About AnyLogic - an intro for those new to AnyLogic and a new features update for experienced users, by Andrei Borshchev, George Gonzalez-Rivas, Timofey Popkov Abstract
Conflict, Defense and Security
Parallel: Panel Discussion: System Dynamics Research in Conflict, Defense, and Security, chaired by Edward Anderson
System Dynamics Research in Conflict, Defense, and Security Panel Discussion, by Edward Anderson Abstract Paper
Parallel: Conflict, Defense and Security, chaired by Eliot Rich
Farmers, Bandits, Soldiers: A model for addressing peace agendas, by Khalid Saeed, Oleg Pavlov, Jeanine Skorinko, Alexander Smith Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics and Agent-Based Simulation Approach to Test Group-Level Theories of Political Violence, by Alexander Lubyansky Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics Model for the National Guard Chemical, Biological, Nuclear, and High-Explosive Enhanced Response Force, by James Engoglia, Marc Alderman Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Conflict, Defense and Security, chaired by Leonard Malczynski
Illegality and Instability as a Continuum: The US-Mexico Border Case, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, David Sallach Abstract Paper
Mexico’s Cartel Problem: A Systems Thinking Perspective, by Sibel McGee, Michael Joel, Robert Edson Abstract Paper
To Radicalize or to Deradicalize? Is that the Question?, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel Abstract Paper
Poster: Conflict, Defense and Security
Using a Hybrid Cognitive-System Dynamics Model to Anticipate the Influence of Events and Actions on Human Behaviors, by Asmeret Bier, Michael Bernard, George Backus, Matt Glickman, Stephen Verzi Abstract Paper
The Egyptian Revolution 2011: The Fall of the Virtual Wall - The Revolution Systems Thinking Archetype, by Khaled Wahba Abstract Paper Supporting
Economic Dynamics
Parallel: Finance and Economy, chaired by Michael Bean
Likely Causes of the US Housing Market Crisis: A System Dynamics Investigation, by Purba Mukerji, Khalid Saeed Abstract Paper
Dynamically Stress Testing Financial Systems, by Stefanie Anderson Abstract Paper
Economic Dynamics for Smarter Cities, by Gregory Hennessy, Justin Cook, Michael Bean, Katherine Dykes Abstract Paper
Parallel: Employment, chaired by Khalid Saeed
Development of System Dynamic Model of Latvia’s Economic Integration in the EU, by Valerijs Skribans Abstract Paper
Coca Farming Dynamics: The Colombian Case, by Sebastián Jaen, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Approach to the Regional Macro-economic Model, by Takayuki Yamashita Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Finance and Money, chaired by Martin Schaffernicht
Workings of A Public Money System of Open Macroeconomies - Modeling the American Monetary Act Completed, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract Paper
Towards An Early Warning System Of Sovereign Debt And Financial Sector Crises: The Case of Jamaica, by Jide Lewis Abstract Paper Supporting
A System Dynamics Approach to Macroeconomic Policy Evaluation - The Case of the German Debt Brake, by Klaus John Abstract Paper
Poster: Economic Dynamics
Simulating an Auction Market: The Effect of the Number and Aggressiveness of Bidders, by Gregory Hennessy Abstract Paper
Modeling of Social Sphere Based on Methods of System Dynamics, by Natalya Lychkina Abstract Paper Supporting
Understanding and Alleviating Future Skilled Labor Shortage in Norway, by Carmen Lee Abstract Paper Supporting
Convened Session:
Innovating Through the Crisis: System Dynamics Modeling Applied to International Development Work and World Bank Operations, by Mariana Dahan Abstract Paper Supporting
Workshop:
An Introduction to Macroeconomic Modeling - Accounting System Dynamics Approach, by Kaoru Yamaguchi Abstract
Education
Parallel: Stock and Flow Understanding, chaired by Paul Newton
Reducing the gender gap: biases in understanding delays in personnel policies, by Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix, Eric Jacobs, Marloes van Engen Abstract Paper
Using Simulations for Discovery Learning about Environmental Accumulations, by Krystyna Stave, Heather Skaza, Benjamin Jurand Abstract Paper
A note on the bathtub analogy, by Pĺl Davidsen, Erling Moxnes, Mauricio Munera Sánchez, David Wheat Abstract
Parallel: K-12 Education Developments: Utilizing System Dynamics with K-12 Educators and Students, sponsored by Powersim Solutions, chaired by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz
Summary of Session: Utilizing System Dynamics with K-12 Educators and Students, by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz Abstract
Washington State Coalition, by Paul Newton, Mike Town, Dexter Chapin, Ruth Fruland Abstract
Using Group Model Building to Introduce High School Students to System Dynamics, by Peter Hovmand, Mary Scheetz, Tony Robinson, Krista Rux Abstract
MinSim, by P. Jeffrey Potash, Ralph Brauer Abstract
Open a New Window, Watch the World with the View of “System”, by Jun Kong, Ying Shen, Yibai Chen, Hao Yuan, Shouzu Han, Yang Yang Abstract
Parallel: Learning Environments, chaired by Michael Kennedy
Making System Dynamics Cool III: New Hot Teaching & Testing Cases, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Providing structural transparency when exploring a model’s behavior: Effects on performance and knowledge acquisition, by Birgit Kopainsky, Stephen Alessi, Pablo Pirnay-Dummer Abstract Paper
Measuring knowledge acquisition in dynamic decision making tasks, by Birgit Kopainsky, Stephen Alessi, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper
Parallel: Stock and Flow Understanding, chaired by Yaman Barlas
Learning How Accumulation Works, by Matthew Cronin, Catherine Tinsley, John Sterman Abstract
In Search of Explanations for Stock-Flow Performance, by Hubert Korzilius, Stefan Raaijmakers, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix Abstract
Stock-and-Flow Failure: Visual Saliency, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Cleotilde Gonzalez Abstract
Parallel: Learning, chaired by Patricia Craig
Analysis of the Effects of Different Complexity Factors on the Complexity of a Simulation Game, by Onur Ozgun, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper
Supporting decision-makers in managing stock-flow problems: The effects of oral feedback on reasoning and decision-making, by Dennis Jacobs, Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper
Establishing a framework to check the ablility of learning system dynamics--the experience of Taiwan scholars, by An-Ho Tsai Abstract
Parallel: K-12 Education Developments: What Does System Dynamics Look Like for Students aged 5-18?, sponsored by Powersim Solutions, chaired by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz
Session Summary: What Does System Dynamics Look Like for Students aged 5-18?, by George Richardson, Lees Stuntz Abstract
Systems Thinking for Students in Elementary and Middle Schools, Tucson AZ, by Anne LaVigne Abstract
Creating and Sustaining the Haig System Dynamics Club, Toronto, Canada, by Yannick Ngana Abstract
System Dynamics in the Sustainable Systems High School Elective, Seattle WA, by Dexter Chapin Abstract
High School Students' Models, Portland OR, by Diana Fisher Abstract
Poster: Education
A Taxonomy of System Dynamics Models of Educational Policy Issues, by Michael Kennedy Abstract Paper
A Pilot Project to Teach the Characteristics of Complex Systems, by Jennifer Andersen, Anne LaVigne Abstract Paper
Tension in a Local High School from a Systems Perspective, by Krista Rux, Peter Hovmand, Timothy Hower, Tony Robinson Abstract
A Taxonomy of System Dynamics Models of Educational Pedagogic Issues, by Michael Kennedy Abstract Paper
“10 years on average doesn’t mean 10 years in any case” – an Experimental Investigation of Fixed and Continuous Delays, by Andreas Groessler, Inge Bleijenbergh, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper
Illuminating the Logic of Stock Management Failure – How Much Does the (Mis)Understanding of Accumulation Explain?, by Jürgen Strohhecker Abstract Paper
What Is Happening in K-12 Systems Dynamics and Systems Thinking?, by Lees Stuntz Abstract
Workshop:
Modeling Dynamic Systems: Lessons for a First Course, by Diana Fisher Abstract Paper Link
Hands-on Simulation Curriculum in K-12 Education, by Lees Stuntz, Diana Fisher, Anne LaVigne, Jennifer Andersen, P. Jeffrey Potash Abstract Link
Using Simulation to teach project management skills, by Alain April Abstract Paper Link
Energy and Resources
Parallel: Perspectives on Energy Analysis, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky
No way out? – Analysing Policy Options to Alleviate or Derail Success-to-theSuccessful in the Energy System, by Jérôme Dangerman, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper
A Construct for Testing Effective Cooperation in Large-Scale Resource Social Dilemmas, by Jorge Andrick Parra Valencia, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper Supporting
Energy Transitions towards Sustainability: A Staged Exploration of Complexity and Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel, Caner Hamarat, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper
Parallel: Energy Efficiency in Building Stock, chaired by Christian Erik Kampmann
Residential Energy Efficiency Policy in Latvia: A System Dynamics Approach, by Andra Blumberga, Gatis Zogla, Erling Moxnes, Pĺl Davidsen Abstract Paper
Energy Transition in The Dutch Dwelling Stock: Exploring the Extent of Inertia Against Change, by Gönenç Yucel, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
Systems Modelling of New Media Services, by Michael Yearworth, Daniel Schien, Chris Preist, Paul Shabajee Abstract Paper
Parallel: Transportation and Energy Technology, chaired by Silvia Ulli-Beer
Strategies for Transportation Electrification: Overcoming Thresholds and Overly Optimistic Forecasts, by Jeroen Struben, John Sterman Abstract Paper Supporting
On the Integration and Cospecialization of Emerging Complementary Technologies: The Case of Renewable Power and Energy Storage, by Edward Anderson, Geoffrey Parker Abstract
Understanding Innovation Diffusion in the Presence of Supply Constraints and Price Feedback: The Case of the Toyota Prius, by David Keith, John Sterman, Jeroen Struben Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Energy in South America, chaired by Luis Luna-Reyes
A Framework for Analysis of Energy-Water Interdependency Problems, by Jacob Jacobson, Robert Jeffers, Kristyn Scott Abstract Paper
Management of Voltage Control Using Distributed Generation in the Colombian Power System: a system dynamics approach, by Sandra Carvajal, Adriana Arango, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper
SD for assessing electricity market integration, by Isaac Dyner, Camila Ochoa, Carlos Franco Abstract Paper
Parallel: Energy and the Environment, chaired by Michael Fletcher
A System Dynamics Approach to Examine Climate Change Impacts: The Case of the State of Guanajuato, México, by Juan Huerta, Marcos Esquivel-Longoria, Fabiola Arellano-Lara, Sergio Dominguez-Ruiz, Fernando Rosales-Flores Abstract Paper
“Counterintuitive Ways Of Doing More With Less” – An SD Contribution To The Urban Water Crisis in the Global South, by Karan Khosla Abstract Paper Supporting Link
A System Dynamics Perspective on Applying a New Energy Efficiency Metric for Data Centers, by James Simonelli Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Energy and Resources
A Simulation-based Analysis of Transition Pathways for the Dutch Electricity System, by Gönenç Yucel, Cornelia van Daalen Abstract Paper
Uptake of Alternative Energy Technology by Energy Poor Households in Rural Rajasthan, India, by Andrew Frangos, Sarah Fern, Gautam Yadama, Vaibhav Bhatia Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring the Future of Wind-Powered Energy, by Caner Hamarat, Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
A SD-based Analysis of the Market for Hydrogen Fuel Cell Urban Buses, by Marcello Contestabile Abstract Paper Supporting
Challenges of energy as a tool for sustainable development in isolated rural areas, by Yony Fernando Ceballos, Isaac Dyner Abstract
A system dynamics model for assessing the UK carbon market, by Laura Cardenas, Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper
A Non Smooth Model of National Energy Market for the Regional Energy Integration, by Johan Manuel Redondo, Isaac Dyner Abstract Paper
System Dynamic Analysis for Development of Renewable Energy Resources in Country, by Dagnija Blumberga, Ilze Dzene, Marika Rosa, Pĺl Davidsen, Erling Moxnes Abstract Paper
A Feedback Perspective on the Diffusion of Energy-Efficient Renovations, by Matthias Mueller, Silvia Ulli-Beer Abstract Paper Link
From Fossil Fuels to Renewable Energy: The Dynamics of Replacement in Brazil, by Joaquim Santos, Marcelo Ramos Martins Abstract Paper Supporting
Mind Meets Heart: Smart Transition Management to Smarten Energy Systems in a Deeply Uncertain World, by Erik Pruyt Abstract Paper
SD simulation for assessing biofuels incentives, by Carlos Franco, Isaac Dyner, Ana María Florez Abstract
Convened Session: C-ROADS Climate Simulation -- Reflections and New Directions, by Andrew Jones, Thomas Fiddaman, John Sterman, Phil Rice, Stephanie McCauley, Lori Siegel, Travis Franck Abstract
Environment and Ecology
Parallel: Development & Resources, chaired by Krystyna Stave
Application of System Dynamics model and GIS in sustainability assessment of urban residential development, by Zhao Xu Abstract Paper Supporting
Resilience, Environmental Variability, and Institutions in a Multi-Species Artisanal Fishery, by Marshall Duer-Balkind, Kasey Jacobs, Burak Guneralp, Xavier Basurto Abstract Paper
Estimating future scenarios for farm-watershed nutrient fluxes – Can on-farm BMPs really do the job at the watershed scale?, by Mark Rivers, David Weaver, Keith Smettem, Peter Davies Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Water Resources, chaired by Imrana Umar
A System Dynamics Approach for Urban Water Reclamation-Reuse Planning, by Fuzhan Nasiri, Troy Savage, Ranran Wang, Nico Barawid, Julie Zimmerman Abstract
Dynamics Model of Eco-Security Surveillance System for the Tamsui River in Taipei City, by Hsiao-Lin Wang, Yu-Feng Ho, Ching-I Wu Abstract Paper
Quantitative Evaluation of the Performance of Water Management System in the Washington Metropolitan Area, by Roma Bhatkoti, Kostas Triantis Abstract Paper
Poster: Resources
Description and demonstration of a simulation learning environment for discovery learning about simple accumulations, by Krystyna Stave, Benjamin Jurand, Heather Skaza Abstract Paper
Might Continued Emphasis on Maize at the Expense of More Drought Tolerant Crops Endanger Food Security in the Horn of Africa?, by Richard Dudley Abstract Paper Supporting Link
The Dynamics in the Dairy Cattle Sector: Policies on Cow Milk Production Can Reduce Greenhouses Gas Emissions and Land Use, by Alberto Stanislao Atzori, Luis Tedeschi, Antonello Cannas Abstract Paper
Effects of Food Availability Policies on National Food Security: Colombian case, by Diana Giraldo, Santiago Arango, Manuel Betancur Abstract Paper
A new dynamic risk analysis framework for CO2 Capture, Transport and Storage chain, by Jaleh Samadi Radani, Emmanuel Garbolino Abstract Paper
Poster: Development
A Simple System Dynamics Model for the Collapse of Complex Societies, by Newton Bueno Abstract Paper Supporting
Athens vs Sparta. When ethical choices enable to reach sustainability, by Nicola Bianchi, Roberto Marcialis Abstract Paper Supporting
Modeling Cases from Jared Diamond's “Collapse”, by Katrina Hull Abstract Paper Supporting
Sociopolitical Factors Influencing Water Shortages in Maharashtra Nagar: A Qualitative Model from the 2011 Winter Institute, by Colleen Kinneen, Margaret Hower Abstract
Understanding Sustainability, Quality of Life and Resilience, by Abby Beck, Krystyna Stave Abstract Paper Supporting
System Dynamics Modeling of Livelihoods and Forest Commons in Dryland Communities of Andhra Pradesh, India, by Nishesh Chalise, Gautam Yadama, Foundation for Ecological Security Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Metaphorical Models for Limits to Growth and Industrialisation, by John Morecroft Abstract Paper Supporting
Health and Health Policy
Plenary: Health Policy, chaired by James Thompson
Seeing Time: Using System Dynamics to Inform Public Health Choices, by Kimberly Thompson Abstract
Individualized Medicine and Biophysical System Dynamics: An Example from Clinical Practice in End Stage Renal Disease, by Jim Rogers, Edward Gallaher, Craig Hocum, David Dingli, T. Ronald Chrisope, James McCarthy Abstract Paper
Modeling the Dynamics of Thyroid Hormones and Related Disorders, by Oylum Seker, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper
Plenary: Health Dynamics, chaired by James Lyneis
Developing a theory of the societal lifecycle of cigarette smoking: Explaining & anticipating trends using information feedback, by Aldo Zagonel, Mohammad Mojtahedzadeh, George Richardson, Nancy Brodsky, Theresa Brown, Stephen Conrad, Robert Glass Abstract Paper
Beyond Personality Traits and Financial Incentives: Bias and Variation in Medical Practices as Results of Experiential Learning, by Navid Ghaffarzadegan Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: New Methods in Health Modeling, chaired by Jim Duggan
Building and estimating a dynamic model of weight gain and loss for individuals and populations, by Nasim Sabounchi, Hazhir Rahmandad Abstract Paper
Comparison between Individual-based and Aggregate Models in the Context of Tuberculosis Transmission, by Yuan Tian, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper
Extending Opinion Dynamics to Model Public Health Problems and the Evaluation of Policy Interventions, by Thomas Moore, Patrick Finley, John Linebarger, Alexander Outkin, Stephen Verzi, Nancy Brodsky, Daniel Cannon, Aldo Zagonel, Robert Glass Abstract Paper
Parallel: Population Health, chaired by Robert Eberlein
A System Dynamics Model of Pharmaceutical Opioids: Medical Use, Diversion, and Nonmedical Use, by Teresa Schmidt, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting
A Simulation Model for Designing Effective Interventions in Early Childhood Caries, by Gary Hirsch, Marcy Frosh, Burton Edelstein, Theresa Anselmo Abstract Paper
Modeling the Dynamics of Dental Health in Older Adults, by Sara Metcalf, Michael Widener, Mary Northridge, Mark Paich, Stephen Marshall, Ira Lamster Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Health Care Modeling, chaired by Gary Hirsch
Maintaining Disparity: Thresholds of Defection, by John Cody, Robert Cavana, David Pearson Abstract Paper
System Dynamics of Diminishing Family Size on Living Arrangements of Singaporeans with Ageing-related Dementia, by James Thompson, Crystal Riley, David Matchar Abstract Paper Supporting
Non-communicable Disease Dynamics and Prevention: Dynamics of Nutritious Food Market Transformation Initiatives, by Jeroen Struben, Derek Chan Abstract Paper
Parallel: Health Care Practices, chaired by Scott Johnson
Using System Dynamics to Plan Investment in Alcohol Services, by Douglas McKelvie, Eric Wolstenholme, Steve Arnold, David Monk Abstract Paper
Improving Health Care Management Through the Use of Dynamic Simulation Modeling and Health Information Systems, by Daniel Goldsmith, Michael Siegel Abstract Paper
The Role of Behaviour Change in Eating and Physical Activity in the Battle against Childhood Obesity, by Brian Dangerfield, Norhaslinda Zainal Abidin Abstract Paper
Poster: Health and Health Policy
Human Stress Response from the System Dynamics Point of View, by Marek Susta, Gustav Bizik Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Examination of the Use of Performance Enhancing Drugs, by John Voyer, Troy Goddu, Cade Blackburn, Brian Sprague Abstract Paper
Application of System Dynamics to Inform a Model of Human Papillomavirus Vaccination Efficacy, by Susan Sotardi, David Lounsbury, Nicolas Schlecht, Gloria Ho, Mark Einstein Abstract
A Model of Bone Loss Dynamics Due to Disuse and Overload, by Canan Herdem, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper
Modeling the Spread of Infectious Diseases after Flood in the Rainy Season in South Bandung, Indonesia, by Shimaditya Nuraeni, Takeshi Arai Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Model for the Clinical Risk Management: a preliminary analysis, by Francesco Ceresia, Giovan Battista Montemaggiore Abstract Paper
Model Based Theory in Health Innovations, by David Rees, Robert Cavana Abstract Paper
Workshop:
HealthBound: The National Health Reform Game, by Jack Homer, Bobby Milstein, Gary Hirsch Abstract Paper Supporting Link
Information Science
Parallel: Information Science / Information Systems, chaired by Vedat Diker
A system dynamics model of post-installation use of enterprise information systems, by Vikas Sahasrabudhe, Shivraj Kanungo Abstract Paper
Modeling Polarization Dynamics in Online Communities, by Hazhir Rahmandad, Mohammad Mahdian Abstract Paper
Modeling the Dynamics of Academic Publications and Citations, by Nisa Onsel, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Information Science / Information Systems
Agile Essence, by Warren Tignor Abstract Paper
System Dynamics Modeling for the Future IT Development: Applied to Education, Health Care, and Smart Work System in Korea, by Eun Kyu Lee, Dong-Hwan Kim, Won-Gyu Ha Abstract
A Resource-Based View of Local Digital Government: Core Capabilities for Success from the Case of Mexico, by Luis Luna-Reyes, J. Ramon Gil-Garcia, Fernando Ramirez-Hernandez Abstract Paper
Applications of a Telecom Sector Model for Establishing and Validating Telecom Policies and Strategies, by Boris Ramos Abstract Paper
Workshop:
Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Imrana Umar Abstract Link
Methodology in System Dynamics
Plenary: Varieties of System Dynamics Practice, chaired by John Morecroft
Varieties of System Dynamics Practice, by Alan Graham Abstract Paper Supporting
Lots of Loops: Lessons from using System Dynamics for Complex Governmental Decisions, by James Baker, Tom Mullen Abstract Paper
Crafting System Dynamics Models and Making them Accessible: Lessons from 40 Years of Practice, by John Richardson Abstract Paper
Parallel: Model Building - Structure and Data, chaired by Özge Pala
Calibration of Complex System Dynamics Models: A Practitioner's Report, by Rod Walker, Wayne Wakeland Abstract Paper Supporting
Perception is more than time delays, by Özge Pala, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract
Documentation: Recalling the Forgotten Important, by John Huertas Quiroga Abstract Paper
Parallel: Understanding Model Behavior, chaired by James Thompson
Using System Dynamics Methodology to Generate Insights: An Example from Singaporean Population Health, by Crystal Riley, James Thompson, David Matchar Abstract Paper Supporting
Measuring Dynamic Complexity: A Standardized Measure for System Dynamics Simulation Models, by Stefan Groesser Abstract Paper Supporting Link
Investigating an Automated Method for the Sensitivity Analysis of Functions, by Sibel Eker, Jill Slinger, Gönenç Yucel Abstract Paper
Parallel: Modeling Approaches, chaired by R. Joel Rahn
Major Issues in Mixed Use of Grounded Theory and System Dynamics Approaches in Qualitative Secondary Data, by Bahadir Akcam, Senem Guney, Anthony Cresswell Abstract Paper
Problem Structuring Methods in System Dynamics Modeling: a Cognitive Fit Perspective, by Arash Golnam, Sérgio Viana, Alain Wegmann Abstract Paper
What Is a Validation Methodology? Analyzing and Synthesizing two Meanings, by Stefan Groesser Abstract Link
Poster: Model Development
Quantitative systems dynamics: Comparison of modeling techniques for the simulation of electro-mechanical systems, by Pablo Viejo Garcia, Jose Gonzalez, Oscar Barambones, Enrique Kremers Abstract Paper
A Soft Landing Model and a Mass-Spring Damper Based Control Heuristic, by Togay Tanyolac, Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
SILVERVIZ: Extending SILVER for coordination in distributed collaborative modeling, by Yudi Xue, Nathaniel Osgood, Carl Gutwin Abstract
Poster: Using and Communicating Models
Reflections on the Validity of T21 and PCM, System Dynamics Integrated National Development Planning Simulation Models, by Andrea Bassi Abstract Paper
How best to present model structure to decision makers? An experimental study of the effectiveness of the Forio model explorer, by William Schoenberg Abstract Paper
Capacity Adjustment in a Service Facility with Reactive Customers and Delays: Simulation and Experimental Analysis, by Carlos Delgado, Erik Larsen, Ann van Ackere, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper
Poster: Modeling Approaches
Extending System Dynamics approach to higher index DAE’s, by Tomasz Zawadzki, Radostaw Pytlak Abstract Paper
Sensitivity Analysis Techniques for System Dynamics Models of Human Behavior, by Asmeret Bier Abstract Paper
Open Source System Dynamics with Simantics and OpenModelica, by Teemu Lempinen, Sampsa Ruutu, Peter Ylen, Tommi Karhela Abstract Paper
An Object-Oriented Type System for System Dynamics, by Bobby Powers Abstract
Fuzzy Modeling of Linguistic Variables in a System Dynamics Context, by Nasim Sabounchi, Kostas Triantis, Sudipta Sarangi, Shiyong Liu Abstract Paper Supporting
Workshop:
Reviewing for Conferences and Journals, by Stefan Groesser, Martin Schaffernicht Abstract Link
Building and Analyzing Models with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link
Advanced Modeling with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski, Imrana Umar Abstract Paper
A Hands-On Introduction to SILVER: Software in Support of the Collaborative System Dynamics Modeling Process, by Yudi Xue, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract
Optimization with Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman Abstract Link
System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano Abstract Link
Getting Started with My Strategy Software, by Kim Warren, Christina Spencer Abstract
Methodology: Alternative Approaches
Parallel: Multiple Methodologies, chaired by Brian Dangerfield
iSimPlus: A Multi-Method Simulation Tool for Modelling Complex Systems, by Jim Duggan Abstract Paper Supporting
How do system dynamic models (SD) capture path dependent and complex evolutionary behaviour in social science analysis?, by Edoardo Mollona Abstract Paper
A Multi-scale Paradigm to Design Obesity Policy: Exploring the Integration of Individual- Based Modeling and System Dynamics, by Özge Karanfil, Thomas Moore, Patrick Finley, Theresa Brown, Aldo Zagonel, Robert Glass Abstract Paper
Poster: Methodology: Alternative Approaches
Approaching the Tipping Point: Critical Transitions in Systems, by Maximilian Mrotzek Abstract Paper
Modeling asset and liability dynamics for pension funds defined benefit plans, by Ricardo Chaim Abstract Paper
Considering Combining: Designs for the Complementary Use of System Dynamics and Discrete Event Simulation, by Jennifer Morgan, Susan Howick, Valerie Belton Abstract Paper Supporting
Operations Management/Supply Chains
Parallel: Operations Management, chaired by J. Bradley Morrison
Designing and Managing the Virtual Enterprise - A Breakthrough Application for System Dynamics Using SimBLOX and scmBLOX, by William Killingsworth, J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Paper
Strategic Analysis of Product Recovery Management by Using System Dynamics Approach, by Beril Uzmez, Necati Aras, Yaman Barlas Abstract Paper Supporting
Emergency Department Crowding: Vicious Cycles in the ED, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears Abstract Paper
Parallel: Supply Chains, chaired by Jeroen Struben
Retailer’s Order Decisions under Delays: System Dynamics and Experimental Results, by Sebastian Villa, Paulo Goncalves, Santiago Arango Abstract Paper
Simulation based Analysis of Service Levels in Stable Production-Inventory Systems, by Jayendran Venkateswaran, Kaushik Margabandu, D. Bijulal, Nandyala Hemachandra Abstract Paper Supporting
Information Sharing in Supply Chains: A Systemic Approach, by Hakan Yasarcan Abstract Paper
Poster: Operations Management / Supply Chains
Addressing Retail Out-of-Stock Issues Using System Dynamics, by Sheng Liu, J. Chris White, Robert Sholtes Abstract Paper
A System Dynamics Model For Replacement and Overhaul Policy For Capital Asset Subject To Technological Change, by Farid Mardin, Takeshi Arai Abstract Paper
System Dynamics in Reverse Logistics Processes, by Roberto Villaseńor Abstract Paper
Innovation Projects & Portfolios: Admitting Change and Rework to Meet Escalating Expectations, by Edward Anderson, Nitin Joglekar Abstract Paper
The role of collaboration through manufactured goods’ exportation process under System Dynamics analysis, by Vanina Silva, Antonio Coelho, Antonio Novaes Abstract Paper
Analyzing Training Programs from a KM perspective: A System Dynamics model, by Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Gregorio Varvakis Abstract Paper
Hockey-stick phenomenon: supply chain challenges in Emerging countries, by Lars Sanches, Orlando Lima Abstract Paper Supporting
A Supply Chain Paradox, by Anson Li, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper
Organizational Dynamics
Parallel: Organizational Dynamics, chaired by Randy Park
Dynamics of Shared Capitalism Policies, by Joe Hsueh, John Sterman Abstract Paper
Raising Implementation Effectiveness of Innovations by Considering Structural Aspects of Organizations, by Philipp Wunderlich, Andreas Groessler Abstract Paper
Closing the Leadership Gap: One Step Closer using System Dynamics, by Deborah Campbell Abstract Paper Supporting
Parallel: Organizational Dynamics, chaired by Elise Weaver
Dynamics of Combat Aviator Training, by James Enos Abstract Paper
Dynamic Decision-Making, Learning, and Mental Models, by Anson Li, Kambiz Maani Abstract Paper
Mechanisms of consumer boycotts: Evidence from the Nestlé infant food controversy, by Nicole Zimmermann Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Organizational Dynamics
How can Organizational Capacity help to clarify Project Performance? A system dynamics model, by Didier Cumenal, Philippe Boigey Abstract Paper Supporting
A generalized growth model for strategic analysis, by Charles Jones Abstract Paper Supporting
The Leadership Game: Experiencing Dynamic Complexity under Deep Uncertainty, by Erik Pruyt, Jesse Segers, Sertaç Oruc Abstract Paper
Participatory Approaches to Modeling and Simulation
Parallel: Advances in Knowledge Elicitation, chaired by Etiënne Rouwette
Scriptapedia: A Handbook of Scripts for Developing Structured Group Model Building Sessions, by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette, David Andersen, George Richardson, Annaliese Calhoun, Krista Rux, Timothy Hower Abstract Paper Supporting
What’s Wrong with This Picture? — Group Knowledge Elicitation with Progressive Concept Models, by Carmen Lee, James Thompson Abstract Paper
A Dialogue Game for Group Model Building, by Stijn Hoppenbrouwers, Etiënne Rouwette Abstract
Parallel: Models and Roles in Participation, chaired by Allyson Beall
Strengthening Links Between Anthropologists and System Dynamicists: Participatory Group Modeling & Natural Resources, by Carol Colfer, Richard Dudley Abstract Paper
Towards a shared systems model of stakeholders in tourism development in the Cat Ba biosphere reserve of Vietnam, by Thanh Mai Abstract Paper
Whose Model is it Anyway?, by Peter Hovmand, Laura Brennan, Nishesh Chalise Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: Object Use and Distributed Involvement in Participative Modeling
Web-based Participatory System Dynamics Modelling – Concept and Prototype Development, by Bo Hu, Armin Leopold Abstract Paper
Object use as a framework to study model use in group model building, by Timothy Bolt, Steffen Bayer, Maria Kapsali, Sally Brailsford Abstract
The Use of Financial Products and Services in Low Income African-American Communities, by Timothy Hower, Peter Hovmand, Krista Rux, Yvonne Sparks, Daniel Davis Abstract Paper
Distributed Group Problem Solving, by Bruce Skarin Abstract Paper Link
Workshop:
How to Build Collaborative Online Planning Simulations for Public Policy and Business, by Michael Bean, William Schoenberg Abstract
How to Build Online Simulation Games for Classroom Use, by Michael Bean, William Schoenberg Abstract Link
Public Policy
Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Joern Ewaldt
Social Dynamics of Traffic-Related Pardons in Korea, by Man-Hyung Lee, Nam Hee Choi, Yoo-Jeong Ahn, Gi Soo Kim Abstract Paper
Coordination Failures in Complex Environments: A Model for Primary Education Systems in Developing Countries, by Porfirio Guevara, Roy Zuniga, Luis Lopez Abstract Paper
Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Man-Hyung Lee
Reducing CO2 Emissions due to a shift from Road to Cabotage Transport of Cargo in Brazil, by Irineu de Brito, Celso Hino, Paulo Goncalves, Luiz Andrade, Charliston Moreira, Gustavo Costa, Luis Nardin, Hugo Yoshida Yoshizaki, David Jose de Magalhaes Abstract Paper
BioPOL: biofuel modeling, sensitivity analysis and discussion on biofuel support policies under inherent uncertainties, by Burkhard Schade Abstract
Sustainability of Self Sufficiency Level of Rice in Malaysia under Trade Liberalization, by Emmy Farha Alias, Fatimah Arshad, Kusairi Noh, Muhammad Tasrif, Aswani Mohd Noh Abstract Supporting
Parallel: Public Policy: Implementation and Reflection, chaired by Daniel Arthur
The Validity Tests Used by Social Scientists and Decision Makers, by Adam Eckerd, David Landsbergen, Anand Desai Abstract Paper
Exploratory Policy Design, by David Wheat, Lili Shi Abstract Paper
Future research directions in Governance and Policy Making under the UE prism of ICT for Governance and Policy Modelling, by Stefano Armenia, Yannis Charalabidis, Diego Falsini, Fenareti Lampathaki, David Osimo, Katarzyna Szkuta Abstract Paper Link
Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Markus Schwaninger
System Dynamics of Hypothetical and Realistic Demographics: Implications of Foreign Labour Policy, by John Ansah, James Thompson, Crystal Riley Abstract Paper Supporting
Why Formal Housing Alternatives in Developing Countries are Insufficient, Inadequate, and Unaffordable?, by Andres Blanco Abstract Paper Supporting
Language Evolution in Québec: Network effects and clustering, by Jeroen Struben, Charles Gauvin Abstract Paper
Parallel: Public Policy, chaired by Roderick MacDonald
How does the Multi-Level Perspective help to conceptualize a System Dynamics analysis of a specific transition challenge?, by Silvia Ulli-Beer Abstract Paper
Analysis of malaria trends and policy options for sub Saharan Africa through the Malaria Management Model, by Matteo Pedercini, Santiago Movilla Blanco, Birgit Kopainsky Abstract Paper
Using System Dynamics to Assess a Web 2.0 Governance Model for Public Service Delivery, by Lanfranco Marasso, Marco Alessi, Ivan Ficano, Marco Burgarello, Giorgio Cavaliere, Enzo Bivona Abstract
Parallel: Regional Development & Urban Dynamics, chaired by David Andersen
Using model to identify and meet potential challenges in regional development: The ECOWAS T21 case, by Weishuang Qu, Herve Lohoues, John Shilling, Matteo Pedercini Abstract Paper
Regional Economic Growth and Municipal Financial Planning: An Application of A System Dynamics Model to Calgary, by Stanley Kongnetiman, Wenhui Fan, Patrick Walters, Nathaniel Osgood Abstract Paper
Houdini: a System Dynamics Model for Housing Market Reforms, by Martijn Eskinasi, Etiënne Rouwette, Jac Vennix Abstract Paper Supporting
Poster: National Public Policy
System Dynamics as a Method for Analyzing Human Trafficking, by Robin Dillon-Merrill, James Grimes, Catherine Tinsley Abstract Paper Supporting
Exploring Demographic Shifts: Ageing and Migration in a Deeply Uncertain Dynamically Complex World, by Erik Pruyt, Thomas Logtens, Govert Gijsbers Abstract Paper Supporting
CA_RE: Assessing Carbon Reduction through the introduction of a carbon tax. The case of Italy, by Luciano Canova, Vincenzo Di Giulio, Stefania Migliavacca, Elisa Baria, Valentina Ciatteo, Raffaele Imperato Abstract Supporting
The Market Economy of Trips, by Dimitris Papanikolaou, John Sterman Abstract
Poster: Public Policy
Exploring the Long-Term Development of Festival Tourism and Culture Policies- a Case of the Hakka Tung Blossom Festival, by Jian-Jing Li, Jian Hung Chen Abstract
System Dynamics Model on Medicine Mobilization in Emergency, by Qingxue Ding, Ying Qian, Lixin Shu, Shengxin Chen Abstract
Simulations for Comprehensive Operations, by Corey Lofdahl Abstract
Learning Lab for Sustainability -Theory and Case Study, by Kambiz Maani Abstract
Workshop:
Policy Modeling Workshop, by David Wheat Abstract
Qualitative System Dynamics
Parallel: Qualitative System Dynamics, chaired by Michael Deegan
The use of qualitative modeling to derive qualitative policy implications from structural aspects of a model – a practical case, by Martin Schaffernicht Abstract Paper Supporting
Using a Qualitative System Dynamics Approach to Investigate Perception of Corruption, by Muhammad Ullah, Tiru Arthanari Abstract Paper
Causal Maps to Analyze Policy Complexity and Intergovernmental Coordination: An empirical study of floodplain recommendations, by Michael Deegan Abstract Paper Supporting
Strategy
Parallel: Dynamic Models of Firm and Industry Performance, chaired by Allyson Beall
Sustainable Growth Strategies for Indian Shrimp Industry: A Multiple Perspective, by S. K. Prusty, Pratap Mohapatra, C. K. Mukherjee Abstract Paper
Dynamic model in understanding dynamics of competitiveness: system dynamics approach in mobile handset vendor business, by Samuli Kortelainen, Hannu Karkkainen Abstract Paper
Learning from System Dynamics Simulations: Simulations for Time Compression or for Time Dilation, by Allyson Beall, Andrew Ford, Alan Brothers Abstract Paper
Poster: Social Problems and Social Remedies
Nuclear Waste Management: Strategic Framework for Large-Scale Government Programs: Addressing Legacy Waste from the Cold War, by Gregory Love, Chris Glazner, Sam Steckley, Kristin Lee Abstract Paper
Poster: Firm Resources and Firm Strategy
Under the Golden Arches: Disruptive and Conventional Product and Firm Dynamics under Consumer Heterogeneity and Network Effects, by Hannah Rakoff, Jeroen Struben Abstract Paper Supporting